Friday Forecast

71 Comments

7:34AM

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 31-FEBRUARY 4)
No big changes for the forecast looking out through 5 days – a nice day to end the month of January, a fairly benign winter month. February starts with a little more activity in the pipeline but nothing too spectacular, storm-wise, as we get grazed by low pressure passing south of the region Saturday bringing a little rain/mix to southeastern areas, and an upper low crosses the area Sunday with perhaps a rain/snow shower as it turns a little colder. A small area of high pressure will bring fair weather Monday before a warm front returns cloudiness and a slight risk of a little light rain to the region Tuesday as milder air returns.
Forecast details…
TODAY: Sun gives way to clouds. Highs 37-44. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Brief snow/mix possible late evening. Lows 26-33. Wind variable under 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Cloudy. Chance of mix/rain favoring eastern CT/RI/southeastern MA. Highs 35-42. Wind E 5-15 MPH, higher gusts southern areas.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A rain or snow shower favoring southeastern areas. Lows 30-37. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of a rain or snow shower. Highs 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 20-27. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 30-37. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Brief light rain possible favoring northern MA / southern NH. Highs 40-47. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 5-9)
Mild with rain showers possible February 5. Cooler, still above seasonal averages, but a period of unsettled weather from a couple of low pressure systems possible during the February 6-8 period with a variety of precipitation possible. Fair, colder at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 10-14)
Pattern transition puts southeastern New England in a battle zone with additional unsettled weather and a variety of precipitation possible during this period. Far too soon to try to pick out any details.

71 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  5. Good morning and more crappy Winter Weather. Please just let it be Spring. Why prolong the agony.

    This Winter has been Pathetic.

    2. Winter is over March 19 at 11:50 pm EDT. Fact.

      Brady is with Pats till he says he isn’t. Until then no one knows. Fact.

    3. I think he comes back last minute contract deal but I also would not at all be surprised if he moves on . If you follow the patriots very , very closely like I do there have been many rumors on a rift between Brady , Kraft & Bill . We may find out soon if any of it holds the truth . If Brady says see ya pats ( which is Again in play very much ) it’s because the pats won’t take care of him . If he wants a 2-3 year contract extension ( wants that more than money ) after everything he has giving you , well return the favor & you can meet in the middle with the money . But be very careful Kraft because LA & Miami will be knocking on that door really , really hard & it’s a perfect market for TB#12 & both Brady & the wife have ties to the Miami organization.

              1. 0.0% chance Brady stays. At least with weather there’s always a slim chance of a freak occurrence. I don’t give Brady even 10%.

      2. Lastly one thing Kraft must be thinking about is can he handle the aftermath if he lets Brady walk the out cry of disappointment. I honestly believe Kraft is the deciding factor not Bill . Will he give TB what he wants ( as much as he can without hurting the team ) or will he have the guts to say time is up Tommy.

        1. Kraft is a ruthless business man and will DO
          whatever is best for his bottom line, period. End of discussion.

    1. That statement may be true, but the 7 day temperatures do NOT
      resemble Winter in any way, shape or manner!

  11. The cold months will probably be several degrees above average.

    The supposed spring months, several degrees below average.

    And this results in it being 45F to 55F from January 1st to May 31st, in spite of going from a 24 degree angle sun, with 9 hours of daylight to a 70 degree angle sun with 15 hours of daylight. Drives me nuts !!!!!!

  12. The silver lining to having a warmer than average January is amount of money we all save on heating expenses. That’s a few hundred dollars in my pocket that I literally didn’t burn. So now I’m going to take those extra dollars and bribe Mother Nature to give us a snowstorm!!

  13. 12z Euro run total snow for next 10 days at 10:1

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2020013112&fh=240&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ne&p=sn10_acc&m=ecmwf_full

    12z GFS run total snow for next 10 days (Kuchera)

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc&rh=2020013112&fh=240&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    Good to see (should these runs be in the ballpark) that the ski resorts in NNE have the potential to pick up some decent snow next week.

    We have a trip planned to Sugarloaf ME the weekend of Feb 22 and while they are doing OK up there now (100 trails open), a lot of their natural snow/gladed trails are not open. They could use a good injection of some natural snow.

    1. I’d caution that some of those snow totals in interior SNE are too high on that Euro map as we are looking at 10:1 ratios and there will likely be more mixing/frozen precip involved in those areas.

  14. Teleconnections update today….

    AO, NAO, PNA continue to look piss poor through mid Feb. (+,+,-)

    EPO looks good – squarely negative thru mid Feb. One index supporting some cold air infusion into the US but probably will be more centered in the West.

    MJO still no factor. Looks neutral for the foreseeable future. Euro and GFS ensemble forecasts at least have backed off for now on sending it squarely into an unfavorable phase but doesn’t look like it is headed into 8,1, or 2 anytime soon either.

    1. in other words, we’re cooked. Pack it up and wait till next year. Lots of blown snow forecasts/guesses.

        1. Sure, I’ve heard that before. Despite what I say, I always
          know that Winter can throw a surprise or 2 at us.
          We shall see.

      2. Not cooked yet. We have a couple threat periods the next few weeks despite the indices.

        Not to mention – those indices only run through Feb 15 and are long range model forecasts. We’ll see what happens after that.

  15. Well we are 2 days away from the half way point of winter. We know better. 😉 That’s all I’ll say.

    I won’t say a thing about Brady other than to agree with Vicki. He’s on the Patriots until he says he isn’t. That’s the only fact there is. Everything else is random guessing.

      1. Nope. Nothing at all. I speculate that T.B. 12 is going to become a game show host within 5 years. 🙂

        1. Or be in the movies or run for Senator in the state of
          Florida. Oops I added an additional speculation in there. 🙂

          1. I’ve been hearing a lot of clues on the tv news (not the sportscasts) that Brady is certainly gone. For starters he’s taken his kids out of the Brookline schools and Giselle is looking at “out of state” schools…that’s “out of New England”.

            1. Even that is not enough to call it “certain”, which of course makes the assumption that what you are hearing on TV news is actually correct.

  23. Nate reported that the snow started at Woods Hill Woburn at exactly 12:00AM. At the time I was driving into a more moderate burst as I headed east and arrived back home as the band was getting ready to move out of Woburn. Recorded 0.2 inch.

  25. For the foreseeable future, Unless things change, all I see is Cutter after Cutter after Cutter. Some of which hit an antecedent colder air mass resulting in some snow
    prior to changeover. We shall see. Just does NOT look good.

  26. Some sidewalks were quite slick early this morning and I noticed what appeared to be snow on the edge of some grassy surfaces. Or was it frost?

    It will be interesting if Logan records any snowfall.

    1. Based on the posts above, I guess it snowed in some areas late. The morning tv mets didn’t really make that clear, at least not to my interpretation. Pavements just looked plain wet to me.

      1. My 0.2 inch of snow is mostly melted now but 2 hours ago it was all still there.

        And yes it was snow, not frost. It was a pretty solid area of snow that moved through overnight. Just narrow.

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