Sunday Forecast

30 Comments

7:24AM

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 23-27)
2 mild late February days coming up as high pressure sits south of New England. A broad double-barrel low will impact the region Tuesday to early Thursday, mainly as a rain event with 2 surges of wet weather, the second being more potent. Cold air arrives at the end, but mainly after the precipitation is gone.
TODAY: Sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 33-40. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 45-50 South Coast, 51-56 elsewhere. Wind S up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Thickening overcast. Lows 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain, favoring the afternoon. Highs 42-49. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Lows 38-45. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy. Areas of fog. Chance of light rain early. Steadier rain likely late day or night. Highs 40-47. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Rain likely evening. Patchy rain, drizzle, and areas of fog overnight. Lows 33-40. Wind SE 5-15 MPH becoming variable.
THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers morning. Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers afternoon. Temperatures steady 33-40. Wind W increasing to 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 3)
Fair, chilly weather February 28-29 to end the month. Temperatures moderate slightly but with high pressure to the north and low pressure passing to the south the start of March may be on the cloudier side although looks like storminess and precipitation will stay to the south at this early stage of looking at the system.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 4-8)
Timing of low pressure systems this far in advance is always difficult but initially looking at March 4 and March 6-7 for possible impact times. Precipitation types uncertain but temperatures may be a little more marginal for rain vs. mix/snow. Long way to go to figure out the details.

30 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. Thanks TK!

    Dave Epstein wouldn’t quite say on air that we are done with snow, only to say that “it is getting to be done.”

    1. Because we’re well beyond the “halfway point”. He’s talking climatology more than anything. He knows what can happen.

  4. I Watched 3 rather intense movies this weekend, all different from each other and all
    fantastic in their own way. I’d rate them in the order listed. I I had to choose one,
    it would be Motherless Brooklyn where Edward Norton was out his mind excellent!!

    Chris Pine turned in a stellar performance in the Finest Hours.

    Here they are:

    Motherless Brooklyn
    The Finest Hours
    Midway

  6. Oh, I forgot, thank you TK.
    Just not feeling Winter-Like.
    I am ready for Spring, let’s bring it.

    Of when we are in “Spring” mode, you know what will happen. 🙂

    1. We keep thinking a wallop of a storm is just around the corner waiting to hit us with a bat based on past experience but I’ve been feeling for a while now this would be a mild winter and now I’m starting to think we close out mild. Not saying we don’t get any snow but big snow storm window is fast closing. I don’t think I will see a comment from you with capital letters and exclamation marks talking about a big kahuna is what I’m trying to say. LOL!

  8. Thank you, TK.

    This has been and will likely continue to be a North Carolina winter. But, my guess is spring will not be North Carolina like. We shall see.

    I am looking forward to the 4th straight cold and winter-like Friday, happening February 28th.

    I haven’t put away all my Christmas decorations. There’s one last reminder of Christmas in my living room (it also reminds me of my mother) and I’m going to keep it there all year. Similarly, this year I decided not to put away my father’s Hanukkah menorah. Just having these items around and visible may also help to cool things off when HHH hits.

    1. I love your reminders staying up year round. I often do the same. It’s also why I enjoy hallmarks Christmas in July.

  10. I’m always fascinated by how hard it can be to melt snow and ice when the DP is low even when the temps are up. Half of my yard is still covered in snow & ice. 1″ or less in most areas but it just won’t melt. The evaporational cooling right at the very surface just “keeps” it from melting.

    1. funny how that works.

      I remember Roland Boucher explaining that to me. Of course he was talking about skiing and how the surfaces would remain powder even
      with temps in the lower 40s due to low dew points and what you described.
      Pretty cool. I actually skied the next day and sure as shootin, it was powder even though I was skiing with just a sweater for outer wear. 🙂 with temps around 40 or a bit higher.

  11. 55 here. I can only imagine Logan’s reading. Ok, would you believe 57!
    (@!#&()!@&#*&!@()*#)(!@&#()&!@)(#&!@)(#&*!@&#(!&@

  12. I post this reminder every year, but we’re officially into over-performing temperature season. Every mostly sunny day without cold air advection from now through leaf-out, expect high temperatures to verify at or above the high end of expectations. Big diurnal swing today!

  14. Another “zuidwesterstorm,” as the Dutch call them – rough translation a “southwester,” hit the British Isles and the low countries. This month they’ve already had 6 so-called “storm days,” which means a day in which sustained winds hit gale force (Beaufort 8) or higher for more than 6 hours. Another storm is projected to hit this week. In 1990, Holland had 9 storm days in February. I remember it well. January was very windy that year, too. The sound of gale force winds is something I sort of miss. We just don’t have that very often around here.

  15. TK/WXW,

    What’s history indicate regarding back door cold fronts after benign winter’s like this one? Less frequent? Less “severe”?

    1. I definitely can’t say for sure, but my guess would be that there is probably not a very strong correlation. Ocean temperatures being above normal in theory favors fewer or less severe backdoor fronts, but that couple of degrees above normal is likely not much of a game changer. TK may know better at least anecdotally but I would expect several backdoor-induced cool and raw spring days, as we get every year.

    2. As far as I know, there’s no solid correlation. That will depend on the pattern heading into the spring. Whether the water temps are below, near, or above normal, there is still going to be water that runs cooler than land quite often, and any time you put a high in eastern Canada, which is somewhat “typical”, you’re going to increase you chance of a back-door. I’d say this coming spring we’ll see pretty much what we’d typically see.

  16. Until this evening I did not know that Mike Trout (the best player in baseball) is a weather nut. I mean a certified weather junkie. Follows the weather models. Likes snowstorms. Even talked about becoming a meteorologist. That’s cool.

    I’ve always liked the low-key professional athletes like Trout for some reason. Same with politicians.

  18. That’s a really cool bit of info Joshua thanks!
    So is TK. He knocks it out of the park every time!

Comments are closed.