Thursday Forecast

40 Comments

6:59AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 20-24)
The final in a series of low pressure areas moving along a frontal boundary will cut across New England today through early Friday, bringing widespread shower activity, some of which will produce heavy rainfall and possible thunder. While there will not be any severe storms, we can expect to see some temporary road flooding where heaviest rain occurs, so use caution when traveling. Dry air arrives later Friday, clearing the region out and setting up a nice weekend, albeit breezy Saturday between our departed low pressure area and an approaching high pressure area. Sunday will be more tranquil as the high settles over the region. Contrary to my unsettled outlook for next Monday, it now appears that high pressure will hang on with more fair weather.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Cloudy. Showers likely, some possibly heavy. Humid. Highs 70-77. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Showers likely, some possibly heavy. Risk of thunderstorms. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy with lingering showers/drizzle/fog early, then becoming partly sunny but with a risk of a passing shower. Highs 71-78. Wind variable to NW increasing to 10-20 MPH with higher gusts by late-day.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 72-79. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, diminishing late.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind light variable.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83, coolest coast. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 54-61. Wind light variable.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85, cooler some coastal areas. Wind light W but with sea breezes possible.

DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 25-29)
A more typical summertime pattern settles in the early days of summer with higher humidity, fairly warm air, and a risk of showers and thunderstorms mainly with an approaching disturbance later June 25, a shower or storm possible with a passing disturbance sometime between late June 26 and early June 27, and maybe a few isolated showers/storms around later in the period, though no widespread rainfall would be likely with this set-up.

DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 30-JULY 4)
West to east flow over a high pressure ridge to the south and west of New England is a pattern that brings seasonable to warm weather, is rain-free most of the time, but also provides a few opportunities moving along the jet stream to bring a shower/t-storm threat. This is the pattern currently expected for this period.

40 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

    1. I think we may finally have some beneficial rain. We had nothing more this week in Sutton than the 0.09 on Tuesday. Yesterday was quite nice with a good portion of the day sun and clouds.

  4. Signs you might be too old to wallpaper….

    So, I had opened the paper long ago and must have tossed the information paper
    wrapped within the roll, so when I was ready to paper, I took a sample to the
    wall paper store and the man recommended a “medium” vinyl adhesive paste.

    So I do my thing and hang 3 stips of paper, ceiling to floor. Oh crap, bubbles and creases all over the place. I have done a crap load of wallpapering before, but NEVER ever had I experienced this. I could not get them out. I had to take the time
    to remove the 3 strips.

    Now the question was should we hire someone? or try one more strip with less paste?
    I finally thought of opening another roll and read the informational sheet.
    Turns out the manufacturer recommended “light” weigh vinyl adhesive. It also recommended “booking” the paper once pasted (this is where it is folded in half, paste on paste)

    Back to the store for light weigh adhesive.

    When I was ready to try again, I see that not only was I previously using “medium”
    wight, it turns out the guy at the wallpaper store gave me “heavy” duty OR I inadvertently picked up the heavy duty. No wonder I had creases and bubbles!!!

    OK, now I think I have everything right and I prepare and hang a piece. Nice, not bubbles and creases. Wait!!! My wife looks at it and liked it, but she notices something. I hung the pattern upside down!)(!(*!)@(*#)!*@#)(!

    Off comes the paper and I do it yet again. This time it is perfect. I hung one more piece
    and called it quits for the day.

    Next day, I cut and prepare the next piece. NOPE!!! I cut it 2 inches short()*!@&*)#&!)@(#&*!)@(# Prepare again and as I was coming off of the ladder, wham!! I smashed the living shit out of the Sconce light globe! Clean that up
    and continue.

    Bottom line, it looks great. I have 5 pieces hung perfectly.

    Moral of the story…. SLOW DOWN!!!!!!!

    Once I slowed down, everything was fine. I am doing the job. I am NOT hiring anyone!!!!

    BTW we hired someone ( friend of a neighbor. Big mistake) one time to wall paper the dining room.

    We went out shopping for an afternoon and when we came back we saw that the man had done a whole wall, with each piece getting progressively less vertical! And to make matters worse, he missed cut some pieces and inserted patches at the bottom!
    YIKES! Had to fire him, order more paper and take down a wall’s worth of useless paper. I did it myself!!

    So, we are quite reluctant to hire anyone.

    End of rant…..
    Back to regular programming

      1. I need to get the rest of the paper up. Taking it very slow so
        I don’t screw anything else up.

    3. I am incredibly impressed, JPD. I gave up doing most anything a few years ago. And after at least the second time – maybe the first – I would have hired someone.

      So the moral of the story for me is to ask you first if I have projects 🙂 🙂 🙂

    1. I don’t see anything highlight but my computer has been acting up lately. We have had overcast and a decent amount of rain today so I’d think the same as you, JJ. We are up to just under a half an inch of rain now.

  10. I made a mistake Vicki with posting the link. It was a small area just west of CT and MA boarder highlighted by the SREF.
    This from NWS Boston for today
    there is even a low risk for strong or perhaps severe storms near the Berkshires, where there are decent probabilities in the Sig TOR (SREF) and max updraft helicity (HREF) progs, although higher probabilities are focused farther SW.

  11. JP Dave, I’m impressed by your perseverance. You mentioned “patterns” in the wallpaper. They have something to do with weather, right?

    1. 🙂 🙂 Oh yeah, I made sure the design resembled Rossby waves!

      Seriously, are you kidding? My wife picked out the pattern. 🙂 🙂

    1. It’s valid through 12z tomorrow, so I think it’s a decent outlook. There is just enough for marginal risk, keeping in mind the key word is “marginal”.

  13. No big changes on the latest set of CPC outlooks for July and their 15 month look ahead into next summer.

    Our wet pattern eases and fades with no signs of returning in force. The general idea is seasonable to warm summer, cooler trend with respect to normal for autumn, a normal to mild winter, and a warmer spring/summer 2020. Keep in mind these are very general outlooks, just to give an overall idea.

  14. I don’t get discouraged hearing mild winter because that does not mean well below normal snowfall. Winter of 05-06 was mild and there was 62.5 inches that winter here in CT.

    1. I think we’ll be fairly dry this coming winter with below average snow (early guess).

      2. I am wondering if we will have a decent december snow season, thats my break and I would likely try and come up for that time and would want to go skiing at least once.

  15. One thing I have noticed about the new GFS is that it paints a little too much “green” for isolated to scattered air mass thunderstorms, making the region look like it will receive much more widespread rainfall than will actually occur.

  16. About 2-4 inches of snow expected in Alert, Nunavut tonight. So, yes, it does snow in the Northern Hemisphere as the summer solstice is about to happen. Fairly active and large system up there, as snow showers are also expected in Qaanaaq, Greenland. Much colder there this week than it’s been in the past two weeks. This is was where that picture was taken of the dogs walking through water from melted ice.

    1. When the pattern is blocked as it had been, it’s warm north, compared to average. Now it’s starting to reverse, and when they are near or below normal they can still snow now. Of course, down here, we’ll have “Nunavut”. Sorry. I’ve been waiting for 3 decades to make that joke……….

      2. LOL that was well worth waiting three decades for!

        btw, anyone else disappointed that the Kimmirut webcam went down? Used to check it every day to see what their weather or sun angle was like. They’re almost due north of us.

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