Saturday Forecast

23 Comments

9:08AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 16-20)
This period covers the last 4 full days of the winter and the day of the Vernal Equinox, or the official astronomical arrival of spring. All of them will be dry. A brisk and seasonably chilly westerly flow will dominate the weekend before it settles early in the week, only to pick up again by midweek. To give you an idea of how quiet the pattern will be, the most notable weather event of the next 5 days will probably be the instability clouds that have formed to the west and will try to cross the sky today while being thwarted by drying air. This probably means most of these clouds will be over the hills west and north of the Boston area, with fewer or even no clouds southeast. Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunshine and passing clouds. Highs 46-53. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusting 25-35 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 25-32. Wind W 10-20 MPH, gusting up to 30 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH, gusting up to 20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 18-25. Wind light W.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows in the 20s. Highs from the middle 40s to lower 50s.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows from the upper 20s to middle 30s. Highs from the upper 40s to middle 50s.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 21-25)
Cold front passes by March 21 but may only produce some cloudiness and no precipitation. Dry, cooler March 22-23. Milder trend later in the period but may be introduced by some wet weather in the March 24-25 time frame.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 26-30)
Overall pattern looks somewhat milder and mainly dry at this time as high pressure should be dominant.

23 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    After some mini excitement last evening, I now return you to BORING weather. 🙂

    Yawn, yawn……

  3. Thanks TK!

    I guess the snow season for SNE at least is…over. Maybe NNE as well?

    2018-19 = 27.4” (in the books?)

    1. No, it’s not time to call it over. Winter hasn’t ended yet, and it can snow in spring around here.

      Remember April 1 1997, and numerous other dates after March 20? 😉

      1. Some people are speculating next year could be a super El Nino. What is your take? If we do get one. You can forget about next winter being snowy

        1. We often end up with 2 “lean” winters back to back. It’s happened many times. Whether or not that happens or whether or not El Nino plays a role remains to be seen. I haven’t been to confident on depending on ENSO for much lately so it’ll be something to monitor going forward. Although I’m also not really fond of the term “super El Nino” either. I prefer terms like “weak”, “moderate”, and “strong”. Most of the terms you hear being tossed around in media are purely for dramatic impact, or to give you the feeling something is unprecedented. I’ve already seen people alluding to the “bomb cyclone” in the Plains as never-before, all-time-record, etc. etc. Yes, this storm set pressure records in several cities, simply because the last time a cyclone of this strength, or stronger, went through that area, the center didn’t pass over those locations. Not to downplay that event, it was very impressive, but it was CERTAINLY not unprecedented. Not even close.

            1. There were also a fair amount from the end of the 1970s through the very early 1990s.

              1979-1980
              1980-1981
              1984-1985
              1985-1986
              1988-1989
              1989-1990
              1990-1991
              1991-1992

              All of those were below normal snow seasons.

              This link brings you to Boston’s annual snowfall for many years (1920-2015). NOTE that this is annual but not seasonal snowfall on this graph, but it still give you a clear indication of the “snow drought” from 1979 to 1992.

              https://isenseproject.org/visualizations/1100

          1. 1986-1987 was fairly snowy including the April 28-29 event (most snow fell on April 28).

            The 1982 April storm was one of 2 big storms in the Boston area in an otherwise so-so winter, so that winter was book-ended and fairly easy otherwise, although not as easy as this winter was.

            The 1997 April Fools storm was at the end of a snowy winter.

            So it can go either way.

  4. Good morning, everyone!
    And a fine one it is!

    I quick look in the garden finds the crocuses (croci???), snowdrops, daffodils, and a few tulips breaking through the ground.

    Did anyone see this video from last night’s storm?

    https://www.facebook.com/nbc10/videos/2257390241195743/

    Someone had his or her phone running when the next-door house (in Cranston) is struck by a lightning bolt! If you slow it down between 0:12-0:13, you can see the fire ball ignite the house.

    Thank you, TK!!!!

      1. No, that was just regular lightning. It’s common to see lingering light, perhaps something burning up in the air, plasma, a trick of the eye, or a trick of the camera, any of which are possible here.

  5. That was some intense thunderstorms it lasted over a half hour and rain continued for a bit after that. Good Boomers and light show. House was rattling. 2 days ago the entire ground was covered with snow, now only patches in the shaded areas. The water in the Marsh has risen to about the half way point of the old river bank in the back of my yard. PS my house is the highest point on the street. The stage that its at right now is probably flooding some of the yards down the street.

    Anyway this spring looks to have above normal temperatures and normal to below normal precipitation which would be nice.

    I hope we do not have another super el-nino, our oceans can not be dealt with another one so close together. Could lead to extensive coral bleeching/dye off events and fish die off events.

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