Thursday Forecast

59 Comments

7:23AM

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 19-23)
The dominance of high pressure will continue through Sunday, with the center of the surface high sinking to the south with time, resulting in a warming trend. This high will also play a role in keeping Hurricane Humberto far out at sea, but will not prevent some large ocean swells and rough surf to impact the coast this weekend, so keep that in mind of beaching or boating for the last weekend of summer. During Monday, a cold front will approach from the west and may have just enough moisture to work with to kick off a few showers, probably late-day or night. That’s the only rain risk in the 5-day period.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 66-73. Wind light variable becoming SE under 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Patchy fog in low-lying interior locations. Lows 47-54. Wind light variable.
FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 50-57. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 73-80. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 53-60. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 58-65. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly sunny. Risk of a shower late-day or night. Highs 78-85. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 24-28)
High pressure ridge backs off then re-surges, putting us in a similar pattern cycle to days 1-5, largely dry, a bit cooler at first then warming up again.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 29-OCTOBER 3)
And yet again, a very similar pattern cycle continues with largely dry weather, probably a quick cool-down then warming back up.

59 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  2. Thanks TK !

    Was about 55F in my neighborhood with a very light NE wind and a few miles west on Rt 139, up at the school complex, it was 43F and calm.

    2. I’ll be up there the weekend of the 4th thru the 6th. Hopefully that high pressure from the west builds in for the weekend with dry weather and warmer temps. Planning to do some hiking that weekend. I’m thinking foliage will be near its peak.

  7. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Can’t compete with the low temps reported above, but being in the City,
    Our low of 43 was respectable.

    Yet another beautiful day!!

  8. Although the weather is beautiful, I find it to be boring.

    I find myself in the weather doldrums caught between Summer severe/hurricane season and the upcoming Winter season. Just doesn’t do a thing for me. The colorful leaves help, but doesn’t quite do the job.

    Can’t help it, just the way I am wired. 🙂

    1. We are all wired differently. Think of what a boring world this would be if we were all the same!!! Personally, I like your wiring just the way it is !!!

  11. Thanks so much, TK…
    Happy Birthday, North!!!!

    43 the car reading reading headed to work at 6:30.

    Instead of correcting quizzes, I looked this info up.
    Thanks to NWS NOWdata:

    Latest 90+ max temp:

    Boston, October 12, 1954
    Taunton (BOX), September 18, 2015 (these records go back to only 1996)
    Hartford: October 17, 1908 (no, I wasn’t there)
    Blue Hill: September 27, 2007
    Providence: September 2, 1980
    Worcester: September 26, 1930

    1. I bet that Boston record breaks someday given climate change. The days of turning on the switch to persistent fall cool are now gone, at least until our planet decides on its own to go back to normal.

      1. I agree. I was mentioning to someone the other day how cold Halloween was (or cold I perceived it to be “back in the day”) to how it seems/is now.

        1. Really? I see it exactly the same as it has always been.
          Honestly. Some colder halloweens and some warmer ones. It has always been that way. 🙂

          Anywho, that’s how I see it.

      2. I’m going to guess if it ever happens it won’t be any time soon, based on the AMO trend. We’re heading back to cooler falls in the next 10 years, starting now.

  12. Captain. I have said for a while that the seasons are shifting. There sure are some warmer halloweens and some 90s in October, etc. But it was the exception and not the rule. The rule when my kids were young and certainly when I was young was to have a costume that allowed for winter jackets to fit underneath. Also, we wore winter hats and gloves far more often than not.

    I spoke with Mac’s cousin yesterday who is participating in a nationwide Phenology group. The members are assigned specific trees to document daily to see how they are being impacted by climate change. She has been monitoring trees in the arboretum for years. She said there is irrefutable proof that the seasons are indeed shifting and lifecycles of the trees are occurring later as a rule and not an exception.

    One comment I thought Philip might be interested in was on heat. When she began practicing law in the 70s, one of her specialties was landlord/tenant law. In the 1970s, it was a law in Massachusetts that heat be turned on by September 15. I don’t have to elaborate on how that would work now.

    She sent me a considerable amount of information, but I found this interesting also. Planting zones are also shifting.

    https://noaa.maps.arcgis.com/apps/MapSeries/index.html?appid=5f617f338eb5431eb3700e8685eccaf7

  14. First a Happy Birthday to North. Second went to Sox game last night just to see Mike Yaz. Very cool night in two ways. Tax and the temp. And third, hope to climb Monadnock tomorrow. It was 36 there last night.

    1. Do I understand that Yaz threw the first pitch out to his grandson? If so, what a thrill to see.

      Interesting Monadnock was a bit warmer than here.!

    2. Beautiful day for a hike. Monadnock is one of my favorites…the whole upper half of the mountain is mainly rock and essentially above treeline. I hiked it with my son back in February on a crystal clear day and posted some pictures here. Views were tremendous. We could see Mount Washington to the north and the Boston skyline to the southeast with the naked eye.

  17. Vicki, while you may be correct, that date of September 15 seems a bit early even for the 1970’s. Regardless, I imagine today it is more like November 15.

    On the flip side, in the spring I wonder if it is April? or May? when landlords can turn off heat.

    1. Tenants did not have to turn the heat on; however, landlords were required to make certain it was available because it was very often necessary. I don’t think it is as late as November 15. I would suspect it may have moved forward a month. But that is a guess.

    1. actually per Cantore that is a 1 hour loop but that torrential rain pretty much stayed stationary for 6.5+ hours.

  23. A quick check shows just 0.93 in the rain gauge since September 4 and 2.40 for the month. Taunton River looking low.

    1. We are still high. If my station were working, I could tell you what our total is. Arghh. Funny thing is that our lawn is a glorious green and I have no idea why. I don’t think I’ve had the sprinklers in for more than a total of two weeks here and there all summer.

      I have five and a half red leaves on one tree though 😉

          1. Thank you, Scott. That’s the funny part. Our soil is all sand and doesn’t hold water. We used to be a sand pit. A couple of years ago when we were in drought the neighborhood lawns were brown. We just seemed to have had rain at the right times.

  26. One last Carl Yastrzemski post. As you can tell, Yaz is my baseball idol. I was so fortunate to see him play his last game at Fenway in 1983. This is a photo of his last at-bat ever that I took from the third base side. He autographed it for me years later. I dug it out, scanned it and would like to share it with all y’all:

    https://imgur.com/iCQoKMU

      1. Actually, I did not meet him. My insurance agent at the time, who collected baseball cards and autographs, went to a card show, where Yaz was signing, brought the photo with him and had Carl sign it for me.

        1. So so special. Thank you for sharing. As I suspect you know, something like this just has me smiling inside and out.

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