Thursday Forecast

42 Comments

7:27AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 28-APRIL 1)
High pressure sinks south of the region today and a cold front approaches and sort-of passes through tonight into Friday, coming to a stop somewhere over or just south of the region before retreating back to the north later Friday and Saturday. This should be possible as the high to the south will be a little stronger than the one to the north, and in many cases when we see the cold air win out, this time the warmer air should. But all the usual caveats are still there: Eastern coastal areas may take a little longer to warm, southern coastal areas will be much cooler as a south or southwest wind is onshore there. Regardless, a stronger cold front will be coming in from the west on Sunday, and again its exact timing will help determine temperature and any rain threat. Still leaning toward most of the day being on the warmer side and shower activity being limited. A band of scattered showers may form ahead of the main front earlier in the day with the main band of rain showers waiting until later with the front itself. Will fine-tune these details the next few days. By Monday, the first of April, it may feel a bit like winter again.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55 except 55-62 interior valleys. Wind light S.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Risk of brief rain showers. Lows 40-47. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 48-55 coastal areas, 56-63 interior. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 45-52 evening, may rise overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs ranging from 48-55 South Coast to 56-63 interior southern areas to 64-71 most other areas with a few warmer readings possible interior valleys. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 45-52. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Scattered rain showers possible any time. General showers likely from west to east later. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 most other areas but 64-71 possible some interior areas. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers possible eastern areas early, then clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 2-6)
Temperatures below normal much of this period. Watching for an ocean storm early period that may brush or graze the area with rain/mix/snow then more unsettled weather is possible both April 4 and 6 based on current timing.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 7-11)
Nearby boundary results in uncertain and low confidence temperature and weather forecast but for now continuing the same idea of leaning toward near to below normal temperatures with at least a couple bouts of potential unsettled weather. That said, not seeing a signal for an excessively wet period of weather either.

42 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

    1. I was talking about below normal temps for the early and middle portion of this week.

  5. Thank you, TK.

    March or April baseball in Boston is not exactly fun for players, given the often relatively cool or even cold conditions. So playing away from home during this period may be to players’ benefit. This said, there’s something wrong about baseball scheduling. This year, Bostons opens the season on the road (okay) and stays there for 11 days (with, I believe, only 1 day off – not okay on two counts), 2750 miles away from home much of the time (not okay). Whoever does scheduling needs to retake linear programming. It’s not that hard to ensure that every team in MLB plays a home opener some time during the first week of the regular season.

    I have an even bigger problem with football scheduling, which in my view is moronic. We’re talking a mere 16 game schedule, yet teams like the Patriots last year, play at home for 3 consecutive weeks and also play on the road for 3 consecutive weeks. That’s beyond dumb. It should be home, away, home, away, home away, etc … Take a look at the premier league (soccer) in England where teams play 35 games, I believe. It’s almost always home, away, home, away, etc … You hardly ever see a team play 2 games in a row at home or away. So, better scheduling can be done.

    1. Joshua, you just make too much sense for anyone to listen. The state of this country, I suppose. 🙂

    2. In addition to what you say, the baseball season is simply way too long.
      NEVER EVER should the season start in March, in fact I’d favor a 5/1 start to the season and a 9/15-9/25 end to the season. However many games can be played in that time frame is the season. But it ain’t never gonna happen.

  8. Thanks TK
    Opening Day of Baseball a sign of spring. Busy stretch in the sports calendar with the NCAA Tournament Baseball opening day The Masters the NBA and NHL playoffs and the first Saturday in May the Kentucky Derby.
    Red Sox and Yankees only play one series in September which I was a bit surprised when looking at the schedule.

    1. Close to Fenway Park. When I lived in the burbs it’s where I used to park my car on evenings that I went to a Sox game. It’s free parking and less than a mile from the park.

  10. Vicki, I like the playoffs in all sports, though I think there are too many playoff series, especially involving lesser teams. But, like you, I also wish they would get rid of divisions. So, have 2 conferences or leagues (baseball) and set it up in such a way that 4 teams make it to the playoffs in each conference or league. 1st round: The team with the best record plays the team with the 4th best record (home-field/court/ice advantage to the 1st team; team with second best record plays third best, home-field/court/ice advantage to the 2nd team. 2nd round involves winners from the 1st whereby the team remaining with the better record gets home-field/court/ice advantage.

    1. In basketball and hockey I don’t like best of seven for the first two rounds of the playoffs. Those two rounds should be best of five. Best of seven should be for conference championship and for the finals. To me the two winter sports should not be ending in June.

  13. Cat966g, in reply to your query above: The above normal temps were not expected until the end of this week. They are still going to occur, and there were well-explained caveats as well (South Coast, uncertainty with boundary from the north, etc). It may not end up being all that warm everywhere. As always in the spring, it’s highly dependent on location.

    The problem with media is they are so focused on days 5 through 10 now that they don’t really tell you what’s coming up the next few days… Things don’t get updated properly any longer because they don’t have time to talk about it.

    1. I know you can never depend on warm temp forcast this time of year. I certainly was not infering you forcasted warm temps. I was talking about everbody on twitter including mets posting long term temp forecast. Making it sound like 60 + temps were on the way dor the entire month.

          1. With that low well south, our temps should not be warm. I can understand a rain/snow line as an issue, but the upper air flow shown and the low position doesn’t make sense to me. Maybe I’m misinterpreting?

            1. Ant cold that was around has retreated, thus perfectly positioned low still too warm. It will be April after all.

            2. see the low over the plains and see the high in canada, you want that over us and the low depicted on the euro, off our coast to be well south and east or non-existent.

  15. Baseball season off to a good start for me. Will see how the Red Sox do as they open their title defense against the Mariners. The Orioles look so bad both the Yankees and Red Sox should be at worst 15-4 against them this season.

    1. Orioles used to be a proud franchise. It’s sad to see how incompetent that club has become. Loyal fan base, large market team with money, yet truly pitiful.

  16. The Orioles are hoping to do what the Astros and Cubs did. Be awful for 4 to 5 years draft well stock up the farm system and hope to win a World Series. The Orioles over under number was 55 this season. Last season they won 47 games with Manny Machado for half the season.

  17. Starting to think we may keep an east wind as far south as the Pike for the entire daylight of Saturday. If it still looks this way to me tomorrow morning I will chop temps by 10 to 20 degrees (depending on location).

  18. 25. 26.6” = 1984-85
    26. 27.4” = 2018-19 #
    27. 27.5” = 1978-79
    28. 27.6” = 1974-75
    29. 27.7” = 1943-44
    30. 29.7” = 1950-51

    # to date

  19. Sox and Sale looked PATHETIC. Way to go with that nice extension. 🙂

    Just getting started, so we shall see how it goes.

    Euro still shows rain, however, thermal profiles are colder, not enough, but considerably colder.

    1. Well, we know that the entire season should be defined by game 1, just like people defined last year’s team by the first few weeks. 😉 Nothing new there! 😉

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