Friday Forecast

84 Comments

6:38AM

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 6-10)
Use caution walking / driving this morning as we’ve had another partial melt / refreeze cycle. We’ll have a small clipper low pressure system bring a period of snow to areas mainly near and north of I-90 later today and possibly into early evening, with just a few rain showers toward the South Coast as the low center cuts right across the I-90 corridor. This is out of here overnight and from then into Saturday it will be windy and rather cold. Dress accordingly if doing errands or going to a high school football super bowl game. Moderating temperatures are expected Sunday as high pressure slips south of the region, but more cloudiness will roll in as the atmosphere warms, and this is going to lead us to a mild, breezy, and rain showery couple days to start next week ahead of an approaching cold front.
The forecast details…
TODAY: Clouding over. Snow arrives mainly near and north of I-90 afternoon with a few late-day rain showers to the south. Highs 30-35 north and west of Boston, 35-40 from Boston south. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of snow showers early, then clearing. Snow accumulations of a coating to 1 inch expected near and north of I-90. Lows 10-17. Wind N to NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 10.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 25-32. Wind NW 10-20 MPH. Wind chill below 20 at times.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W 5-15 MPH. Wind chill near 10 at times.
SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Temperatures steady 33-40 evening, may rise slowly overnight. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of rain showers. Areas of fog. Highs 45-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Episodes of rain showers. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady 45-52. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Episodes of rain showers. Areas of fog. Highs 53-60. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 11-15)
A turn to windy, colder, weather behind a strong cold front December 11, with mainly dry weather other than a few snow showers. A clipper type disturbance may bring light snow or snow showers at some point December 12 followed by mainly dry but cold weather. We may be watching a system evolving to the southwest of the region by the end of the period. Watching for the evolution of a storm system over the December 14-15 weekend which may bring a precipitation threat to the region.

DAYS 11-15 (DECEMBER 16-20)
Potential precipitation threats early and again late period. Temperatures near to below normal.

84 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

    1. Good morning,

      Please forgive me if I have never welcomed you here as I do not recognize
      this handle.

      If not, WELCOME!!

    3. Wishful thinking. I’m 48 and if you include the nine months my mother carried me, I’ve been hoping for an “early” spring for that much time. Still waiting.

  7. Thanks TK!
    I’ve noticed a few flurries in the air a few minutes ago. Seems to me when the main precip shield arrives there will be no dry air to over come so it should make it to the ground right away. Dew point about 5 degrees off of air temp, fairly moist out there.

    1. None this far East, at least not yet.

      I am really not expected snow in the city, save a flurry/rain shower or 2.
      Would not surprise me if the city only sees a few rain showers.

  8. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Still not liking the set up for 12/14-12/15. Still plenty of time and I hope
    it evolves into a colder solution.

    1. The telloconnections like people have said before may favor a colder solution that the models are not picking up yet.

  9. Thank you, TK.

    I’m not looking forward to 2 days of episodic rain showers and balmy temperatures; Monday and Tuesday. I’m looking forward to what happens after that. I certainly hope it verifies. I don’t even care if we get a lot of snow. Just a consistent long stretch of cold and mostly sunny would do. We’re due for that.

    Hadi, the Redskins do have an outside chance at the division. Division winner could turn out to be 7-9. I don’t see Dallas or the Eagles doing much winning the last 3 or 4 games. They’re both toast.

  10. This system looks a little more juicy when viewing the Albany radar.
    I am sure it will dry up and go poof before it arrives here. 🙂

  12. Latest HRRR gives Boston 0.6 inch of snow. 🙂

    NAM: Zippo
    NAM 3KM: Zippo

    RAP: 0.3 inch

    GFS: 0.3 inch

    RDPS: 0.2 inch

  13. Hi everyone, been a long time! I just wanted to say that I’ve been down in Alabama for business and in Tennessee suiting framily, and the weather has been fantastic! I left MA on Tuesday after snow blowing almost 2 feet of snow, got to Huntsville where it was in the 50s. Wednesday, I drive up to Nashville and it’s been in the lower to mid 60s! Although winter is my favorite season, I’m afraid the cold will be a huge shock to the system!

    1. feeling the same way been on St. Thomas VI since August for grad school. Never going below 80 by the University, It gets to around 70 at my place as I am up on a hill. Temp on St. Thomas Saturday afternoon 88. Boston Saturday night, in the 10s lol.

  16. Thinking that it’s going to hold together , could see some moderate snow, only problem is that it is really hauling and will be out of here before it really stacks up. Sitting at 30 degrees in my neck of the woods so the roads may get a little slick for a while.

    1. Sounds like a great place to retire 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

      How’s the cost of living appear to be down there, Matt ?

      1. totally depends on what you want.
        For me this is generally what its like per month
        $666.66 for rent ( each of my room mates pay that amount as well which equates to 2000 a month for three of us) They mainly do year long leases.
        Wifi high end which we have add another 33 dollars each of my room mates or total 99 dollars a week
        (I do not have cable)
        Food/drinks weekly around 100 dollars groceries.
        The electric bill is one of the highest in the country but also probably one of the worst in the country electric grids. This is why its highly recommended to get solar. It will pay off in the long run. They also 12 hours before a storm moves through they shut off the power.
        What ever you do have drinking water but also have brushing your teeth water. Do not put the sink water any where near your face. Most systems are cistern water. Which some can go dry in the dry season.

        Of course there is so many positives as well. One of which are the people are very nice here in general always willing to give a helping hand. Also the beaches/snorkeling is good (even though most of the reefs around here are degraded do to climate change and other human activities.

      1. I don’t think pounce but I’ll take a few hours tonight we were in early as well for decorating

  21. Just texted my wife SSK, she said the same thing, she works in Boston. Even a light snow event messes up the evening commute.

    2. I want the delay because we get out at 3:23 I want the overtime as I do the snow removal and yes it absolutely does

  24. I concur with SSK. Finally, some snow in the City. It looks really nice, but it is
    36 degrees right now. Unless it gets going better, nothing will accumulate. 🙂

  25. 12Z Euro shows a BIG TIME CUTTER _(@!*#()*!@#*)!(@*#)(!@&*$)(&*!@)($*!(@f
    for the 15th. I FORBID cutters!!!! Most useless type of storm system there is(!#*!()@*#)(!*@()#*!)(@*#)(!*@)#(*!(@#*)(

  27. Temp down to 34 here, so it’s working. Beginning to stick near and around the snow and of course on the snow. 🙂

    1. Nah. The system after that. That thing on the 11th may end up laying down something. I’ve been cautiously eyeing it even though it’s not really hit in the forecast above. If things still look suspicious to me tomorrow it’s going into the forecast.

      The system around the 14th-15th weekend is still up in the air. I can totally see that being further SE than currently modeled.

      I’ve identified a couple other suspicious windows of opportunity beyond that: Dec 19-21, Dec 23-25.

  33. 12z GFS, Euro, and CMC all have some anafrontal snow middle of next week. These types of situations don’t often materialize but if a ripple of low pressure forms along that trailing front in the SE and tries to move up the coast, maybe it could potentially enhance the threat for a period of midweek snow after the rain showers? We’ll see.

    I am still not buying that massive cutter/inside runner next weekend that the GFS and Euro are advertising either. Think it ends up further east.

    GFS has been pretty consistent as well with the follow-up snow threat around the 19th from a storm approaching from the SW and passing south of New England.

      1. Yes, looks like we posted similar thoughts at the same time! Hope these prognostications are correct. I love these types of patterns with snow threats every 3 of 4 days.

        I am pretty high on the chances for a white xmas this year for most of us.

          1. Haha! Buffalo may be doing that soon…

            Yes our chances will end up above climate average I believe as we head through mid month.

  34. TK do you really think we might have a precipitation event between the 23rd and the 25th? A nice light to moderate snowfall then would be great!!!!

  35. So next week’s 60 degree Tuesday and 38 degree Wednesday is going to mean barometric pressure havoc, doesn’t it?

    2. There will be a decent fall but not massive, then a good rise after the front goes by. On a scale of 1-10 for drastic pressure changes, I’d rate it about a 5.

    2. Completely realistic possibility. Playing it a little more conservative for now with just snow showers.

  38. Rarely do these back end snows produce. The last one I remember was back in March 2005 but that had a wave of low pressure develop. There doesn’t appear to be a wave of low pressure developing on the front. If the EURO does pan out Boston should be close if not a little above normal snowfall for December.

    1. I remember that storm in March 2005 well. The back-end snow was impressive. In the wake of that storm it got very cold in SNE for a couple of days. Similar to the cold we experienced in early March this year. We seem to get that almost every year. I think early March has been (often much) colder than early December at least 10 out of the last 15 years.

      I’m not convinced the rest of month is going to turn out snowy and cold in Boston. In fact, I’m skeptical. I’d like to see it, but there’s quite a bit of model discrepancy. And, the positioning of lows and even cold highs is too variable for my liking.

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