Saturday Forecast

71 Comments

8:43AM

DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 2-6)
A quick update for your Saturday. A nice weekend, weak high pressure in control today with light wind, and a stronger high moving across the Tennessee Valley Sunday setting up a lightly stronger pressure gradient and a bit more of a breeze but still a very nice day for Sunday, carrying through Monday as well. A trough swings through Tuesday when it will be milder but also carry a risk of rain showers. Another area of high pressure takes a similar route to the previous one on Wednesday, another nice late autumn day for southeastern New England.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A period of rain possible Cape Cod. Lows 35-42 except 42-49 Cape Cod. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 47-54. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 26-33 interior, 33-40 coastal and urban areas. Wind W diminishing to under 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32 interior, 33-40 coastal and urban areas. Wind W under 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of rain showers. Highs 52-59. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy with a risk of rain showers evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 38-45. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 49-56. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 7-11)
A cold front settles through the region November 7 with a rain shower risk. A weak wave of low pressure may ripple along that front late November 7 to early November 8 enhancing rainfall which may even end as mix north and west of Boston early November 8 if enough moisture lingers. The coldest air of the autumn so far arrives during November 8 and lingers into the weekend with a gradual moderation by Veterans Day November 11.

DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 12-16)
The first 2 of 3 days of this period run the risk of unsettled weather as the pattern transitions toward a milder scenario. Fair weather should be back later in the period.

71 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    1. Guaranteed. As you know, Philip, even in December and January 60F days do occur. All it takes is a way inside cutter to transport mild temps our way. This happens pretty much every year, in my estimation.

  3. Good morning and thank you, TK.

    Deepest frost of all last night. Was down to 23. I’d guess it killed a lot of mosquitoes. Not all as my impatiens near the foundation are still half alive. But we are getting there.

    1. That’ll do it for mosquitoes in your town, I think. If you check your impatiens in 24 hours I think you’ll see that they too have called it quits.

      1. The frost was not heavy within a few feet of the foundation. I will be delighted but very surprised if the impatiens are toast. They need the black green slime color to be truly dead and are not quite there. Close though.

      2. You prompted me to take a pic and also take the trash out on the way. One Saturday chore checked off the list. Thank you

        Most of the death of the plant is its natural end of season demise. Very little of the plant is frost dead but definitely more today than there has been.

        https://imgur.com/a/DbAFkUA

  6. A small Sutton business that I could throw a stone at from my house just reported it is still without power ……..so close and yet so far.

    1. You of course know this, but I say it because it’s relevant.. spotty power outages always take so long to restore because they have to go to each damaged site. Regional ones, obviously a major line, repair that, most people are back…

  7. Thank you TK!!
    Well 28.7 this morning coldest so far this fall. Hopefully that puts an end to the mosquitoes, and ends the EEE threat, and hopefully end the grass growing season so I can switch around the lawn tractor for the snowblower after one last pass this weekend.

  8. I believe Logan got down as low as 40. Will probably have to wait until next weekend for 30’s as an overnight low temp. Still waiting…

  9. Hey Vicki, my son is playing his last rec soccer match of the season today against a team from Uxbridge, in Uxbridge. What would be the chances that he plays against any of your grandchildren?

    2. My grands un Uxbridge no longe replay soccer. But If you are where I think you are, you’re about 2 miles from me

  11. Thank you for sending the PP&M song, Vicki.

    In September 1995, upon my return to America, I heard a busker do a great version of the song below at the Harvard Square T station. I was with my daughter of not quite 2, waiting on the platform for the train. Needless to say, we let a couple of trains go by to hear this magical song. I’ll never forget that moment as long as I live.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y7lmAc3LKWM

    1. I used to sing puff to my oldest before bed or if she were upset. Just lovely. I can imagine the thrill it must have Been for you and your daughter.

  14. Waiting on the EURO, which last night had this system coming earlier and passing
    just North of the Boston Area. So, we shall see.

  15. Last night’s low at Logan is good proof that the sensor is running 1F to 2F too warm.

    Not one ob had a temperature within 8F of Logan’s.

    38F for the low is probably more reasonable. Of course the airport will be a lot warmer, but not 8F warmer.

  17. 12Z CMC thinks the GFS is out to lunch. Euro almost out that far. We shall see, but
    it appears that the Euro will take the Northern Exposure.

  20. Yes it was the Sutton street field that we were at. They lost their last game of the season to Uxbridge who played well, field conditions were very muddy. I have to say what a Beautiful area of southernWorcester county, unfortunately we don’t get out that way very often.

    1. I wish we had connected before. I would have stopped by. Sorry to hear his team lost. What a spectacular day to play. We were all out cleaning up yard. And thank you. I do love this little slice of heaven.

  21. From the maps I see on twitter for 12z EURO looks like a widespread accumulating snowfall for SNE Friday. Of course I will let someone on this blog who has EURO service before I believe it.

    1. People who pay too close attention to models and weather apps have already been messaging me exasperated. I tell them even in the dead of winter not to put too much stock in models this far out. Fun to track but annoying when people bet the farm on an event lol

  23. Fwiw…an elderly gentleman on my bus this morning talking all loud to the driver about the recent weather, then guaranteed a blizzard for this month.

    Could the old timer be on to something? My mind went immediately back to yesterday’s 12z GFS. 😉

    1. Well it is only the 2nd so there’s plenty of time for the pattern to arrange itself for a “November blizzard” … 😉 No, that’s not a prediction. I’m just being a wise butt. 😛

      1. The old geezer reminded me of the “soothsayer” in Julius Caesar. It was the only Shakespeare play I studied in school. 😉

  24. Had a surprising amount of energy today, more than I expected. Went for a walk about 8:30AM, back by 10, shortly after was outside yard working and other than a 1/2 hour lunch break I just got in at 4 after having accomplished much more than I left for myself tomorrow. Score.

    I stated above but will repeat here for anybody who missed it, Logan’s actual low was likely 37 or 38 this morning. Definitely not 40.

      1. Well, as SAK found out, an error of up to 5 degrees is “acceptable” by current standards.

    2. Congrats on your high energy day. Probably good it happened today because tomorrow all of our internal clocks will be off kilter lol

      1. Haha! I actually do pretty well with the time changes, especially this one. I’ll be up at 6AM, will start slow with a coffee & bowl of cereal, then take mom on her Sunday rounds, then a few more hours of yard stuff, then a nice wind down to the day finishing with the Pats at night. Not too bad.

    1. It will depend on how much cloud cover arrives from the south in the trough bridge between an offshore storm and energy moving through the Great Lakes. If we get too much cloudiness a little later, it will halt the temperature drop, or significantly slow it down.

          1. Chances are since I don’t dance that I will be remarkably successful in scaring the clouds away or you’ll see some very amused clouds

  27. The official low temp was 39 for Logan…broken thermometer and all! 🙂

    And by Logan standards of 5 degrees that means the temp “could” actually have been low as 34! 😉

  28. Based on the NBC-10 “in-house” model, there is increasing confidence for snow later this week.

    I am curious as to how the “NBC-10” model compares to the regular models on a general basis, long and short range.

    1. It performs anywhere from less accurately to nearly similar. It doesn’t exceed any operational models in most cases I have paid attention.

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