Friday Forecast

50 Comments

7:38AM

DAYS 1-5 (FEBRUARY 28-MARCH 3)
Canadian high pressure brings dry, cold weather for the final 2 days of February and the first day of March. A weak low pressure and frontal system accompanying a slight warm-up returns clouds to the region for Monday, but with a minimal threat of any precipitation, and then a bubble of high pressure brings dry weather for Tuesday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Sunny. Highs 32-39. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 12-19. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 33-40. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 25-32. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Highs 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH becoming variable.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 28-35. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming N.
TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind light variable.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 4-8)
A more unsettled period of weather starting with a brief warm-up then followed by colder air again. Will have to watch for a couple systems, the first favoring rain and the second possibly favoring more frozen precipitation. High degree of uncertainty remains.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 9-13)
Fair, briefly colder to start the period, then moderating temperatures and additional unsettled weather possible mid to late period.

50 thoughts on “Friday Forecast”

  1. This is part of a post that a colleague of mine made. I have not used his name here but I did ask permission to share the post with the blog. At least this offers some hope that a solution will be coming….. eventually….

    “Regarding the post I made yesterday in regards to the temperatures at Boston’s Logan Airport (KBOS) I got the following comments today from the NWS Boston office:

    ‘We are aware of this perception, and have been for some time. So far, we have taken several steps. Our electronics technicians are in the process of verifying the calibration of their test equipment. A study has been designed, which will be conducted this summer (https://weather.gov/…/b…/officePrograms/SummerIntern2020.pdf…) . These will take time to complete well. We ask for your patience while this issue is investigated. All numbers are to be considered preliminary until verified and certified by the National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI). There is a lag time of several months for this process to occur.’

    Nice to at least get some sort of acknowledgement that there is quite possibly something wrong.

    To my media friends can I suggest we put a halt on using KBOS numbers to describe this winter. No one can deny it has been warm and I’m certainly not trying in any way to say it hasn’t been but calling it the second warmest on record when no other climate sites suggest this is wrong. In this field we are all scientists and the core of any science is the data we collect and use. If we don’t fully verify it before we use it we are fundamentally not doing our jobs properly.”

    2. Thank you, TK

      Good good. TK is the last paragraph a quote from nws or your colleague or you? I think your colleague but don’t quite understand what media friends means. Are local Mets to discount Boston temps?

  3. Actually out in the field it’s not bad at all I was pleasantly surprised. The sun is blinding in the city . Have a nice day everyone.

  5. Yesterday’s rain evaporating fast. Dry ground absorbs the sun’s energy. Temperatures might over achieve by a degree or two today.

    1. First cleaning this Sunday the phone has been ringing off the hook as folks looking for estimates & all of them want done as soon as possible .

  7. Turn clocks next weekend I always love when March rolls in as it’s getting closer to my favorite weather season which is summer .

        1. It is plenty dark when I leave work just prior to 6 am when DST starts up again. Just getting light as it is now.

            1. Darkness on both ends of your commute. It happens to me from mid-November into most of December. Out by 6, back by 4.

  9. The ski areas have really been raking it in from this storm. Some totals thus far….

    Whiteface Mtn, NY….24″ (158″ on the season)
    Jay Peak, VT….20″ (242″ on the season)
    Sugarloaf, ME….17″
    Stowe, VT….14″ (as of 5:30AM this AM and still snowing) (185″ on the season)

  10. In the Lake Effect zone, Copenhagen, NY (Lewis County, outside of Watertown) has picked up 28.5″ of snow as of 7AM this morning.

  12. Update from Stowe….

    26″ at mid mountain (3000′)

    And this was the scene at 1500′ near the base area….

    https://scontent-lga3-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.15752-9/83814299_493190198026842_7087107852749242368_n.jpg?_nc_cat=111&_nc_sid=b96e70&_nc_ohc=7N3U3dSXzs0AX-td41t&_nc_ht=scontent-lga3-1.xx&oh=5f913a5cb5e29ec32dbf66108f2b2767&oe=5EED1ABA

    Stowe was locked under its very own lake effect blizzard band off of Champlain earlier today….

    https://www.americanwx.com/bb/uploads/monthly_2020_02/813FD3FD-D605-4F7C-ABF7-FA91E39C5ADB.jpeg.dd1bee722b884b494e9344f6a3141cba.jpeg

  13. Vicki to answer your earlier question, the last paragraph was from my colleague. He was addressing the many folks on his friends list that are in broadcast media. 🙂

    1. I’m snow-deprived. Thanks for sending, Mark. I’ll return to this picture every hour or so. Seriously, I’m resigned to the fact that it won’t snow or get cold for more than 48 hours. But, it’s getting to me. For most people summer’s nice. It was when I was a kid. I loved summer. It’s a struggle now. If we could have a summer in which it didn’t get to the 90s and was mostly in the 70s I’d be happy. Alas, that ain’t happening.

      1. I suggest taking a drive up north for a few days 🙂 My three days up in Maine last weekend were therapeutic. Seriously, it’s a different world up there. They are having another great winter. The disparity between SNE and NNE seems even greater this year than last.

        1. My brother and sister in law said the same. They are in NH. Sadly, My brother may have hung up his skis 🙁

  16. I need a road trip!!

    Public Information Statement
    Spotter Reports
    National Weather Service Buffalo NY
    507 PM EST Fri Feb 28 2020

    ********************STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL********************

    LOCATION STORM TOTAL TIME/DATE COMMENTS
    SNOWFALL OF
    /INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

    NEW YORK

    …Jefferson County…
    Carthage 40.0 440 PM 2/28 Social Media
    S Watertown 31.7 300 PM 2/28 CoCoRaHS
    1 ESE Watertown 20.0 430 PM 2/28 CoCoRaHS

  17. Fwiw…Eric on air didn’t quite “call it” but to mention that the 6-10/8-14 day outlooks call for warmer than average temps and that not to expect to “pay for it” in March.

    Hint hint… 🙁

    1. Sorry for the overload of snow pictures and posts today. If we cant have it here, need to live vicariously through others 🙂

  19. 00z CMC for late next week…

    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem&region=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2020022900&fh=180

    Kuchera snow with up to 15″ on the Cape:

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gdps&p=snku_acc&rh=2020022900&fh=204&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=

    00z Euro with a couple inches of snow as well but just misses the phase for a larger storm….

    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf&rh=2020022900&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=

  20. At this point I’m like, damn let’s just go for some records. I’ve lived out in Worcester area for almost 40 years and can’t recall so little snow. And imagine Worcester not receiving ANY snow in March. Now that would be something.

        1. Not looking good, but it is not a total lock just yet.
          Both Euro and CMC advertising at least some snow
          next weekend in the same time period TK was mentioning
          plus same time Eric Fisher was saying there was a
          window of opportunity.

        2. Did I ever remind you of what happens when you declare the snow season “done” this early? And yes, “this early” is a very valid phrase as of February 29. 🙂

      2. I know right. And I don’t want to get into any semantics with anyone either. To me, Worcester receiving even like only 3” or less in March qualifies as “none”.

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