Saturday Forecast

23 Comments

7:56AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 19-23)
High pressure provides a nice weekend for the most part. If you want lots of sun, today’s definitely the pick of the 2 days. We will have to encounter a small speed bump as the weekend comes to an end in the form of increasing clouds during Sunday and the risk of a period of rain especially in RI and southeastern MA. This will be due to the close pass of the low pressure remains of Tropical Storm Nestor, a fairly quick-moving tropical system from the Gulf of Mexico that is crossing the southeastern US at this time. This low will be slowing and turning more to the east from its northeastward track as it passes, keeping that rain threat to the south, but subsequently leaving some of its moisture in a position to be at least partially grabbed by a low pressure trough approaching New England from the west on Tuesday. Impact of this interaction will not be significant, but it may end up a little more than just a band of showers Tuesday night and early Wednesday, so while this doesn’t turn into a major event or anywhere near it, it may just be a little more noticeable than it would have been. However, before that happens, it looks like we squeeze in some decent and mild weather for much of Monday and even into Tuesday, with the latter dependent on how much low cloudiness forms and moves in from the southeast ahead of the next system. When we get to Wednesday, a cold front will sweep through early and the unsettled stuff will be pushed offshore, with fair and breezy weather arriving.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 58-65. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Areas of frost forming. Lows 35-40 except 41-46 immediate coast and urban areas. Wind calm.
SUNDAY: Increasing cloudiness. Highs 58-65. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period or two of rain possible favoring RI and southeastern MA. Lows 50-57. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 58-65. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 48-55. Wind E to SE under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Lows 53-60. Wind S 10-20 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy early with rain showers possible, then mostly sunny. Highs 60-67. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 24-28)
High pressure brings fair and seasonably cool weather October 24 before moving offshore with a warm-up October 25 after a chilly start. Weekend of October 26-27 carries the potential for unsettled weather but too far away for details. Drier, possibly colder end of period as behind any unsettled threat comes a push of chilly air from Canada.

DAYS 11-15 (OCTOBER 29-NOVEMBER 2)
Caution needed for the forecast this far out with one model pushing a colder picture while another reliable one says “not so fast”. When I see this happen, knowing the colder model tends to rush pattern changes, my leaning is toward and up-and-down temperature pattern with 1 or 2 opportunities for mostly minor precipitation events. Elaboration will take place when there is enough confidence for it.

23 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    I saw 35 here earlier this morning, but it has been 38 for an hour.

    Nice Autumn day for sure!

    1. Great day to go to Six Flags New England and roam the park for the day while my son and his friend ride everything and I occasionally go on the bumper cars. 😛

      Going to their Halloween Fright Fest tonight which is pretty good. I don’t startle easily at all so that stuff is ineffective on me but I love watching others’ reactions. 😀

  6. Has anyone seen the Tom Brady bit
    on the new Paul Rudd show on Netflix???
    It shows Tom coming out of a strip mall Spa with a huge smile on his face. Priceless!!

  11. Mark what’s your feelings on the Yankees game tonight? I am thinking being a bullpen game for both teams the Yankees will force a game seven tomorrow night. The Yankees have the advantage in the bullpen department.

    1. I had written them off after going down 3-1 but Paxton really came through last night. I agree that I would give the edge to the Yankees tonight with the bullpens going but the Yankees have to start hitting better. Even last night, their offense was silent after the first inning. It will be hard to get the job done tonight, and impossible tomorrow, without some clutch hitting.

  12. If Verlander did not have the first inning he had last night we might have been doing the post mortem on the Yankees season today.

    1. Nestor is not a name system any longer. Just low pressure remains which will pass to the southeast of the region tonight / early Monday. See the new post which carries the same idea as yesterday’s.

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