The Week Ahead (September 19-25)

25 Comments

10:10PM

After a chilly finish to this week, the upcoming week will feature above normal temperatures as high pressure builds off the East Coast and dominates the weather through midweek. It will still be a bit cool on Monday to start the week as a cool onshore flow of air continues. A weakening frontal system will try to push into the region Tuesday, but will fall apart up against high pressure, and produce more in the way of clouds rather than any rain threat. We’ll have to wait for a second low pressure and frontal system which will move slowly west to east across the region Thursday and Friday, with unsettled weather at that time. It looks like a new push of dry air, but this time mild rather than chilly, will arrive in time for next weekend!

Boston Area Forecast…

OVERNIGHT: Mostly clear. Low 39-44 inland to 44-49 coast. Wind E under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. High 61-66 coast to 67-72 inland. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low 55-60. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. High 70-75. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 76.

THURSDAY: PM showers. Low 61. High 77.

FRIDAY: AM showers. Low 60. High 71.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 51. High 74.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 50. High 70.

25 thoughts on “The Week Ahead (September 19-25)”

  1. In Berlin now. Here is the TK forecast and “score.”

    17 Sep: Sunshine, clouds late, high 70. TK Score=A+ On the money!
    18 Sep: Lots of clouds, periods of showers, high 60. TK Score=A- Rained all day, but we managed to do everything.

    Also watched the Pats which ended here at 1:30 am.

    2. Why am I not surprised there was steadier rain than it looked like for the 2nd day? I seem to remember that being the case quite often when I forecast there on a regular basis. But at least you got your activities in!

  2. Longshot,

    Have a great trip !!

    Bright yellow sun shining beautifully out there…….Liking the look of next weekend’s forecast. By then, the Red Sox should be eliminated from playoff contention. 🙁 Have a good day all !!

  3. Tom,

    Unreal how the Sox are playing but I have to say I have moved on to football which is far more entertaining with the limited time I have to watch tv:).

  4. I just heard on the weather channel WSI is going to issue their winter outlook today.
    The one thing good for the Red Sox is they have the easier schedule playing the Orioles 7 times.

  8. Just got through reading WSI prediction for the late fall and early winter. It looks like temps above normal for October and below normal for November and December. They expect the La Nina to strengthen to moderate levels.

    1. Hmmm…interesting. Perhaps this means that above normal snows are possible after all, but I am still not convinced as yet that we will see similar amounts to last winter. Jimmy, I still like your snow totals (40-50″) and I might go just a teeny, tiny above yours, but I am hoping to be more confident by the end of October.

  9. Weren’t the predictions for a below normal snow this time of year last year? I seem to remember feeling disappointed.

    1. Yes, it was mostly based on having a strong la Nina, however the teleconnections were the major wild card. Same goes for this winter, although the la Nina won’t be as strong in the beginning of winter.
      I’m thinking a bunch of moderate snow events in the first half, then either mixed/rain events will follow in the second half with 1 or 2 major snowfalls.

      1. Which is why because of that “second” half, I can’t justify such enormous snow totals that have been hinted at here on this blog at times. I would think that any mixed/rain events would have to be few and far between (and in limited areas) for a well above normal snowy winter. October/early November forecasts will likely be the deciding factor.

        1. My feelings as well Vicki…no more than 60 inches. As much as I love snow, it was a pain walking around at times. I mostly take public transit.

  10. With WSI outlook to me it seems the worst of winter will be the first part of winter like in 2008-09 winter when Boston had I believe one of the top 5 snowiest December’s on record.

    1. Boston 2008-09 snowfall = 65.9″ but IIRC the second half of winter was still fairly snowy. The last major snow that season was March 2, 2009 when Boston had a little over a foot. It turned very mild immediately thereafter IIRC.

  11. IIRC Brett Anderson mentioned in one of his blogs that he will give his (final?) 2011-12 Winter Outlook in mid-October. If so, I am very much looking forward to it. 🙂

    1. I don’t know when Brett will give his final outlook but I believe Henry Margusity will give an
      updated winter forecast in October like he did last year. He said back in August we would have normal snowfall but
      snowlovers on the I-95 corridor will be on the line between snow or a rain snow mix.

      1. I am absolutely positive that Henry will give another outlook in December as well…unless he changes his mind at some point later.

        I wish now that I “saved” Brett’s earlier blog regarding his outlook like I did Henry’s. Oh well, we will know eventually.

  13. Updating now. Have to tilt things a bit more negative at the end of the week, unfortunately.

    Apologies for not being able to update earlier or comment today. A cousin lost her battle with cancer late last week and her wake was today. A sad day because we will miss her, but we are happy to have been able to spend time with this wonderful lady. She died too young (in her 50s) but spent many of those years making others laugh. And now she is resting in peace.

    On to the weather, what a day today! Interruption tomorrow, nice again Wednesday but a bit humid, then things go downhill. Working on a new post now, and it will be out by 10:30PM.

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