Saturday Forecast

37 Comments

10:57AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 7-11)
Southeastern New England dodged a bullet in the last 24 hours – the evolution of a monster ocean storm, definitely not atypical for this time of year but certainly atypical for this particular winter, at least this close by. The pattern has not allowed such things to take place near to New England, with much of it taking place further north and east, impacting the Canadian Maritime Provinces and across to northwestern Europe. But we’ve been keeping an eye on this time frame (originally slated as March 6-8). The evolution and development happened early in the time window and just barely too far southeast to nail the region with what would have been a major snowstorm, as well as wind event. Well we got some of the wind event, still ongoing now, and far southeastern areas did get a very minor piece of the snow, but that’s about it, and with only some wind and minor coastal flooding left behind today, we now face a dry weekend, which will end less windy and a little warmer than it starts out, although there will still be a gusty breeze on Sunday as high pressure sinks south of the area. But the high will then be in the position to deliver quite the warm up, which will peak on Monday, and linger a bit into Tuesday, a day that will feature more cloudiness and eventually a rain shower threat as a cold front approaches, to deliver a slight cool-down by Wednesday. The one wildcard regarding Tuesday is whether or not the warm-up will be cut short sooner by a back-door front for NH and northern MA. Will monitor, but leaning toward it happening at this time.
TODAY: Partly sunny Cape Cod until midday otherwise mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind N-NW 10-20 MPH except 20-30 MPH Cape Cod, higher gusts in all locations.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW to W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.
SUNDAY: Sunny. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts likely.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts possible.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 48-55 South Coast, 56-63 southeastern MA, 63-70 elsewhere. Wind W 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs may range widely from near 50 north to near 65 south (more detail later). Wind variable up to 10 MPH may shift to N and NE.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers. Lows 45-52. Wind SE to SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 52-59. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 12-16)
We’ll be in a battle zone between mild air to the south and cold air to the north. While I think overall temperatures will not stray too far from normal, they may be critical in determining precipitation type for systems impacting the region March 12-13, and again around March 15, depending on the tracks of the systems. Much to iron out.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 17-21)
Leaning toward dry but possibly colder weather early period, then milder and more unsettled weather around or just after the time of the Vernal Equinox. This period, not surprisingly, carries a lot of uncertainty this far out.

37 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

  2. The Vernal Equinox is on March 19 this year. That seems unusually early as I don’t recall it ever being before March 20th.

  4. morning and thank you tk. noticed snow on cars this morning. must have driven up from farther south.

    1. Early this morning there was more snow on car rooftops than on the grass. Even my front steps had a nice coating.

      1. Recent mild weather leaves the ground warmer. Cars cool off much more thoroughly in a much shorter period of time. That is the reason.

        Your steps are probably raised off the main ground enough not to have carried as much heat in them.

          1. A couple of miles can make a big difference. Sure does here. We can have nothing and a few miles from here can have an ice coating on all trees and bushes.

  5. If we had received even just a few inches last night, this blog would have lit up like a mini Christmas tree.

      2. I wonder if Logan itself managed to squeeze out 0.1 inch just because it naturally sticks out into the Harbor. I’ll check the updated climo report later. Probably just a Trace most likely though.

  6. Trivia Quizzes

    1) What is the criteria for a High Wind Warning?
    A. 40 mph winds sustained for 1 hour.
    B. Gusts of at least 58 mph.
    C. Gusts and sustained winds more than 50 mph.
    D. Either A or B.

    2) What does a pilot tube measure?
    A. Airspeed of an aircraft
    B. Exact rainfall measurement
    C. Soil temperature
    D. Cloud density

    Answers later today or maybe tomorrow.

    1. A for first
      B fluid velocity 🙂 🙂 ;). Wanna disagree….take it up with Maccer 😉

        2. That could be a pitot tube btw but I’m pretending it isn’t. Clearly house arrest is getting to me

  10. Answers to Trivia Quizzes.

    Trivia Quizzes

    1) What is the criteria for a High Wind Warning?
    A. 40 mph winds sustained for 1 hour.
    B. Gusts of at least 58 mph.
    C. Gusts and sustained winds more than 50 mph.
    D. Either A or B.

    The answer id D.

    2) What does a pitot tube measure?
    A. Airspeed of an aircraft
    B. Exact rainfall measurement
    C. Soil temperature
    D. Cloud density

    The answer is A. I think I spelled pitot wrong yesterday and mistakenly said pilot. The pitot actually measures the speed of the air around an aircraft (or it could be a race car or anything like that.). In other words, it measures the speed of the wind around the airplane.

    1. Thanks Longshot. A Pitot tube also measures the velocity of fluid flow. Had I actually been thinking last night, I might have figured it applied to air also. And that is a very rough definition. I had not heard of it in this context but am familiar with it because Mac and our youngest did a school experiment project using pipettes and pitot tubes as well as other lab stuff.

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