Tuesday Forecast

54 Comments

7:41AM

DAYS 1-5 (DECEMBER 24-28)
And here we are, on the eve of Christmas, in the early days of Hanukkah, and in the midst of a fairly quiet holiday time, weather-wise. Not to say there are not things to talk about and systems to track, but we’re lacking major events, and that’s good news especially if you travel about the area during this time. So the theme continues during these 5 days. We had a cold front quietly slip through in the early hours today, and it will bring a more seasonable chill back to the air after a couple milder days just gone by. By later Christmas Day and into Thursday the front that went by will return as a warm front, with some cloudiness, but lacking any precipitation, until low pressure tracks through the Great Lakes then drags a cold front back across the region Friday, but by then milder air will be back and we’ll be looking at a rain shower risk. High pressure returns with a chill-down for Saturday.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT (CHRISTMAS EVE): Mostly clear. Lows 20-27. Wind light variable.
WEDNESDAY (CHRISTMAS DAY): Variably cloudy. Highs 32-39. Wind light variable.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 20-27. Wind light variable.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 35-42. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with light rain/mix possible overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind light variable.
FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of passing rain showers. Highs 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 18-25. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (DECEMBER 29-JANUARY 2)
Low pressure tracks through the Great Lakes December 29-30 with a warm front / cold front combo bringing a round of rain/mix and then a round of rain showers. Fair, briefly colder December 31, then a similar system may repeat a similar result January 1-2.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 3-7)
Trend is for more polar jet stream, slightly colder and mostly dry weather with a couple minor light snow or snow shower events.

54 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK. I have already received a Christmas present, the Flu! Must be a different strain than the Flu shot, as I did get the shot back in September.

    1. Bleh! Influenza is so much more hard-hitting than just an ordinary cold virus. You can tell it by its sudden onset and level of discomfort, and then it lingers. But you don’t need me to tell you that. Please take care of yourself and I hope you are feeling well soon!

      2. Thanks! It did come on fast Sunday night. I went and got tested yesterday morning and the Tamiflu and Tylenol have really helped.

  2. A little look-ahead…

    My own version of the CFS, maybe the TKE (TK Extended) as I think about the pattern ahead.
    January 1-7: Transition from current pattern toward colder/drier, minor precip events.
    January 8-14: Cold, mostly dry.
    January 15-21: Cold, snowy period getting the month to near normal in snowfall.
    January 21-31: January thaw, then a return to cold/dry.

      1. I don’t think it will snow much before then but you never know. All it takes is one system tracking just in the right place.

  3. Good morning and thank you TK.
    My Winter Nap continues….. Yawn, yawn, yawn….

    re: White Christmas, sort of?
    Well for starters,even though it was warm yesterday, it was quite dry thus
    slowing the melting process. Not as much snow melted as I expected.

    Today is dry and relatively cold, so not too much more should melt today.

    Here is what I have on the ground as of this morning.

    https://imgur.com/a/pZ2JOD6

    That edifice in the back ground is our SOB neighbors monstrosity of an addition!!
    They took down 8 beautiful trees to build that ugly piece of shit! and ruin the neighborhood and knock a few hundred grand off the value of my house.

    So it won’t be an “official” White Christmas, there may be just enough laying
    around to make it somewhat festive.

    1. The low sun angle allows that snow to hang around, even with the mild air we had yesterday. Had we had more wind, or some rain, then the snow would have gone POOF. But just a fair day, light wind, low sun angle, mildish but not too warm, we’ll hold onto a little bit. We have patchy snowcover here, about 1 inch average.

  5. Thanks Tk loving the forecast keep the major events away please . I was out running around by 6am this morning getting Christmas errands completed. Merry Christmas & happy Hanukkah to all .

    1. I think we get active mid January. Perhaps you’ll get your MLK Jr. Weekend event after all. 😉

      1. It doesn’t matter Tk I won’t wish for it I can get the overtime doing easier things I’m rooting for mild and minor events that’s just my opinion.

  7. Thanks for all you do here, TK!

    Much to do here on Christmas Eve.
    Just wanted to pop on and wish all of you the peace, joy and fun of Christmas with your family and friends!

    Merry Christmas!!!

  8. This blog started on Dec 26 2010 in the midst of a winter storm. That was fun. 😉

    Basically the foundation for this blog was a Christmas present from one of my techies who still helps me with stuff when I need it.

    2. And it is a wonderful Blog and we all truly appreciate your efforts in providing
      outstanding forecast insights and your hard work to maintain the blog.

    7. I agree: it’s a wonderful blog and a great place to come for weather knowledge. Thank you for all you do TK, and kudos to all your valuable commenters!

  9. I agree outstanding blog with some extremely knowledgeable folks on here that make it easy to understand. Thank you TK and thank you for always being available for my landscaping jobs as it’s a huge ace in my pocket

  14. Flight tracker is following Santa also. Although, it seems it and NORAD have him in two different locations. I guess it is the magic of Christmas.

  15. Aha! Perhaps my MLK weekend theory may hold water after all…or snow in this case? 😉
    I remember when Todd Gross was on the air he would always target February 6-12 as a timeframe for snow events. Even though the Blizzard of 1978 was during that time, other than the anniversary itself I never really focused specifically as an automatic ritual of February for snow no more than any other part of the month. We’ve had big snow events during school vacations, at the very beginning and even towards early March.

    1. And quite warm weather during vacations. I recall February vacation …1989 I believe but could,have been 90…..when kids were outside in shorts and tees

      I do love New England.

      Merry merry Philip.

  16. Philip I remember watching Todd Gross when I was going to college and he would always says February 5th – 12th is the peak of winter and your highest potential for a snowstorm. The Blizzard of 2013 happened during that time period as well as the Blizzard of 1978.

    1. I gave a doozy of a head cold myself. No fever thankfully. Just a lot of sneezing and using up Kleenex. I did get a flu shot as well.

      Frankly though I thought that by now the flu shot can take care of most strains. Obviously not. Take care North! 🙂

  18. NOT that it will be correct, but the GFS starts getting interesting starting around 1/2.
    We shall see…..

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