11:07AM
DAYS 1-5 (MAY 11-15)
High pressure moves in today with nice weather, and then attempts to hold off advancing low pressure from the southwest on Sunday, somewhat successfully, although not without some cloudiness and perhaps a little South Coast rainfall. A stronger push of low pressure then makes the early part of the week unsettled and quite cool, before the low gets east of the region for some drying but upper level low pressure keeps it cool and slightly unsettled for midweek.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 59-66. Wind W 5-15 MPH and gusty.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 40-47. Wind light W.
SUNDAY: Filtered sunshine north, cloudier south with a couple episodes of light rain possible South Coast. Highs 57-64. Wind light variable becoming SE.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 41-48. Wind light E.
MONDAY: Overcast. Areas of drizzle especially coastal locations. Rain arriving. Highs 47-54. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Overcast. Rain and drizzle. Areas of fog. Lows 43-50. Wind NE 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Overcast morning with rain tapering off. Mostly cloudy afternoon with scattered rain showers. Temperatures steady 43-50. Wind NE to N 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Scattered rain showers. Highs 50-57. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 16-20)
Upper level low pressure may hang around for a couple days before being replaced by a flat ridge of high pressure. This period should be mostly dry, but not completely rain-free, though timing is uncertain on disturbances and shower threats, so will have to fine-tune that. The temperature trend should be warming, as it starts out below normal and ends near to above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 21-25)
Current thinking is a warm and dry start to the period with upper ridge overhead, then a wetter, cooler trend toward the end as low pressure arrives from the west.
Thank you, TK
Thanks TK !
August 1st equivalent sun today.
Tjanls TK and enjoy this great day!
oh brother, typos
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thanks, TK
10+ today!!!!
11 π
11 is a perfect number. 11 in the 11th
One daughter and family is at Humarock. Another is at a horse show in Halifax. Awesome day for both or to just be
Toward the end of the 12z runs, the GFS & FV3 are completely opposite.
Accumulating snow showing up for parts of the Northeast on the 12z runs of the American models for Monday night into Tuesday.
Top 10 weather day today in my opinion. It was a great day to get out and enjoy playing some golf.
12z FV3 for Tuesday AM:
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=fv3p®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2019051112&fh=72
Pivotal Kuchera snowmap:
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs_fv3&p=snku_acc&rh=2019051112&fh=102&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Talk about freak late season snow, Tuscany Italy received nearly a foot of it yesterday! Check out this awesome time lapse showing the snow accumulating and then melting rapidly. From spring to winter to spring in about 36 hours!
https://twitter.com/ABC/status/1126908956780240896?s=20
Massive waterspout caught on film off the southern shores of Singapore earlier. Amazing how it spins in place with barely any movement…
https://twitter.com/ChannelNewsAsia/status/1127085695451844608?s=20
Another view:
https://twitter.com/SkyNews/status/1127181567216865280?s=20
Any guess as to when the rains reach the south shore tomorrow?
Tough to call because as the initial punch of moisture is trying to get into New England, the northern stream will be temporarily holding or trying to hold the system back.
Both the GFS and Euro today have the classic jump to a shot of very warm to hot weather 9 to 10 days from now.
I’d bet on it, very few 70s and low 80s to acclimate ….. 50s, 60s or 90.
Today was awesome !!!!
Congress should change Motherβs Day to the 2nd Saturday in May. π
I think it’s fine just where it is. π
One question I have after looking at 0z NAM run. What month is this?
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2019051200&fh=63&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
Sun is gone, back to gray…
Red sky this morning…you know the rest. π
And rain…
New post!
Happy Mother’s Day if this applies to you!