Friday Forecast

86 Comments

9:02AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 26-30)
The final 5 days of April, a month that has been frequently unsettled but mild, will continue the unsettled pattern but start to tilt the temperature scale to a lower level as we see cooler weather overall. The unsettled weather will be here today in the form of warm frontal rain morning and midday and cold frontal showers and possible thunderstorms later today and especially tonight. As low pressure intensifies while moving into eastern Canada, the back side will bring blustery weather for Saturday with a gusty wind, cool air, and although most wet weather will be gone pre-dawn, there still may be a passing shower triggered by cold air aloft. Often times after a day like that, high pressure would settle in for nice weather the next day, but not this time. Another, albeit smaller, low pressure area will come racing along for more unsettled weather Sunday, and it may end up cold enough Sunday night before the precipitation exits that it may end up mixed with some frozen stuff in areas north and west of Boston, especially higher elevations. This will then lead to the only really nice day in the 5-day forecast period, Monday, which will feature plenty of sun which will feel nice even though the air will be on the cool side. A warm front will be moving in by Tuesday with more clouds and potential wet weather.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain morning and midday. Isolated to scattered rain showers afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind light SE.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Possible thunder. Temperatures rise to 53-60. Wind S 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Isolated rain showers. Temperatures steady 53-60. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing.
SUNDAY: Clouding over. Rain likely from mid afternoon on. Highs 55-62. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming SE.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with rain, may mix with snow north and west of Boston before ending. Clearing overnight. Lows 35-42. Wind variable 5-15 MPH becoming N.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 55-60 coast, 60-65 interior. Wind NW 5-15 MPH becoming light variable with sea breezes.
MONDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 40-47. Wind light variable.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 48-55. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 1-5)
The boundary between Canadian chill and southeastern US warmth will be nearby. This is an unsettled pattern and for this area likely near to below normal temperatures.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 6-10)
Little change to the overall pattern of DAYS 6-10 to start, then may try to reverse and go milder and less unsettled.

86 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK for that detailed update.

    Happy it was just a plumber issue. I understand old pipe issues as my house
    is nearly 200 years old. 🙂 🙂

  2. I find it interesting with the Sunday night potential coinciding with 1987 and even the first days of May with 1977.

    1. The May 1977 event was almost mid month (9th-10th). The only coincidence with the other event is date as that was the night of April 28 into early April 29 but that was a major snowstorm. This would be a mix in limited areas.

      1. Yep – Easy to remember…..May 9 is my cousin’s birthday and April 29 is my brother’s. I miss both more than words can say.

  3. Thanks TK !

    Good for Charlie Coyle getting game timing and game winning goal after earlier turnover in defensive zone.

    1. That game ending goal was one of the best I have ever seen.
      Perfect set up with the 2 passes and the final shot into net.
      fantastic!!

      1. It was. I saw it on replay.

        I didn’t know if the game was going to go on forever and I didn’t want to end up awake til all hours, so I stopped at the end of the 3rd period.

        Was happy to see they won this morning. It ended quickly in OT.

        1. I’ll never forget going to Easter midnight liturgy and getting home around 2:30 or 3am and the Caps-Islanders game was still going in like the 4th OT. This was in the 1980s.

        2. I think we can almost award an honorary assist to the Blue Jackets defenseman that tried to call an offsides instead of staying with the play and letting the linesmen do their job. He lost a step and I think that lead to Coyle being that open.

          1. Amazing that the Bruins will have home ice for the remainder of the playoffs including the Stanley Cup finals. Imagine the team skating around with the Cup around TD Garden ice after a game 7 victory! Still a long way to go on that, of course. 🙂

            1. Could that be after a game 5 as well? I don’t know if the setup is different for the finals.

        1. I thought that trade was a very good one. I liked Donato but he needed to go somewhere else to blossom.

  5. Thank you, TK.

    Could have kept the outdoor site visit for fireworks this am. Oh well, no harm no foul. I am better next Thursday am will be a torrential downpour.

  6. This is exactly why I dislike spring so much. Not the pollen, it’s the cold, raw feel to the air and rain. For those that live in the Woburn area, now is right around the time the Boys & Girls Club host the carnival at the movie theatre and it rains all week.

    1. That’s in about a month (May 16-19), so we’ll see what the pattern is like then. 🙂

      One thing we have not head much of yet is this chilly/raw stuff. It’s been quite warm this month so far, and now we’re giving some of that back.

      1. Tornado Watch now posted for that area: eastern Maryland/DC, central Pennsylvania, Delaware and southern New Jersey.

        Severe Thunderstorm Warning for western Long Island/

    1. Thank you! 🙂
      It’s awesome to see you commenting here. I highly encourage you to do so as often as you like, especially if you are “porch chasing” during thunderstorm season. 😉

  12. Yikes! Looks like that tornadic cell passed a few miles east of my house. The radar indicated cell was over Willington which is the next town NE of me.

    I am at work in Manchester now – we had one heavy downpour already, now it is pitch black and pouring again as the next cluster of storms moves in….

    1. AWESOME!!! Absolutely fascinating! And thank you for posting. Much appreciated. A new learning experience.

  14. TK, Kelly Hrudey was the Islanders goaltender in that 1987 4OT “Easter Epic” game 7 vs the Capitals. He had 73 saves in that game. Pat LaFontaine did score the game winning goal though I don’t recall who he beat. Both are probably my favorite Islanders from that era. That was right around the time I started following them. Incredible game indeed!

  15. BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
    Tornado Warning
    National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
    249 PM EDT FRI APR 26 2019

    The National Weather Service in Boston/Norton has issued a

    * Tornado Warning for…
    Southwestern Worcester County in central Massachusetts…
    Southeastern Hampden County in western Massachusetts…

    * Until 315 PM EDT.

    * At 249 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
    was located over Holland, or 17 miles east of Springfield, moving
    northeast at 35 mph.

    HAZARD…Tornado.

    SOURCE…Radar indicated rotation.

    IMPACT…Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
    shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
    Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
    damage is likely.

    * This dangerous storm will be near…
    Brimfield around 300 PM EDT.
    Sturbridge and Warren around 310 PM EDT.
    North Brookfield, West Brookfield, Brookfield, East Brookfield and
    New Braintree around 315 PM EDT.

    1. NWS has allowed the tornado warning in Tolland and Windham Counties in CT to expire. Their statement noted that there has been no confirmed tornado in either county as of 2:50PM.

    1. Interesting JJ that JR mentioned that they have lately been putting the disclaimer (which they did for this one) that a severe t storm can produce a tornado. We had talked about that last year when the tornado went Douglas to Upton.

  19. Reading the statement with the severe thunderstorm warning the storm is producing large hail. Warning goes to 3:45pm

  20. If anybody out there drove through this cell or had it pass near or over your location, even if you have not commented before (I’ll look for new ones and approve them) please let us know what you saw.

    No report of tornado touching down but I would like to know what did occur (hail, etc).

    This cell, though not totally surprising given where the warm air is, was somewhat of a surprise to me because I thought the best shot would be a few hours from now and the ability to get one to spin would be diminished. But that’s weather for you.

    1. I was shocked. I saw Tom’s comments about south of here (I think it was Tom). So when I saw tornado warning mentioned on WHW, I thought it was more well south of us.

  21. I was surprised when I saw a tornado warning issued for northeastern parts of CT and in MA. I thought the severe weather would be in the Mid Atlantic.

  22. One person on the Sutton FB page is in Spencer – east of the warned area – and said she is just having rain.

    We just had a very brief burst of small hail – just as grandkids got off the bus

  23. No hail here in Sturbridge. But absolutely pouring. No wind to speak of. No lightning either as of right now.

  25. The tornado warned storm went by to my west with very little effect here. Hearing thunder as I type this torrential rain, large drops, as the next line is coming through Moving from south to north. The one that was warned was more of a discrete cell, vs the line of storms that seem to be forming in northern Connecticut

  26. Hard to believe with this being such a raw, chilly, damp day, tornadoes are even discussed in forecasts at all. Brrrrrr!

  31. Ryan Hanrahan tweeted earlier about what WxW mentioned above…

    Ryan Hanrahan‏Verified account @ryanhanrahan · 2h2 hours ago

    I think a lot of the low level rotation detected on radar was spurious. Something called side lobe contamination. Rotation higher up (say 10,000ft above our heads) was displayed much lower to the ground.

    https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1121854776055074816

  32. Anyone have any idea where I could find percentage of available sunshine we have had so far this month? I know it has been warmer than average, but I will be shocked if it has been sunnier than average.

    1. Blue Hill Observatory calculates it but I think it’s compiled monthly and released at the end. It’ll be below average. But that makes sense because we’ve had a pattern which sent many systems through. It was drier than normal until a few days ago and is running a few degrees warmer than average, but that’ll come back down somewhat these last 5 days of the month.

  34. Main rain area has reached the city. It’s pouring here. Thought I just heard “distant”
    Thunder, but cannot be sure.

  35. It seems that most of the rains this month have been falling overnights and tonight is no exception. I believe most of our snows this past winter (what few there were) mostly fell overnights as well.

    One has to feel for restaurants and other businesses and events that depend on evening customers.

    2. also if one is going to own a business in a location with changeable and often Stormy Weather that person has to be willing to accept the consequences of weather that does impact their business. Otherwise it would be a wiser choice for them to open a business like that in San Diego

  36. Thank you, TK!

    Heard some thunder in the distance.

    It’s too bad we’re in such a drought … not! The grass is very green, though. Ducks are frolicking about in the puddles. Mushrooms are growing in the Esplanade Park. I don’t think they’re of the `magic’ variety. I haven’t tried one yet.

    The forecast for Boston the coming week looks like one you’d see in Belfast. Sun makes an occasional cameo appearance. Clouds dominate. Rain showers, too. Gray and dismal. I do hope we dry out in June through October. I’m up to here with the precipitation. A good chunk of March was a nice reprieve, with extended sunny and dry weather. But besides that it’s been a 9 month long active and progressive pattern, with the emphasis on active.

  37. This is by far the worst April and early will be in a very long time. Could care less that we are running slightly above average. So frustrating for all the kids sports this spring.

    1. Rain and mud are a challenge. To me…it is one of the best life lessons do a youngun….and in many cases for an oldun

  38. Torrential rain, lightning and thunder here in Coventry CT yet only 43 degrees.

    Up to 2” of rain now on the day and 8.15” for the month of April.

    1. You’re in Hartford?

      Just had sky open here but only for a minute. It was an arm of what is just west of us

  40. Complete deluge here. Frequent lightning and thunder continues. Up to 2.22” and 8.4” on the month. Increasing by the minute…

  41. I believe I heard Eric say that April 2019 has had the most rainy days in Boston weather history for ANY month.

    2. It has not, yet, but it will.

      But here’s the thing, other than Monday’s event and today’s event, we had light events. Before these 2 events we were running BELOW AVERAGE for rain and ABOVE AVERAGE for temp.

      It has not been miserable. Do you know how many Aprils we’ve had days and days and DAYS of low overcast, fog, drizzle, and 40s? Yup, alot. This was not one of those months.

  42. I’m getting that here now mark. After it hits you it’s coming north to me. Torrential rain, I’m getting 2.78” an hour rain rates on my weather station. Picked up 1.25” so far today.

  43. It is decided. Media has really groomed society to be traumatized by nearly all weather. Sad.

    I understand folks that suffer depression as a result of darkness or bad weather, but otherwise it’s time for people to learn to suck up the reality of how spring goes around here. It’s never been any different. Sure, some springs are less cloudy, and others are more. And despite being about to break a record for the most number of days with measurable precipitation in any calendar month, that’s actually a pretty lame record if you think about how many months we’ve had extremely prolific rainfall. This is a wet month, but not an extreme one. Sorry. It’s a hype-buy if you believe that.

    End of editorial. 😉

  44. Well I was all amped up from chasing a bit tonight so I wrote the blog early and it’s ready…

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