Friday Forecast

70 Comments

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 17-21)
A low pressure system will send its warm front / cold front combo through southern New England today, producing some spring showers (hey it’s all in the wording, right?). High pressure builds in for a beautiful Saturday, warmest inland, cooler near the coast with sea breezes. A warm front will cross the region Sunday with some cloudiness but the shower threat appears to be very limited, so count it as a basically dry day, and turning warmer. And the warm air will be quite established for Monday, which will be a preview of summer, and may feature a late-day shower/thunderstorm threat as a cold front approaches. Behind that front will come a comfortable and dry day Tuesday. Yes folks, the weather pattern has changed. All you needed was some patience. 🙂
Forecast details…
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through mid morning favoring areas north of I-90. Isolated to scattered rain showers thereafter. Slight risk of a thunderstorm late-day. Highs 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clearing. Lows 45-52. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 42-47 interior/rural, 47-52 coastal/urban. Wind light NW.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy morning with a slight risk of a passing rain shower especially northern MA and southern NH, then mostly sunny. Highs 65-72 South Coast, 73-80 elsewhere, occurring late-day many areas. Wind light variable becoming S then SW increasing to 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. More humid. Lows 55-62. Wind S to SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Late day showers or thunderstorms possible. Humid. Highs 65-72 Cape Cod, 73-80 remainder of southeastern MA and immediate RI shore as well as parts of Cape Ann MA, 80-87 elsewhere. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with a shower or thunderstorm possible early, then clearing. Lows 53-60. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Drier. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 22-26)
Overall upper pattern will feature a ridge of high pressure centered just west of New England. A few disturbances may still bring episodes of unsettled weather but the emphasis will be on fair weather and temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 27-31)
High pressure should strengthen for a drier, warmer pattern, but with cooler coastal areas at times. We will still have to watch jet stream disturbances passing over the top of the ridge. Any of them strong enough can dig a temporary trough and bring brief unsettled weather.

70 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK !

    May San Jose and St Louis go 6 or 7 games and play at least one triple overtime game.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.

    A few light rain showers on the way in to the office this morning.

    Nice job by the Bruins.

  8. There is a bear in a tree in Arlington near the Winchester line. Toward your neck of the woods, TK. I’m watching the video and it seems to be raining fairly heavily there. Just some sprinkles here.

  10. Good morning, mis amigos…
    Happy Friday!

    Overcast and a slight drizzle in Cranberry Country at 10 am…

    I heard on the radio this morning and I just confirmed it with my own research that the Bruins’ Stanley Cup finals series next week will be our 18th championship series/Super Bowl this century!!!! The Patriots have been to nine Super Bowls since 2002; the Red Sox have won four World Series since 2004; the Celtics two NBA Finals since 2008 and this will be the Bruins’ third Stanley Cup Finals since 2011.

    1. I believe if the Bruins win, it will be the first time that any city has had 3 of their major teams win within the same 365 days .Red Sox Fall, Patriots Winter and Bruins spring.

  13. Looks to me like any severe weather threat on Monday will be confined
    to areas N&W of Boston. ie NOT the coast, as per usual. 🙂

  15. Needless to say the pattern this season is not good for the Bruins:

    Penguins swept by the Islanders
    Islanders swept by the Hurricanes
    Hurricanes swept by the Bruins
    Bruins……………

      1. That would not fit the pattern 🙂 Don’t underestimate the rust factor. It can be a KILLER when you are rolling along in the playoffs. I do agree with TK that I think the Bruins can overcome it, but Game 1 at least there will probably be some visible effects of the layoff.

        1. Goaltending makes all the difference in the postseason. If Rask is still on his game, Bruins should be ok in the series.

  16. Eric Fisher‏Verified account @ericfisher · 16h16 hours ago

    Still a little uncertain on cloud cover Sunday. Clouds look likely in the morning, but if we bust into the sun we’re going to rocket into the 80s. Air mass heading in is very warm/supportive…just need the sunshine (current forecast high is ~77F)

    https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1129187726413189120

  18. The southeast is going to BAKE later next week. Lots of records will fall if the models are correct…

    Peter Mullinax‏ @wxmvpete

    In Atlanta, 93+ degrees in the month of May isn’t that common. In fact it has only happened 3 May days since the turn of the century. So when the EPS shows 6 days of 93+ in Atlanta in May, centered on Memorial Day Weekend too, you take notice. #GAwx

    https://twitter.com/wxmvpete/status/1129391823061958657

    1. ha – love it – I shared it here yesterday but think it was lost. Glad to see it again. I laughed for a long time after seeing it.

      2. Tues Through Sunday, Hi Temps in the 50s, except an occasional low 60s inland. Looks BRUTAL! and typical
        SHITTY Spring weather around these parts. TYPICAL!
        And Sunday looks mighty Wet with at least some wet weather
        lingering into Monday.

        I have been trying to roll with this CRAP, but my limited
        patience is wearing thin.

  21. I’m not sure if the media will ever break out of the “the model becomes the forecast” rut. Well, some of them don’t get stuck in that, but so many do. They need to stop treating convection on futurecast like it’s exact.

    1. Yes, I know and it applies to my above statement. I’d be willing to bet almost
      anything that Memorial Day Weekend will BLOW CHUNCKS around these
      parts. Just the way it is.

      Hope it is nice, but not expecting it, that’s for sure.

  22. Last week we had 5 out of 7 nice days.
    This week, once it’s over, we’ll have 4 out of 7, with one of those 4 so-so, fair weather days. That will make 2 straight weeks of a weather pattern that is more often fair than not.

  23. I’ve been hearing a lot this week : “Boston has two seasons: 1. Winter 2. Rain…..”

  24. Jan-Feb winter
    march-April mud season 1
    May spring (this year its been a continuation of mud season 1
    June/July Summer
    August. Muggy season
    September end of Summer
    October Fall
    November/December Mud season 2.

    Broke it down to ya 😛

  25. TK, many thanks for all you do.

    Vicki, you’re right to point out that we all need to count our blessings. I do just that. But, …

    While the weather hasn’t been dreadful all the time, I can attest to this not being a nice spring overall. A lot of gray. A lot of clouds. A lot of rain. Last week was mostly nice. But, in the past 7 weeks there’s only been one consistently good weather week, in my humble opinion.

    The frequent flooding of the courtyard and basement has been more than a nuisance. Clearly, it’s a function of both persistent rain and relative lack of sun to lower the water table. Even a passing shower causes puddles to form – especially on grassy surfaces.

    The layoff for the Bruins is a concern. But, the team is very talented. More depth than any other NHL team, including Tampa. The Bruins’ 4th line is about as likely to score as many other teams’ 1st line. That’s incredible. I believe this team is better than the 2011 team. Does it mean they’ll win it all? Not necessarily.

    If the Bruins win, it’ll be the first time since 1935 (Detroit) that a city has three teams in the same year winning a championship.

  26. For Boston…

    Meteorological spring (March 1 through May 31), average # of days with rain is 35.
    So far in 2019 they have 42 days. You have heard me talk about the incredibly frequently rainy spring of 1983, and that is indeed the year that holds the record with 50 days.

    Boston needs 8 more days to tie that record, and 9 to beat it. They won’t make it to 50.

      1. While this certainly has been no stellar spring in terms of many dry days and lots of sun, it’s far from our worst when you take everything into account. It’s been mostly mild, with limited heavy rain events / flooding. Yes we had some flooding, high rivers, etc, from northern snowmelt, which could have been FAR worse had we had numerous heavy rain events.

        Yet people just want to lament about passing rain showers as a warm front goes by. Go for it! 😉

        1. The snow melt also brought some of the best skiing in a while. There is always a positive

  27. According to Dr. Judah Cohen, a warm & wet summer ahead with many muggy nights. He also believes that due to global warming, forecasting summers are now getting easier while forecasting winters are now harder than ever.

    3. I’d like to see some verification stats on that after we have another 10 to 20 years before agreeing or disagreeing with that statement. Otherwise, the statement relies far too much on assumption.

      Also, see below for my reply to something posted earlier.

      2. Time for action enough talk. More people acknowledge anthropological climate change than the big bang. I have started to say people that are deniers get out of the way or I will think of them as a wall needing to be demolished

  28. CNN has gone off the rails in my opinion in terms of sensationalist reporting. By the way, I can’t bear most news outlets anymore: political bias (right and left) and sensationalism. But, I still visit the CNN website for news occasionally. I noticed the weather map and the story about the outbreak of severe weather. It’s an impressive amount of rain and snow and severe weather that will take place across the Lower 48 this weekend. If you go to https://www.cnn.com you’ll see the article and weather map at the top of the page.

    1. As far as weather reporting goes, regardless of any particular networks bias or lack of bias, the method of reporting has become so sensationalized in the name of adding entertainment, that it is now part, and sometimes a big part, fictional. Everything is the biggest, first-ever, unprecedented, wettest, driest, snowiest, coldest, hottest, windiest, etc, etc, etc, etc, etc. It’s totally OUT OF CONTROL. And all it’s doing is making the general public stupid. Media could be a major educational tool, instead, it’s sucking reason, common sense, and in some cases knowledge, right out of people. That is deplorable, and inexcusable.

      Since when did everything, including news, need to be something used for entertainment? Are we THAT bored?

  30. Philip… To reply to your post earlier, it has not been wet every Friday in 2019. It was completely dry in Boston on Friday January 4, Friday January 11, Friday January 18, Friday January 25, Friday February 1, Friday February 22, Friday March 1, and Friday March 8.

    SSK… Judah’s forecast is reasonably formulated, but I don’t think it will be excessive in either direction.

  32. Slight delay and the update will be posted just after 10. Sorry about that. 🙂

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