Thursday Forecast

58 Comments

7:04AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 6-10)
The frontal boundary that has been sitting in our area for the last couple days divides cooler air in southern NH and northern MA from warm and humid air to the south, and this boundary will slowly sink to the south today, being the focus for some additional showers and thunderstorms, although these will get less numerous and more isolated as the day goes on and drier air works in from north to south. This boundary will be close enough for some potential cloudiness at times into Friday but high pressure building toward the region from Canada will assure dry weather and this high will bring a fabulous June weekend. By Monday, an approaching warm front returns cloudiness to the region.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered to isolated showers and thunderstorms. Humid, especially southern areas, but slowly drying north to south.
Highs 68-75. Wind variable, shifting from SW to N from north to south, 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 53-60. Wind light N.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 71-78. Wind light N.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 48-53 interior, coolest valleys, 53-58 elsewhere. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 71-78, but cooling back to upper 60s coast afternoon. Wind light variable to NW but coastal sea breezes.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 50-57. Wind light variable.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-84, cooler in some coastal areas especially Cape Cod. Wind variable to W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 52-59. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 73-80, coolest coast. Wind light variable to SE.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 11-15)
Cold front crosses the region June 11 with showers/thunderstorms. High pressure brings fair weather June 12. Low pressure passes southeast of or over the region June 13 with a rain threat. Fair and seasonable weather for the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 16-20)
A generally zonal (west to east) jet stream pattern with mean ridge of high pressure centered west of New England. This pattern sends a few chances of showers/thunderstorms this way but also brings fair and seasonably warm weather in between.

58 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  4. So, last night, I worked on the actual recorded high temps at Logan the last 18 years (2000 – 2018) with assistance from the data section on Taunton NWS’ site.

    Some interesting stuff :

    June 17th has been the switch to summer day …… prior to June 17th, the highest average high temp for an individual date has been 73.8F. On June 17th, that zooms up to 77.4F and never drops below 76.8F until late August.

    June, during the last 18 years at Logan, has had 6 days with an average temp of 80F or higher. This is true for June 20th, 25th, 26th, 27th, 29th and 30th.

    July has 29 out of 31 days averaging 80F or higher. July 7th and July 11th have had an average of 79.7F and 79.6F respectively.

    At Logan, during the past 18 years, the five warmest days on average during the summer have been August 3rd (85.0F), July 22nd (84.6F), July 18th (84.3F), July 17th (84.2F) and 4 days at (83.6F) August 2nd, August 10th, July 3rd and July 6th.

    August has 24 out of 31 averaging 80F or higher, with the 7 days below 80F beginning after August 20th.

    September has 28 out of 30 days with highs averaging in the 70s. The last 2 days, the average high temps drop below 70F. There has been a bounce back up on September 7th and 8th to average high temps being 79.0F and 79.2F, after having fallen to 76F to 77F during the first 6 days of the month.

    1. correction to first paragraph of data. The average high on June 16th was 73.8F then jumped to 77.4F on June 17th. There were a couple days prior to June 16th that averaged a bit warmer than 73.8F.

    2. Good stuff Tom and thanks. It always seemed that it was pretty warm on
      my birthday!! šŸ™‚

      1. Your birthday, rainshine’s birthday and my youngest grandchild’s birthday…..and Tom Terrific’s…..JPD. July 22 is a birth day for me….my oldest…and I can attest to it often being very hot. June 18 is my bday (and Mrs. SSK) so apparently mother nature likes to squeeze summer in just in time.

    3. Wow – this is amazing, Tom. Thank you. I can’t imagine how long it took you to put all of this together. I have it saved in a folder on my computer.

      1. My pleasure JpDave and Vicki.

        It took about 45 minutes to an hour. All I had to do was change the date each time and record the day’s average. It wasn’t tedious as I love data and really have an interest in this stuff.

        Next, when I have a chance, is to put it into a spreadsheet or something like that and if I can figure out how, to post it here.

        1. I used to be able to convert spreadsheets to PDFs and upload in imgur; but last few times I tried, imgur would not upload. Please don’t hesitate to let me know if you want to email me raw data and I can help input it into a spreadsheet. This also fascinates me.

          1. Thanks. I probably will save this for after June 18th and I probably will ask for your assistance then šŸ™‚ šŸ™‚

            2. That’s what I ended up doing. It is odd that imgur did allow a PDF and suddenly did not. A PDF really is an image.

        2. Tom,
          If you need any assistance with the spreadsheet, just make a post and I’d be happy to help. I use spreadsheets
          just about every day.

          btw, I am pretty handy at writing VB macros for
          spreadsheets. For example if you had some raw data
          in tab one, a macro could take that data and manipulate
          it anyway one wants and place it in an additional tab
          on the spreadsheet. Something like getting the
          average, standard deviation and variance for sets
          of raw data for example….

          Cheers

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.

    It may have been active overnight elsewhere, but I am here to say it was very quiet
    in the City. Barely any rain at all and I certainly didn’t even hear any thunder.

    Oh well….

    On another note, REMEMBERING D-DAY, June 6, 1944. Those guys were
    real heroes!

    1. I would not have heard the thunder last night if I hadn’t still been awake…..or trying to fall asleep.

      And heroes they truly were. We worked together as a world to conquer a horrific evil. Even 75 years later, I get chills just trying to imagine that day and what it took to coordinate and to carry out.

  6. One more thought on the temp data from above …..

    The temps show a pronounced ebb and flow pattern to them.

    For instance, June 30th thru July 6th have been a warm period (81.5F to 83.6F), followed by a 2 to 3 degree drop from July 7th to 14th (79.6F to 81.7F) . Then, the 15th to the 23rd (81.5F to 84.6F)

    And it does this ebb and flow in all the months. My visual is at the beach when you get a set of swells that push the water higher up the slope, then followed by a break, where the water doesn’t push up as high, etc.

    And, it also fits the west to east flow, with cool high pressure followed by a warm return flow on the backside of the high. It looks neat in the data.

    My students are taking the year-end math benchmark today and tomorrow, so I have time to look over the data. šŸ™‚ šŸ™‚

  7. Thank you TK!

    Was hoping for something to shake up the seas tomorrow as I am heading over to Nantucket for work. I am one of those odd people that enjoys rough seas.

  11. Thank goodness for the N wind, which comes into one of the side windows in my room.

    The A/C was somewhat holding the fort, but the building was still muggy and becoming warm.

    In the last 10 minutes, my room temp dropped a good 5F and the window breeze feels great !!

    1. šŸ™‚
      I’m with you on that one.

      Side benefit….the ICE “should” be better at the Garden.

      1. oh yes …… that is important !!

        Anyone remember that Stanley Cup game in 88, I think, vs Gretzky’s Oilers ?

        The non-air conditioned old garden on a hot June day …

        I seem to remember a lot of fog and then a power outage.

  14. More info …. comparing Logan’s 1981 – 2010 (30 yr) temp average to Logan’s 2000 – 2018 (18 yr) temp average :

    June and July : 34 out of 61 days had higher average temps in the 2000 – 2018 time range

    August and September : 51 out of 61 days had higher average temps in the 2000 – 2018 time range

    Important : We know Logan’s sensor is running a bit warmer than it should. I wouldn’t know if this has been occurring since 1981 or started sometime after 2010, but it needs to be factored in.

    Would make sense that early summer has a more frequent, cooler seabreeze that off-sets the sensor error, while in later summer, the seabreeze is warmer and less frequent, not off-setting the sensor error as often.

  18. turned out to be a spectacular day!!
    Rio-roaring sea breeze in the city, but still fantastic!!!!

  19. Big Z and Matt Grz are both game time decisions. A lot of people have jumped then gun declaring them both playing, and indeed they may be, but Cassidy is not going to show those cards a few hours before game time. He’ll wait until the last possible moment.

  20. So at 32-29 the Sox are now 3rd in the AL East. To they officially “un-suck” yet?

    Oh yeah, Go Bruins!

    1. They are actually 33-29 and back to within 6 games of first place. The Sox won again today although it is against the measly Royals.

  21. I keep saying the Red Sox are going to make a move. I don’t believe there buried. I don’t think they win the AL East but I do see them playing in the wild card game the first Tuesday of October.

  22. I agree with that. When the Yankees are full strength better lineup than the Red Sox have and a better bullpen than the Red Sox. Although that bullpen did not look good last night blowing a 7-4 lead against Toronto. I know there is rumors the Yankees are going to add Dallas Kuechel. There is a red flag to me when Houston did not offer him another contract and nobody in the offseason was making offers for him.

    1. It’s unfortunate that Dombrowski didn’t add to the bullpen. Hopefully, he makes a move by the deadline or the Sox are cooked.

  23. I have a feeling there going to make a move at the July 31st deadline. There are so many bad teams in the American League that on paper the Red Sox should beat up on like they did with the Kansas City Royals and stay within in striking distance of first in the AL East or occupy one of the wild card spots. At this moment on June 6th at 748pm I don’t see anyone other than the Astros or Yankees representing the American League in the World Series.

  24. A-rod’s posting. Snow must be in the forecast. Well, there is somewhere in the Southern Hemisphere.

    St. Louis Blues just look better at this point. Sanford’s pass was sublime. We’ll see what happens going forward.

    1. I have to laugh. I said same to Arod. And then I walked by a window and saw white flying through the air. I did a double take. But it was white flowers from a tree in the yard

      1. I noticed you had said the same. Our minds think alike.

        Well, I figure it’s snowing somewhere on this earth of ours, every day of the year.

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