Friday Forecast

71 Comments

6:44AM

DAYS 1-5 (OCTOBER 25-29)
A front moves in from the northwest today and tonight, bringing clouds back today and some rainfall, favoring areas north of I-90 tonight. High pressure from Canada presses southward Saturday returning dry weather and sun to the region, but a low pressure area moving northeastward will drag a warm front northward into the region Sunday which will be a grey day. The question has been how much rain will fall and when, and I still feel that we get an initial shot of rain with that warm front that then moves out of the region for a good part of the afternoon. A band of showers will approach from the west with a cold front as the initial low travels north of the region, but a new low will likely form as the system crosses the region with most of the wet weather late-day and evening of Sunday. That low will linger just offshore early in the week with additional unsettled weather.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Increasing clouds. Late-day light rain possible especially southern NH. Highs 57-64. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of light rain, favoring southern NH the northern half of MA. Lows 48-55. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind light N.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Light rain likely morning and midday. Late-day rain showers likely. Highs 55-62. Wind E-SE up to 10 MPH shifting to S.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Areas of fog and drizzle. Rain likely. Lows 48-55. Wind S 5-15 MPH becoming variable.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Drizzle and areas of fog. Chance of rain. Highs 52-59. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Area of drizzle and fog. Chance of rain. Lows 45-52. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Areas of drizzle and fog. Chance of rain. Highs 52-59. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (OCTOBER 30-NOVEMBER 3)
A frontal boundary will still be nearby and with low confidence leaning toward a few rain showers being around Wednesday to early Thursday then fair and milder later Thursday, with a stronger front pushing through from the west with additional rain showers Friday before the November 2-3 weekend is drier but breezy and rather cool.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 4-8)
Progressive pattern expected. Next system brings a wet weather threat early in the period then fair and seasonably chilly weather follows.

71 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  2. I need to make Sunday’s decision by dinner time tonight this call is tough as I have more help Sunday than tomorrow & I’m filling a 20yd dumpster. Light rain is fine I need like 8- 2 timeframe without heavy rain

      1. It does seem that the initial or primary low has been trending further and further west through the first part of Sunday.

        Is that the reason for the delay in the arrival of the steadier precip Sunday?

        1. It’s been my reasoning for a while. Warm advection aloft with the early light rain and then a break beforee the main front approaches later.

  5. Thanks, TK…Happy Friday…

    South Shore Kid…maybe you can answer these questions for me? Believe it or not, my lawn needs mowing again. Should I continue to mow it?; keep it long for the winter?
    When does it stop growing? At the first killing frost?

    Thanks for any advice.

        1. The rate we’re at I will be mowing it for Santa!!!

          Speaking of which…two months from today!!!! Yikes!

          1. Yay and yikes – I am so far behind this year with shopping. I posted a week or so ago that the lawn folks out this way said they mowed every week all summer and never got their usual chances to spread out mowing to 10-14ish days. That set them back with other lawn projects. I don’t recall here or in Framingham ever being unable to spread out mowing in the heart of summer.

      1. Hope that helps captain keep cutting & short is fine as all landscaping lawn crews have the blades dropped low now as it should be

        1. Usually after Halloween is when the cleanup starts & the phone rings like crazy as it gets closer to thanks giving

          1. Thanks, SSK…I usually cut it at medium height spring and summer to avoid burnout. I will cut it a half-inch shorter tomorrow. I mow my own by hand. It’s a great workout for a solid hour! 🙂

            I sincerely appreciate the advice.

              1. You don’t want to scalp it now like you said just drop a half . As kids we would say your lawn is scalped you ruined it lol . Cutting my grandfather’s lawn as a kid he wanted it cut right or you would hear it , wish I could hear his voice again he taught me life long lessons

                1. I do hear my dad’s and grandpas’ voices and they come from my own lips. It usually the same advice and wisdom that I am trying to pass onto my sons!

                2. Such a lovely, lovely sentiment, SSK. I still see my dad in a pair of cut off jean shorts and golf shoes (to aerate of course 😉 ) pushing the mower.

              2. Thanks SSK. WE have to water in the last treatment before the lawn can be mowed this weekend. I was hoping for rain but seems I can’t count on it so am watering lawn now. Captain, we do the same not cutting down too far during mid summer, etc.

                1. So funny Vicki thank you . That was my grandpa cut off Jean shorts , white t- shirt with a big cigar dangling from his mouth & usually with a good glow on from Budweiser’s or martinis. He was like a second father we went over there every Sunday for dinner they lived right up the street in Rexham beach

                2. I’d give my left arm to spend the holidays at that house again . Sorry to go on my moms parents were phenomenal role models

  7. Even when I was a kid I remember my father mowing a lawn that was still growing through October.

    1. I do as well. Both my dad and Mac and my son in law. Mostly it was an easier way than raking to catch the leaves. I do not ever recall having a lawn that needed mowing every week with very little watering.

  8. As long as we are talking about grass,

    I remember several years back (can’t remember the year) when we had an extended warm spell in February. A friend and I went golfing and the grass was green and growing. Pretty cool.

            1. And its somewhat interesting, because if I’m interpreting correctly, the mid-latitude low redevelops from the Great Lakes around NYC, but then travels straight east underneath us.

              So, I guess they hold the tropical system in there as part of the primary low, but both should still transfer their energy to a triple point redevelopment just south of us.

              1. Looking at the 12z GFS precip outlook, I think there’s been an increase in predicted rain amounts in the northern Gulf coast area and in a stripe in southern New England.

              2. Reading the NHC discussion again, I see they say it will probably be a non-tropical gale by the time it reaches the gulf coast and I agree with that. So, their track map of a depression into the Great Lakes seems not necessary since the global models can be used to track that cyclone.

      1. LMAO !!!

        999 mb central pressure, strongest winds to west where cooler; drier air is mixing into the system. At flight level, 50 to 60 knots

  15. From the NWS:

    A widespread/soaking rainfall will impact the region Sun. Strong
    shortwave energy across the eastern Great Lakes early Sun morning
    will lift northeast into northern New England and Quebec by
    afternoon. This will induce a modest southerly LLJ/Pwat plume that
    is to 2 to 3 standard deviations above normal. There are still some
    timing differences, but the widespread rain probably overspreads
    most of the region Sun morning. If some of the slower solutions
    verify, its possible that dry weather could persist into the mid
    afternoon along the southeast New England coast. Either way, the
    heaviest rain looks to occur Sunday afternoon. A secondary low will
    develop near the south coast, which may result in heavier amounts in
    that region. We also can not rule out a rumble or two of thunder
    near the south coast, but probably not worth inserting into the
    forecast at this point.

    Rainfall amounts Sunday should range from 0.50 to 1.50 inches across
    the region. Bands of heavier rain may result in the typical
    ponding of water on some roadways, no significant flooding issues
    are expected. The modest southeast LLJ will allow for some gusty
    winds along the coast to develop, but at this time do not expect the
    need for any wind headlines.

    1. Aren’t I delighted that I watered entire lawn today to water in winter fert. But then mowing has to be done during day hours so very likely it was wise anyway

  19. Vicki, saw your post responding to mine just now on the Wednesday blog. Over 5″ of rain on the month sounds correct for you but the 96″ on the year does not. I am not home right now but I believe last I checked I was over 50″ on the year for 2019.

    Will most likely be up over 6″ on the month of October after Sunday. Grass is still growing like crazy. I realize not everywhere was as wet as we were over the summer and into Sept. but cant get over the fact that there are still some areas in SNE in the abnormally dry zone.

    1. Hi Mark. No idea how I got back to Wednesday but saw that I did

      I am going by my dashboard since my charts no longer work

      I am sure the 96ish is some sort of accumulation but not this year. Thanks for helping.

    1. The categories (jeopardy)

      American Literature
      World History
      Medieval Civilizations
      Politics
      Poor American weather models not named the NAM

Comments are closed.