7:29AM
DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 29-APRIL 2)
A few minor tweaks being made to this forecast, the most notable one being to slow the timing of the return of the front that passes as a cold front today moving back tonight and Saturday as a warm front. It may take until the end of the day for that front to completely get itself back to the north and everyone into the warm sector, so this will happen lastly in northeastern MA and southern NH later Saturday. A cold front crosses the region later Sunday, which itself will be a fairly mild day until nightfall. As April gets underway, we’ll be back in the chill, and we will be watching a storm south of the region by late Tuesday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers. Highs 48-55 coastal areas, 56-63 interior. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming W.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 44-51. Wind W 5-15 MPH becoming N to NE.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy, gradually becoming partly cloudy from south to north. Highs 50-65, coolest South Coast, but warmest readings not being reached in northern areas until late day. Wind light E gradually shifting to S and SW increasing to 5-15 MPH from south to north.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Rain showers crossing the region west to east during the afternoon. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 most other areas but 64-71 possible some interior areas. Wind SW 10-20 MPH shifting to W late in the day.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers possible eastern areas early, then clearing. Lows 30-37. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 15-25 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 28-35. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Clouding up. Highs 40-47. Wind light N to E.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 3-7)
Offshore storm may be close enough to bring some precipitation early in the period. A disturbance from the west brings cloudiness and a slight precipitation threat about April 6. Temperatures mostly below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 8-12)
Although the upper air pattern looks warm the surface pattern may have other ideas and keep it much more seasonable to even at times cool. A couple bouts of unsettled weather are possible during this period.
Thanks mucho, TK…
Many of you are scientists out there. Today is the last school day of March.
Can you tell me this…? If March and July both have 31 calendar days in them, why is March twice as long as July??? 🙂
Maybe it’s a teacher thing, right Tom?
Heard peepers here in Middleborough the other day!
Remembering our third March, 2010 rainstorm nine years ago today (has it been nine years???) resulting in major flooding for the area.
One of Chris Sale’s homerun balls that he gave up just flew by my classroom window!!
Yikes. Back at it tonight. That the good thing about baseball.
Enjoy your day, my friends! 🙂
Because March lasts from Winter to Spring thus spanning 2 seasons while July
only has one season, Summer???
Best I can do, otherwise I am stumped.
Please reveal the answer on your next break.
Thanks
Just an observation, JPD, not a riddle. I find March drags while July files by!!!
I am pretty literal, thus I clearly thought it was a riddle.
If so, not a bad answer, eh?
Enjoy the beautiful weather. 🙂
For the record, I don’t see it that way. In fact I thought that March passed almost instantaneously to me.
I try to be a “live for today person” and enjoy every day. It just seems that there are 62 days in March. 🙂
It is a very long stretch in school. There are 8-9 weeks between vacations and no holidays.
But I am grateful for each and every day (and its weather!!!!)
I guess this is a Teacher thing and looking at it from your perspective I can understand why. For the rest of us, simply not the case. 🙂
I’ll have to ask my daughter how she feels about March.
Thank you TK and Happy Friday to all.
Good morning and thank you TK.
You wrote: “It may take until the end of the day for that front to completely get itself back to the north and everyone into the warm sector, so this will happen lastly in northeastern MA and southern NH later Saturday.”
One of our customary Spring rituals around these parts. 🙂 NOT surprised at all.
Btw, Our Neighbor’s Daffodils are in FULL bloom across the street from us.
Thank you, TK.
Sox are done. Time to re-build for next year. … So it seems from some of the commentary on sports radio on Sale and the team.
My only comment to that is….
For $29,000,000 per year, that was a pretty piss-poor performance by Sale.
AND his velocity kept dropping…NOT a good sign.
Hope it is a matter of him simply NOT being ready. Let us hope anyway.
It was. But, Sale essentially hasn’t pitched since last October. He barely participated in spring training. Lack of command was the bigger issue yesterday. Not velocity.
I do wish that he would eat more carbs. I’m serious. His build worries me. He doesn’t have to become Bartolo Colon. But, having more bulk could help.
Command very well may have been an issue, however,
when the velocity is off, good major league hitters
are going to tee off on the pitcher.
I agree on the bulk. Sale looks like a string bean.
Perhaps he should give Roger Clemons a call….Oh wait a minute, we don’t want Sale hooked up with performance enhancing drugs.
Concerning is the fact that Sale had gotten Tim Beckham out in his previous 15 at-bats, mostly on the fastball up. This time that same fastball with less life was crushed by Beckham, twice. Beckham is not a bad player. Of course, the hapless Orioles gave up on him, which is stupid given that he’s getting paid league minimum and he’s probably better than half the players the Orioles currently have on their roster.
Patriots were done before they even began last season so for the Sox to have a game under their belt, I’d say this is an improvement 😉
psssttt – remember, my view of Boston sports fans 😀
Thanks TK !
Captain, March is 1,000 times longer than July ! 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Must be a teacher thing. Cheer up, almost over.
march is twice as long as July because you get the end of winter and also that 4 week period of crappy early spring weather generally in which you can’t do much. July is the middle of Summer and we are enjoying the Sunshine and beach weather. I honestly hate April the most due to allergies, no more skiing yet still to cold to go to the beach and the MTNs are generally not ready for MTN biking.
Well, I must be in an island on this issue. Oh well, not the 1st time.
12Z GFS now a swing and a miss for 4/3.
Thank you, TK.
Do you think you can dispense with the rain by about 5:30 so I can cook out. I set the alarms off every time I try to cook meat indoors. Thank you 😉
July is shorter because the kids are out of school and as a nana and as I did as a mom, I cherish having them around all day and want to hold onto it as long as possible.
Crocuses are past here, tulips are coming up. I can see very small buds on some of our smaller trees.
my crocuses have yet to come up which to me tells me that I got a bad batch last year.
Mine haven’t come up either. Give them time. Once we get a couple warm ups, everything will bust out.
Looking at the 12z GFS, of the next 16 days, on that run there look to be two days firmly below normal for temperatures (this coming Monday+Tuesday). Other than that, it’s all near or in most cases above normal. We’ll see how that fares. As you all know I’ve been all aboard the warmth train but even I expect a little more in the way of ups and downs at least for early April. I don’t think ~80% of days above normal is achievable.
However, the point is, the upper level pattern we’re in cannot be denied. The local quirks of New England climate mean that a rotten day here and there are inevitable, but it’s going to be predominantly warmer than average for weeks to come. Even SNE may have a shot at 80s around 4/10 or soon after.
What are your thoughts on the 4/3 event?
It’s close enough to keep an eye on, though more likely to be a graze or miss. It’s another split flow situation, and this time there won’t be any attempt at phasing, it’s southern stream only. And the southern stream trough will be deamplifying as it nears the coast. So all in all definitely not a setup that favors a “classic” coastal storm. If it does come close enough for significant precipitation, it would very likely be too warm for snow in most of SNE.
My guess for late spring and summer a degree or two above normal with stretches of high dew points because of all the wet ground to the southwest. Also SE ridge will be cranking.
Vicki, you’re correct about Boston sports fans. Wonderful in some ways, especially in the knowledge department. But also very negative, even when in the midst of a truly incredible title run across all 4 major sports.
On a different topic, the lawsuit below caught my attention. I am generally opposed to litigiousness. I feel it’s generally over-the-top in the U.S. But, this one involving weather channel storm chasers going 70mph, running a stoplight, and then killing a person, is warranted, in my view:
https://www.boston.com/news/national-news/2019/03/29/weather-channel-is-sued-over-deadly-crash-involving-storm-chasers
I’ll never get the negativity. No other city has seen this and it’s very possible no other city ever will. Yet, sports radio hosts are tossing the Sox season and Chris Sale in the trash after ONE game. Guess what folks…That 12-4 loss will not be the worst loss of the season for the Sox, and like last year, they will win A LOT of games. And they will be in the post season, and make a run. Repeat? We’ll see. Not easy to do. But they will take us for a fun ride. But today, people are judging the ride before they’re even in their seats. Laughable. 😛
For the record, I wasn’t judging the season, but I was
really down on last nights pathetic performance, most especially Sale who just was awarded a big contract extension. Like it or not, that pisses the hell out of me. At least freakin pitch competitively, not like a little leaguer! With that performance, I am disgusted.
I have NOT given up on the season, not even Sale’s.
I’ll repeat the words I heard often from Ted. It is when a player or a team is down that it or he needs the support of fans the most. Boston sports casters hated him….to the point where one reported and had to rescind (buried in the paper) that at his induction into the hall of fame that he’d used the F word at an older woman when she talked during his speech. I sat in the front as his guest. It was a bald faced lie but typical of Boston sports media. And the boos from the fans if he didn’t perform as they demanded were more hurtful than angering. I also will never understand it either, TK. We all have bad days…..we all have slumps.
This is about as close as the Euro gets with next week’s system as RAIN.
https://imgur.com/a/i4Qoscs
From Ryan Hanrahan for next week.
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1111716077980041216
JpDave… I knew you were not judging the season. That was more a tongue-in-cheek comment but half truth based off the sports radio folks today. 😉 You know it’s a long seas and yup, the game sucked, but it was just the game, not the season. 😉
My comment was also not directed at you, JPD, but mostly media followed by fans who sit in the stands and boo.
With baseball I always say talk to me at the All Star Break and let’s see where the teams are at.
Do you have a Masters favorite. I may be able to watch it this year.
I am going to say for the Masters Dustin Johnson. If Rory Mcliroy could putt and drive the ball as well as he does he could win the Masters and complete the career grand slam.
I like your Choice. Would love to see Rory complete a grand slam
Thank you !
Do the Yankees have an 11-game homestand at the same time the Red Sox have this dreaded 11-game West Coast trip? Not fair at all imho.
I blame MLB scheduling. No team should be opening the season on ANY coast. Teams shouldn’t be traveling no more than a few hundred miles of their home city. Save these East/West Coast trips for May and beyond.
I don’t agree at all. In the end they all play pretty much the same places as many times as everybody. In the end, they all play the same amount of games at home & on the road. These people get paid millions of dollars to play. They can handle it.
So if the teams that have home stadiums on the coast, they can’t play to start the season because nobody can come to play there? That makes no sense. There’s nothing really wrong with the MLB schedule other than the season being too long.
I’m loving doing that trip now if I’m the Red Sox! Wouldn’t you rather play in mild to warm and dry weather on the west coast in April rather than damp/cool 45 degree weather in Boston?
The Yankees home stand to start the season is 6 games. They then go on the road to play the Orioles and the Astros.
This is quite interesting. And even more so when comparing to last season….
NWS Eastern Region tweet:
An updated listing of the top 5 highest snowfall totals by state across the Eastern US as of March 28th. For comparison, we have compiled a similar top 5 listing of snowfall totals for all of last year. The snow season runs from July1-June30.
https://twitter.com/NWSEastern/status/1111382054917169152
Meant to post this the other day….
Awesome shot of Tuckermans Ravine taken from Wildcat Mtn and zoomed in. Look at the massive fracture in the snow along the headwall from an avalanche last weekend after the snowstorm:
https://twitter.com/WXKnapper/status/1110994168950722568
Ryan Knapp tweet
21 hours ago….
The @mwobs #webcam that we installed today on @skiwildcat has a great zoom (1st image is looking at the smt of Mt Washington) and works great in low light (2nd image taken an hour after sunset). Still working things out but looking good so far. https://www.mountwashington.org/premium-content/webcam-videos/ravines.aspx … #nhwx #nh – at Mount
https://twitter.com/WXKnapper/status/1111445695360364544
And here’s a cool shot of them doing the install….
https://twitter.com/WXKnapper/status/1111362694916030464
18z GFS / 18z FV3 / 12z CMC are all a miss with the midweek ocean storm next week.
18z ICON is a sideswipe and brings a period of rain to eastern SNE while western areas stay dry.
Ryan HanrahanVerified account @ryanhanrahan · 2h2 hours ago
35 years ago today the epic March 1984 Nor’Easter. Intense tornadoes in North Carolina, a severe downburst in Massachusetts, 18″ of snow in Litchfield County, 70 mph wind gusts, and severe coastal flooding. That was a big one. #nbcct
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1111735782589546499
Looking warmer for most of the country but let’s see how much of this actually verifies for New England…
Eric FisherVerified account @ericfisher
Warmest CPC (6-10, 8-14 day) outlooks for the Lower 48 in quite some time. The climb out of winter.
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1111730761370091520
They tend to over-forecast warmth in the spring for this part of the country.
7 day forecasts from around the dial: https://i.imgur.com/BC8aR1Y.jpg
(I make these every Friday and Monday. Trying to remember to post them here.)
Wow. Take the gfs fv3 out back to the shed and put it out of its misery. Look at this April 11th scenario it puts on us: https://i.imgur.com/I5isFo9.jpg
No fears, gone on the 6Z run….
This is what we are dealing with today….
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
Euro looking interesting for 4/6. Still rain in SNE, but close.
https://imgur.com/a/lpdegSX
Sox looked like they were tired of playing on the West Coast last night. 😉
Hey at least I was up for the great finish!
New post!