7:26AM
DAYS 1-5 (JULY 14-18)
A couple of fabulous summer days to end the weekend, and start the new work week, or extend the weekend if you’re lucky enough to be off. The only real rain-threat in the next 5 days will be the potential passage of the moisture formerly associated with Barry in the Gulf of Mexico, and that would be around Thursday. The forecast issued yesterday is essentially unchanged, so not much new follows this text.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Less humid. Highs 83-90, coolest Cape Cod. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy early, then clearing. Lows 62-69. Wind light W.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 80-87, coolest coast. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Wind light W.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. More humid. Highs 82-89. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Humid. Lows 63-70. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated thunderstorms possible mainly late-day. Humid. Highs 88-95, cooler South Coast / Cape Cod. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms becoming more likely late at night. Humid. Lows 68-75. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers/thunderstorms likely. Very humid. Highs 80-87. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JULY 19-23)
General west to east flow with mean high pressure ridge position in the Midwest to upper Plains. Shower and thunderstorm threats will depend on timing of disturbances. Temperatures generally above normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JULY 24-28)
Overall pattern similar, but a slightly westward movement of the high pressure ridge in the center may increase the risk of showers and thunderstorms slightly here, though still not a return to a very wet pattern. Much of the time would be rain-free. Temperatures closer to normal.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Still pretty humid around these parts. Here’e hoping it “dries” out a little bit.
According to Barry tomorrow will be the best day of the next “many”. Hot times thereafter with nothing but 90s. Yuck!!!!
It’s already yuck! dp 64 across the area and no relief
showing to the N&W. Yes, I know it will get more YUCKY!
I hate it!
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK
It is great to be back from Virginia. At least I got a couple nice days to enjoy before it really becomes a STICKORAMA around mid week.
Welcome home, JJ. Glad you had a nice vacation. Virginia is a lovely state.
Thanks, TK
This morning has a warmer/stickier feel than yesterday am.
Yes it does. So much for less humid.
yes.
I wish I had posted something on this yesterday.
You could almost see a small return flow ahead of today’s front.
The 850 mb temps increased from mid afternoon yesterday.
The humidity that we are feeling this morning never got pushed too far way and the return sw wind ahead of today’s front wasn’t going to have a hard time last night returning it into the region.
The humidity drop coming tonight and tomorrow is real though and you’ll notice it.
Like SC, right after I posted a light breeze popped up.
Thank you TK!
I have to agree with you on the humidity Vicki. I’ve got s dew point of 66 at my house, however a breeze has just started blowing in the last few minutes making the air feel less stagnant. Nice morning to sit out on the screened in porch!!
Thanks TK !
Thank you, TK.
Like several others at WHW I’m struggling with the humidity. It’s taking a toll.
I’m glad to know that New Orleans wasn’t hit as hard as was predicted by some.
Planet Earth was very hot in June:
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/june-hottest-month-ever-earth-2019-weather-heatwave-hot-a8984691.html
I’m in the minority loving the way it feels today but I also loved yesterday.
The humidity spike is very brief and will drop off this afternoon through tomorrow.
And then it returns from Wednesday “until further notice”. 🙁
It was already dropping this morning as I sat out. It was just more humid at that point than at the same point yesterday in part because there was a breeze yesterday. It developed later this am….at least here. Now it is a bit stronger
Thank you, TK.
The GFS, while not necessarily on board with a hot Wednesday, has been with the EURO for a few runs now on a hot Friday.
It continues that theme with its 12z run.
Wow, it has all of New England under a 20c, 850 mb contour with a 22C contour also.
A few days from now, if it’s still showing in the 72 hr range on both the Euro and GFS, perhaps anticipating a possible run at 100F next Friday will be in the cards.
we don’t need that!
Are we looking at major heat for the rest of the month?
No we are not. I’ve been saying all along that we are not going to get into a pattern of persistent heat. I also have not changed my thought process on that. It doesn’t mean we can’t have hot weather. But this is still not even comprable to last summer….
Yes, last summer was HORRIFIC as far as the heat. 22-23 days?
Plus a large number of days with oppressive humidity (dp > 70)
Tom, one of the most humid summers I can recall. 1982 probably beat it, and maybe 1995. But it was up there.
Sure was …….. I remember 95 cause we had 2 funerals within a couple weeks of each other and both took place on hot and humid days. 82, I don’t remember 🙂
Boston had 22 at 90+. This year they have 2 so far. We’ll add a couple or a few soon but we’re still behind the average.
Barry showed 4 more days so Logan could end up with half way to normal added with 2 days worth so far. Could have 6-7 total by next weekend.
A positive signal, now it is around 10 days and beyond, that’s been on the models for a few days is a cooler, much drier airmass for the last handful of days in July.
TK has been alluding in the long term, to the ridge possibly moving west, which would allow a nice southeast Canada trof to deliver a beautiful summer airmass.
Hopefully, this long term signal will continue in the coming days.
91 at Logan!
I guess that makes it now (3) 90 degree days so far.
Dew point 63 in the house here
(calculated via inside temp 84 Relative humidity 50%)
Hope your new ac units are working.
They are working great! Awesome units. Truly awesome.
Never been happier with a product.
Thanks
Coastal are you lurking? First, how is flooding in NH. Second, we got the ring set up. It has some awesome setting options and wow what a picture. I haven’t figured how to download a video yet but will. Do you pay a monthly fee?
Thanks for recommendation. Now if I can get acurite working again all will be good
DP now 60 at Logan. We are getting there. 🙂
It was 66 early this morning.
This map is a few hours old, but shows how close the “drier” air is:
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/90fwbg.gif
dp of 55 is as close as Fitchburg right now.
Dew point relief
https://imgur.com/a/m7UBTVF
🙂
Ok, well … we know we’ve read here the euro’s battle with consistency or sometimes, lack there-of and we present to you the 12z Euro op run as evidence of that.
Definitely a cooler run overall, back to a potential back door front on Thursday.
Hot Friday, but not throughout the whole weekend.
I have a feeling the 00z run flops back, but likely to see changes in temps on the 7 day outlook tonight on newscasts.
dp 59 at Logan… still 63 in the house (in rooms with no ac)
Quite dark here now but radar totally void of rain. Not even a speck anywhere in SNE.
We had dark clouds early afternoon. Just clouds. They passed
Trivia Quiz.
Tuesday’s full moon is called the …
A. Strawberry
B. Raspberry
C. Muggy
D. Buck
Answer later today.
I’ll go with D. Thank you Longshot.
D.
D. (Strawberry moon was in June)
Shhhhhh.
I could eliminate C so now I got one and three chance of getting this right. I will go with B.
Well one thing that is gradually revealing itself is the new and improved GFS kind of sucks at high temperature forecasts more than a few days away.
One of the greatest R&B songs ever written – Midnight Rambler – performed live in Chicago by the ageless Mick Jagger (this guy’s energy is astounding for someone 75):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NC2oijr-W20
Great tune. I love the version on “Let It Bleed”, which is an amazing album anyway.
Yes it is indeed.
Fantastic album, indeed. I know I sound like a curmudgeon, but they don’t make albums like that anymore.
Ha. I just heard this on the pandora CCR station
Trivia Quiz Answer
Tuesday’s full moon is called the …
A. Strawberry
B. Raspberry
C. Muggy
D. Buck
The correct answer is D.
Thank you sir. Two of my grands had fun with this also
C would certainly fit as an “alternative” answer as well. 😉
Borderline. I don’t think the dew point will reach 65 until late Tuesday night.
New post!