Friday Forecast

31 Comments

7:34AM

DAYS 1-5 (AUGUST 9-13)
2 minor changes for this update. Removing the pop-up shower/storm from today’s forecast and adding it for a brief time window to Saturday, as it doesn’t look like we have enough instability to trigger anything today and a small but vigorous trough will pass by during the first half of Saturday afternoon, possibly triggering a shower to interrupt a few outdoor plans briefly. Many areas will not see anything, however, and we pretty much have a 3-day stretch of great weather starting today. Nice weather will probably carry through most of if not all of Monday (leaning toward the latter) as high pressure sinks to the south of the region. By Tuesday, a trough from the west approaches and we enter the next period of unsettled weather with an increased risk for shower activity, more clouds, and more humidity.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 78-85. Wind W 5-15 MPH, few higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-62. Wind W up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Brief passing shower possible west to east midday to mid afternoon. Highs 77-84, coolest hills. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind light NW.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 77-84, coolest coast. Wind light variable with sea breezes.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 55-62. Wind light SW.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 80-87. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind light SW.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Humid. Highs 78-85. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (AUGUST 14-18)
A low pressure area crosses the region August 14 with showery conditions. High pressure builds in with fair and dry weather August 15. High pressure should maintain control overall with a warm-up August 16-17, then a trough from the west may bring showers/thunderstorms by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (AUGUST 19-23)
Overall pattern will be weak west to east flow with a northward-displaced jet stream, allowing more heat/humidity back into the region. Can’t rule out a few opportunities for showers/thunderstorms, but much of this period looks rain-free.

31 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.

    What’s up with Damn Dew points?????

    It was 59 at my house when I went to bed and I expected it to cruise down a bit
    to about 55 by morning! NOPE. When I got up it was 60! When I left for work,
    it was 63 !!!!!

    Looking right now, the dew point is 61-63 across the region!

    That sucks!!! It won’t go away!!!!

    Is it better than yesterday and the day before. Yes, of course, but it
    AIN’T DRY that’s for sure!!!

  9. Still humid in the city in my opinion as working out in the field I can definitely feel it

  10. 12z GFS tracks the low Tuesday across Northern New England. There are some parameters favorable across interior parts of CT and MA for strong to possibly severe storms. Long way off but will keep an eye on it.

    1. In the for it’s worth department, the EURO still insists on tracking
      that low South of SNE. Go figure.
      I’d bet on the Euro over the GFS, but who knows. IF the
      GFS is correct, could be an interesting day.

  11. Thanks, TK…

    And thanks, JimmyJames, for the historical tidbit on the F4 tornado on this date.

    I wasn’t there for that one, but I will bet that a lot of us remember the supercell storm and incredible lightning on this date (August 9-10) in 2000. I know I repeat myself on each anniversary, but the NWS office in Taunton (Tornado Warning for Bristol County, MA) was evacuated when the storm came overhead. I have never seen such lightning!

    Here’s the website with the summary that I have shared before:

    http://users.rcn.com/rmacedo/aug10.htm

    This is also the anniversary of an Appalachian derecho. Here’s a great write-up about those storms I found:

    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/misc/AbtDerechos/casepages/aug092000page.htm

    I was wondering if there was a connection about those Mid-Atlantic storms and the nocturnal supercell storm that cut through Connecticut, Rhode Island and Massachusetts that early morning. Does anyone know?

  12. Thanks Captain Fantastic for the links.
    Just a bit of difference in terms of the low pressure track with the GFS tracking it through Northern New England and the EURO south of Long Island.

  13. Re: Dewpoints.
    We were stair step lowering from lower 70s Wed to upper 60s Thu to a drop from lower 60s to upper 50s today into Saturday, then down to upper 40s to lower 50s Sunday.

    1. I had seen the one in Luxembourg. Macs parents lived there for years. Tornadoes do happen in Europe but of course are quite rare compared to US

      1. Indeed, very rare in Holland.

        Luxembourg is such a lovely little country. Some call it “Little Switzerland.” Interesting that Mac’s parents lived there. I love the villages and towns, and also Luxembourg City; an underappreciated gem.

        Luxembourg’s climate is quite different from the western half of the Netherlands. Warmer in summer, colder in winter. More snow, in part due to elevation. Also, more thunderstorms and clashes between cold and warm fronts.

        1. Macs dad was the person Goodyear relies on to get their less than productive factories around the world up to speed. Sweden, South Africa, Rome, Brazil, Luxembourg, France. I know they really enjoyed Luxembourg.

          Oddly, I was thinking of Luxembourg tonight. Villeroy and Bach is headquartered there….well, I think headquartered…..and I have a few amazingly complete sets of their China. I dug into it tonight to make a meal a bit more special.

            1. Wow, they really got to travel around the world.

              I recall traveling there in the fall of 2001 with my children, who were living in the Netherlands at the time. We noticed how heavy the Luxembourg school children’s backpacks were. We surmised that it was because they had to learn everything in three languages: Luxembourgish, French, and German.

              They love Americans there, at least they did then. Some of this had to do with 911, which had just happened. But, I recall a genuine affection for Americans among the older generation. Of course, major, bloody battles were fought in and around Luxembourg involving hundreds of thousands of allied troops.

              1. 🙂

                They were welcomed in all countries. They did learn all languages. I am glad they were there at a more peaceful time. Well except when Macs moms car was car bombed because they were seen as elite Americans

    1. So sad. My guess is they put shoes on them. Their natural hoof has traction. Or the paths were solid ice

  16. Tiny thunderstorm cells moving through the area here.
    Second Special Weather Statement in the last three hours.

  17. Last night was awesome for me as an amateur photographer, nature watcher, and weather nut. Getting to see a nice sunset in the marshland behind Hampton Beach, then huge waves on the beach itself (some over 5 feet), a thunderstorm to the north on the Maine coast visible from the beach, the moon / Jupiter next to each other in the sky to the south, and then on my drive home the ability to see the outline of a powerful thunderstorm over 100 miles away (southeast of Block Island) illuminated by nearly continuous lightning after midnight. 🙂

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