Wednesday Forecast

33 Comments

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (JUNE 26-30)
The final 5 days of June will have a bit more summer feel to them overall, but don’t look for a heatwave as we are not in the pattern for it. Do expect higher humidity the next few days in general, probably today being the most humid but Friday ending up as the warmest day. The only weather system of note will be a weak trough that approaches from the west today and passes by early Thursday. This triggers thunderstorms to the west of the region that run out of gas due to lack of support as they head east this evening, and while the dying version may reach the western portions of the WHW forecast area, the eastern areas will never see them. There is a slight risk of a pop up shower over the interior areas on Thursday, and high pressure should exert enough control to eliminate that risk during Friday. For the weekend, this is when things are less clear. What we do know is that one disturbance will pass by sometime Saturday, and a small but potent upper low will drop out of eastern Canada Sunday. Both of these will bring threats for some kind of unsettled weather, and my current leaning is for faster timing of system #1 as a wave of low pressure coming from the Great Lakes, bringing some wet weather late Friday night and early Saturday, then with a lingering trough the potential for some pop up showers and thunderstorms during the day Saturday. Sunday’s event, I’m also leaning toward faster timing, will consist of a lobe of cold air aloft and a surface cold front, both of which will likely help ignite at least scattered showers and thunderstorms, but all of which may be done on the earlier side rather than later. For what it’s worth, 2 of the major medium range models flip flopped on this in the latest runs, with one moving away from this thinking while the other moved toward it. Gotta love models. Will update my thoughts as needed on the weekend situation. For now, at days 4 & 5, the forecast wording will be generalized.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Low overcast and areas of fog to start, burning off to sunshine. Some clouds advance from the west late-day with a shower or thunderstorm possible by evening southwestern NH and central MA. Humid. Highs 77-84. Wind light variable, coastal sea breezes.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly cloudy with patchy fog overnight. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind light S.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy early, then partly sunny. Slight risk of an isolated shower interior southern NH and MA. Slightly less humid. Highs 79-86. Wind light W.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 62-69. Wind light W.
FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 83-90. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Rain or showers overnight. More humid. Lows 60-67. Wind light variable.
SATURDAY: Cloudy with areas of fog and a chance of rain early, then partly sunny with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Humid. Highs 79-86. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers/thunderstorms, favoring morning-midday. Humid, but drying late. Highs 76-83. Wind W 10-20 MPH shifting to N.

DAYS 6-10 (JULY 1-5)
The majority of this period will see dry weather, with weak disturbances around July 3 and 5 bringing a possibility of a shower or thunderstorm. Temperatures start out slightly below normal then warm to generally seasonable levels. No major heat expected.

DAYS 11-15 (JULY 6-10)
A general westerly flow, seasonably warm pattern with a couple opportunities for showers/thunderstorms, but dry weather most of the time.

33 thoughts on “Wednesday Forecast”

    1. Hope it works out for you Vicki . Unfortunately Sunday is not looking good for me but it’s still really early . I really want the 4 day holiday weekend off and even though I could take it off when you are working for yourself & want the pay day you need to go about business the right way which is just get it done & move on .

      1. Oh I know how it is to work for yourself. My business is 19 years old. Good luck on getting your weekend off. I figure if it works Sunday, then great. If not, we have a raindate.

  6. Good morning and thank you TK.
    The day is starting on the murky side, but I suspect that will improve.

    Someone here got to see a Sox win last night, even if it got a bit damp for awhile. 😉

    1. It was a nice time thanks and the win made it even better! Also thanks to you and TK on your accurate prediction that they would get the game in.

  11. I had to post that tweet because I found it to be such a joke. I could see if you say 24 hours prior I am worried or concerned about potential severe weather but 72 hours away is not a time to be worried. It should be lets keep an eye on it.

  13. A sports rant if I may:

    Biggest disappointment – and perhaps the worst signing since Sandoval – this season for the Red Sox is Chris Sale. He’s been mostly woefully bad for the kind of money and supposed status he has. It’s not just the few wins and lots of losses. It’s the mediocre ERA for an ace, his inability to be consistent, and lack of command. I don’t care about the strikeouts, or a couple of good games. Sale needs to perform like an ace, or at least close to one. Right now he’s performing like a 4th starter. And, I don’t see improvement in this regard as the season progresses. Sale usually takes a downward turn as the season heads into August. I expect that to happen again. He’s fragile, mechanics look off, and durability has always been an issue.

    The bullpen woes are inexcusable, given the deep pockets the Red Sox have. I blame this not on Matt Barnes or Brasier, but on ownership being cheap. They could have addressed a glaring problem and decided not to. The Red Sox have paid the price big time. Suppose they didn’t have 16 blown saves, and instead only had 6. Well, they’d be in first place.

    1. Remember the year Williams had a horrific showing? I do because he asked for a cut in pay. The powers that be had faith in him and refused.

  15. The heat across much of Europe is certainly factually accurate. But, it pales in comparison to 2003. In fact, in some countries like the Netherlands it’s not that hot (mostly mid to upper 70s with a few low 80s inland), due to a northerly wind (the Saharan breeze was cut off at the pass somewhere in Northern France). Also, this heatwave has little staying power as in most places the excessive heat will not last beyond this weekend.

    After several days in the mid 70s London will be in the upper 80s on Saturday, before a sustained cold front pushes through bringing temperatures back to the low 70s by Sunday.

    Curse of social media, in my view, that relatively normal events get blown way out of proportion.

    1. This is what I mean. All over the place. “Unprecedented heatwave” etc etc. The real messages that should be sent are ignored in favor of catch-your-eye headlines. Yes it’s a serious heatwave, but not to be their most impressive.

      Regardless, it is something that should be treated as a health danger, like any heatwave we get in the states.

  16. I would love to be able to run the HRRR model out to 384 hours and see what happened. 😉

  17. 86F yesterday, 88F today in Williamsport, PA. Dewpoints around 60F, so it cooled quite nicely overnight.

    Enough warmth and humidity today along with a weak cold front to form some cumulus. I think the Poconos may add a bit of lift … the cumulus clouds were awesome today and one of them rained on us a bit around 4pm.

    Some chance of severe storms Friday, if I read correctly, using state college NWS office.

    Sunset in this part of the time zone is 8:40 ish 🙂

  18. Vicki, it’s too bad that I don’t remember Williams. My.kidding aside about being in my 90s, I’m only 54, as you know. I do remember Yaz very well. He was well paid compared to most. Back then the game was very different. Owners had full control and all the power. Players had none. Now the roles are pretty much reversed in basketball and baseball, with the exception of young players. This said, teams with money (and the Red Sox are sitting on a ton of cash) can and should purchase or trade and sign players to fill needs.

    Bullpen help was an obvious issue back in March. It’s even more obvious now. The Sox ownership, general manager, and manager have been in denial. That’s hurt this club. In fact, I believe it hurts morale among all players. Blowing games late is frustrating to players and fans alike.

    1. I’m sorry you don’t remember him also.

      But my point was a bit different. I listened to Teds frustration about that year. I was too young to remember numbers now, but I seem to think he was the highest paid player in the league back then. Or at least close to top My point was more that as great as he was he had a horrific year. He….no different from now….was written off by fans as a has been. This is pretty much what was said repeatedly about Ted…. “He’s been mostly woefully bad for the kind of money and supposed status he has.” Even ted believed it

      Maybe Sales can’t cut it. I’m glad Williams was given a chance.

      I hope folks understand that it is truly foreign to me to not simply appreciate our teams and our players for what they do. My heavens but we have been blessed with some awesome sports teams. They just can’t always win and to me it is when they are down that they need our support most. All of that said that surely doesn’t mean I do not respect anyone’s right to critique those teams and our players as they see fit

  19. Joshua the Mets fans I hear are on WFAN in NY are complaining about their bullpen and ownership. Their bullpen is worse than the Red Sox. They hired a general manager who was a sports agent who never had any experience as a general manager and made some bad moves trading for Robinson Cano. On paper this should not be a 37-43 club.

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