Sunday Forecast

76 Comments

11:58AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 15-19)
High pressure provides dry and chilly weather today and Monday, before a low pressure area moving eastward brings unsettled weather for Tuesday, before being replaced with another chilly high pressure area Wednesday. The jury’s out on Thursday’s weather, but at the moment I am leaning toward a little faster movement of coming systems, which would bring a warm front toward the region, producing a turn back to at least a cloudy sky and possibly some precipitation on Thursday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 38-45. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Sunny. Highs 37-44. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Increasing clouds. Lows 28-35. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Spotty light rain, may begin as snow in a few areas. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy evening. Clearing overnight. Lows 25-32. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 43-50. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Increasing clouds overnight. Lows 27-34. Wind N diminishing to under 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Spotty light snow/sleet/rain possible. Highs 38-45. Wind NE to E up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MARCH 20-24)
Low to medium confidence as we will be in a progressive pattern with a sharp temperature contrast between cold air in Canada and much warmer air to the south of New England. Current idea is very mild with a risk of rain showers March 20, windy and colder with a risk of a few snow showers March 21, next system arriving later March 22 to early March 23 with a risk of mix/rain, but probably a minor fast-moving system, and another rain risk by the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MARCH 25-29)
Leaning drier, milder but with a high degree of uncertainty. This will probably change.

76 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. Repost of Vicki’s post made just before I updated…

    Vicki says:
    March 15, 2020 at 11:45 AM

    This is long

    Temporary Closure of Certain State Conservation and Recreation Managed Facilities

    BOSTON – Out of an abundance of caution due to the spread of COVID-19 in Massachusetts, the Department of Conservation and Recreation (DCR) has announced the temporary closure of certain agency managed facilities effective Saturday, March 14, 2020 through Wednesday, April 1, 2020 at which time DCR will reassess circumstances. Additionally, during the temporary closure all associated events at these locations are cancelled.

    Importantly, all state parks and comfort stations across the Commonwealth remain open and available for the public to utilize. DCR reminds residents and visitors to avoid gathering in large groups, maintain social distancing, and practice healthy personal hygiene to stop the spread of the virus.

    The temproary closures of certain facilities is consistent with the State of Emergency declared by Governor Baker on Tuesday, March 10, 2020 and guidance that conferences, seminars and other discretionary gatherings, scheduled and hosted by Executive Branch agencies involving external parties are to be held virtually or cancelled. Additionally, Governor Charlie Baker issued an emergency order prohibiting most gatherings of over 250 people to limit the spread of the COVID-19.

    For information about the Baker-Polito Administration’s ongoing efforts to prevent and mitigate the spread of COVID-19, please visit the Department of Public Health’s (DPH) website.

    DCR Facilities
    CLOSED until April 1, 2020 – Effective Immediately

    Mount Greylock State Reservation Visitor Center,
    30 Rockwell Rd, Lanesborough, MA

    Walden Pond Discovery Center, 915 Walden Street, Concord, MA

    Fall River Heritage State Park Visitor Center, Davol Street, Fall River, MA

    Lawrence Heritage State Park Visitor Center, 1 Jackson Street, Lawrence, MA

    Mount Holyoke Range State Park Notch Visitor Center, 1500 West Street, Amherst, MA

    Roxbury Heritage State Park Visitor Center, 183 Roxbury Street, Boston, MA

    Middlesex Fells State Reservation Botume House Visitor Center, 4 Woodland Road, Stoneham, MA

    Wompatuck State Park Visitor Center, 204 Union Street, Hingham, MA

    Purgatory Chasm Reservation Visitor Center, 198 Purgatory Road, Sutton, MA

    Dunn State Park Visitor Center, 289 Pear Street, Gardner, MA

    Quabbin Reservoir Visitor Center,
    100 Winsor Dam Road, Belchertown, MA

    Melnea A. Cass Recreation Complex,
    120 M.L.K. Jr. Boulevard, Boston, MA

    Daughters of the American Revolution Campground,
    78 Cape Street, Goshen, MA

    Savoy Mountain State Forest Campground,
    260 Central Shaft Road, Florida, MA

    Great Falls Discovery Center, 2 Avenue A, Turner Falls, MA

    Blackstone Heritage Corridor Visitor Center at Worcester
    3 Paul Clancy Way, Worcester, MA

    Holyoke Heritage State Park Visitor Center, 221 Appleton Street, Holyoke, MA

    Halibut Point State Park Visitor Center, Gott Avenue, Rockport, MA

    Borderland State Park Visitor Center, 259 Massapoag Avenue, North Easton, MA

    Breakheart State Reservation Visitor Center, 177 Forest Street, Saugus, MA

    Maudslay State Park Visitor Center, 74 Curzon Mill Road, Newburyport, MA

    Blackstone River and Canal Heritage State Park River Bend Farm Visitor Center, 287 Oak Street, Uxbridge, MA

    Wachusett Mountain State Reservation Visitor Center, 345 Mountain Road, Princeton, MA

    Western Gateway Heritage State Park Visitor Center, 9 Furnace Street, North Adams, MA

    Waquoit Bay National Estuarine Research Reserve Visitor Center,
    131 Waquoit Highway, East Falmouth, MA

    Beartown State Forest Campground,
    69 Blue Hill Road, Monterey, MA

    Mohawk Trail State Forest Campground,
    Cold River Road, Charlemont, MA

    Scusset Beach State Reservation Campground, 22 Scusset Beach Road, Sagamore Beach, MA

  2. Thanks for the post TK. Trying not to think about covid 19 seems to make me think about it more.

    2. Like any large and ongoing event (9-11, etc.) it’s always “there” but after a while you just keep doing what you do, custom adjusted to each situation of course. That’s why I went up to the seacoast to get photos this morning. I’ve been planning to for a while and was taking advantage of the “later” sunrises again brought about by last week’s time change, before they get very early and it’s a little harder to do that without getting up at 4AM. 😉

      In years past, I used to think about bigger things incessantly more than I do now. I’ve somehow trained myself to be pretty calm and easy going even during larger impact events. Not sure why or how, but it falls short of causing me to be complacent. It’s just a certain calm I have, and I have no way to explain it.

      1. Don’t get me started regarding these “later” sunrises. I’m out the door into morning darkness for at least another week or two. Even on the flip side, darkness gets started by 6:15-6:30 pm and by 7:00 pm it’s already pitch black outside. With the stupid time change I expected a bit more late pm/early evening light at least.

      2. Despite my many comments here….my youngest made the comment the other day that she is surprised how calm I am. I’ve had moments, but mostly I am focusing on my faith.

  4. Thanks TK !

    Have the back of our Ford Truck down and just sitting out on the sun.

    Very quiet and I don’t really see any plane contrails or the smaller planes that usually are around from nearby Marshfield airport.

    It is a peaceful quiet. I can hear the sounds of nature that would usually be drowned out.

  5. Thanks TK and Vicki.

    The President has asked that this day be a day to pray for our nation. During your time with your families try to take a minute or two to pray for your own family and this country.

    1. Oh my, Tj, I do love your suggestion and the Presidents

      I spent some time yesterday sitting on Sutton Common in the shade of God’s house. I spent time praying and thinking. Then turned on one of my favorite pandora stations. Photo of my view AND the very first song that played are below.

      https://imgur.com/a/VrUOqWR

      1. The station is new age and doesn’t have religious undertones which made the song much more powerful to me.

  6. Majority of northeast ski resorts now closed. Vail resorts which operates Stowe, Okemo, Mount Snow, Wildcat and Attitash are closed through next Sunday and then will reassess. Others gave no timetable while some have simply closed for the season.

    Waterville Valley NH, Smuggs VT, and Gore and Whiteface in NY are the only ones I could find still operating today but I’d expect them to follow suit by end of day or tomorrow.

    Northeast ski season likely done with the exception of Killington which I am sure will reopen at some point in April or May.

    1. My brother has said many times …and I suspect from your comments….killing Tom loves being first and last. I’m glad they have all had good seasons

        1. I had a good autocorrect strikes again moment yesterday, basically making it look like I was saying there was an island in the grocery store.

  7. I know most on here think this corona is the real thing and it is . As most of you know I work at an unnamed hospital and this virus really has not got going yet and may not even peek till very , very late spring ( this is not a couple of weeks disruption) being on the front lines it’s concerning that two Boston hospital employees have tested positive in two different hospitals ( not mine & please keep mine private ) each passing day this is going to get worse . The Governor of our state is is in my opinion going about this in the wrong way . Today he states I don’t foresee a 14 day shelter in place order ( I guarantee you it’s going to happen Governor) the disregard for folks in south Boston last night with bars , restaurants so crowded with lines out the street that all bars & restaurant agreed to shut down today . This is not overblown at all it’s the real deal . I also do not think schools will be reopening anytime soon . I’m ashamed of our local leadership right now & I have never felt this mad . Again thank you Tk for allowing this I think the information here has been excellent

  8. Just a reminder:

    We’ve had no issues thus far. Let’s keep it that way. Some of you have different view points, different beliefs. Some of you pray, some of you do not. The only thing I ask of you all is to keep political debate out of it (which you have), and respect others beliefs and opinions (which you also have been doing). So this isn’t being written because I think it’s not happening the way I asked. It’s really just to say thank you and remind you to keep it going. It’s easy to get frustrated when “normalcy” (whatever that is for you) is altered or removed. We’ll get back there again. And the journey from here to there will be smoothest if we just practice patience, understanding, civility, and all that goes along with it. Thank you again. 🙂

    Later today I’ll make a weather-related post.

    1. Thank you Tk . I tried to use my words cautiously I would not mind if you needed to take down . Again you have been phenomenal here as well as all of us here . This has been a very mature conversation each day

    2. Thanks TK! From now on I have to remind myself that there is still room for snow next month if not this one. It makes it more difficult though every day I watch those 10-day forecasts when days 8-10 have 50s/60s/70s for temps. 🙂

      I’m still a bit surprised though that a local tv met hasn’t taken a chance to “call it” by now, given the stubborn pattern. That SE ridge really sticks out, even to a non-met like myself. 🙂

      1. I just like to tease you all in good fun about your “declaring winter over in mid February” kind of things. I know that you know what can happen. You’re a good guy. I’m glad to have you here.

    1. Eh, it’s a “media stretch”. As best as I can tell, it’s somewhat true, but it’s over emphasized truth when you come down to it. Makes a good piece of journalism. Nothing new really.

  10. Thanks, TK…

    Just noticed early green on our day lilies and red blossoms on one of our trees. I wish I knew birds, flowers and trees better than I do! 🙂

    Stay well, y’all!

    1. The stuff is coming early and often this year. Well maybe not often often, as we are rather dry. But at least not dangerously dry, other than the borderline big fire risk. We’ll keep an eye on that. Otherwise, flowers, blossoms, leaf outs, etc. The signs of genuine spring, will be early by up to 2 weeks in some cases. And that will be true even if we do get a Philip-defying snowfall. 😉

  11. Per mass DPH

    164 positives out of 799 tested, nearly 20% of people tested have been positive.

    The first 454 tested were done under very strict requirements …………… the big jump in number tested yesterday, I believe featured less requirements to be tested.

    1. I don’t understand last sentence. Governor speaking at 6pm & my district rep gust said it will not be a shelter in place order

  12. Gore and Whiteface have now suspended operations as has Loon NH.

    Smugglers Notch,VT and Waterville Valley, NH both issued statements within the last hour and have elected to continue operations at their ski resorts (with significant safeguards in place). I believe they are the only two remaining. Waterville is discontinuing their shuttle service and closing their lodge except for bathrooms. Food service will be pre-packaged items out of a service window.

    Nice to see these independent mountains not just following the crowd. Skiing is a great way to get kids out of the house and into the fresh air during this extended time off. Risk of transmitting anything riding a chairlift in the fresh mountain area with ski gloves on is extremely low.

  13. Ohio and Illinois no bars and restaurants open. I would not be surprised if more states do this.

  14. Finally NYC Mayor Bill De Blasio calls schools until at least April 20th. This should have been done a lot sooner.

    1. Now our Governor should do the same . I’m again told by my town rep he will among other topics be discussing schools.

  15. South Shore Kid Mayor De Blasio was facing pressure from all sides from city council members and Governor Cuomo.

    1. State wide 3 week school closings
      Non elective surgery canceled
      Restaurants closed for dine in take out only .
      Still no shelter in place but it’s coming

  16. If you are not watching…baker speaking now. He is doing some of what he should have done Friday. But my opinion is not always accurate. there is a lot so if you are not watching maybe find transcript.

    1. Kudos…..Baker is far less arrogant than he was Friday. In ways I get that. He has a lot of people at him. Tough position

      1. Vicki I agree .As I’ve said this is not going to get better for some time if you think it is WAKE UP. Shelter in place is next so make your preparations

      2. It’s very tough. I think in what is pretty much an unprecedented situation, they had to sit down behind closed doors and hash everything out and try to come up with every possible scenario, and probably do some conference calling with other locations as well, to try to get as close to being on the same page as possible, then come up with a way to deliver the news so everybody can understand it. Either way, much better today. It’s going to be done this way, and now it’s time to do it. We’ll come out of it a lot better than it potentially could have turned out – not that you don’t already know that. 🙂 Just saying it.

  17. John, my thoughts on this have not changed. The risk to the vast majority of the general population remains low. In the unlikely case that someone in my family should contract this, I am not alarmed about the prospects of having a fever and a cough. In all likelihood, it would not even rate in the top of the scale of the sickest I have been with all the nasty colds and flu I have had in my life. Based on the numerous interviews and posts I have seen on news outlets from people who have actually had it, the symptoms have been the run of the mill symptoms you see with may other viruses. Greater than 80% are presenting with no symptoms or mild to moderate flu symptoms, and not requiring hospitalization. The people in the US who have died from this have been elderly and very ill with often multiple pre-existing conditions. The death rate in the US has also not been verifying anything close to the 3.5% estimates I saw previously.

    That all said, I am fortunate that my friends and family are all healthy. Do I believe people should be taking precautions to prevent the spread of illness? Of course. If you are elderly and have pre-existing conditions, would I be concerned and staying home as much as possible? Of course. But the majority of my friends, family, co-workers, and other kids parents I have talked to over the past week feel the same way I do….no one is panicking. People just want this end so we can all get our lives back to a semblance of normalcy!

    1. But Mark…it isn’t about you or me. It is about all of us. And many young folks in addition to old folks have immunity problems. It isn’t panic and as I said the other day please do not assume because we are considering others as well as ourselves that we are panicking.

      1. Not saying anyone on this blog is panicking, but there are tons of people in this country who are, as is evidenced by what is going on in the supermarkets. There is so much misinformation flowing around about how terrible and deadly this virus is…people are treating it as if it is the bubonic plague or ebola. It’s not, and if you get it, chances are very very good that you are going to recover quickly and be just fine.

        1. I don’t listen to misinformation. And I just will not judge anyone for how he or she is reacting to protect himself. Every individual knows his story.

          I am 70 and my immune system is compromised at the moment. That is the problem. Some are deciding that it is ok to take a chance that I or many others may be ok.

          I respect your right to have an opinion….as long as it doesn’t impact others.

          1. Absolutely, I would never do anything that would compromise others. My mother is 74 and we are going to visit her next weekend. If I had any inkling any of us were sick, we would not go.

            2. “If I had any inkling any of us were sick”

              Devils in the details here – a lot of people are asymptomatic with this meaning they feel healthy and well and are still passing it on to others before they ever get sick.

      1. Same here John, and as I said to Vicki above, please do not infer that I am implying that you are unjust in your concerns. You have people in your family with pre-existing medical conditions and I would certainly be taking additional precautions as well if I was in your shoes.

  18. The federal reserve just slashed the interest rate to 0%. The Coronavirus doesn’t just increase morbidity and mortality. It also necrotizes the economy. We are headed for a recession and I do not expect any semblance of normalcy anytime soon, unfortunately.

    1. We will recover. It may take a while but life is more important than anything

      I hope you are well. I know you are in healthcare

        1. Yep. As long as we work together.

          Someone sent me an amazing article earlier. I’m trying to figure how to share it

        2. Hey Arod how’s it going .i would love your medical opinion on this if you want to share being a health care provider

          1. Hey SSK. COVID is real. Yes, it is not resulting in mortality for the vast majority of the public at large. However, the death rate in China has been proven to be 21.9% of all patients over the age of 80. Since this virus is four times more communicable than viruses like influenza and H1n1, the concern is the rate of transmission. If members of the community do not heed the advice to stay home, the virus will continue to communicate with others and many people are going to die, especially the elderly and the immunocompromised. The need to lock down will prove life saving in the end.

            1. Keep in mind Arod air pollution and smoking are rampant in China. Greater than 50% of the male population smokes there. Very high rate of pre-existing respiratory issues in the people dying there and a medical system that isn’t close to what it is here.

              You will never see a death rate like that in the US, even in that age bracket.

              1. Let’s hope not. Time will tell. One thing is for sure, we are headed for a deeply rooted recession which is why COVID needs to be taken seriously. It is toxic on so many levels.

                1. I second what ssk said. You are truly on the front line. Please be safe. You will be in my prayers

            2. Really appreciate that Arod . Being in the frontline please be carful & thank you for your service . I agree with everything

    2. They should ban short selling and possibly even close the market for a time. Need to save capitalism from itself.

  19. I am really pleased with baker today and plan to call his office tomorrow. Not that I matter but if I call to be critical, I will always call to compliment

  21. This is Terrible but look at the decreased levels of pollution. With climate change increasing temps in winter we could have increased viruses this may very well be a situation that increases in occurrences

  25. One thing that worries me about this virus is complacency among the young. In Holland, more than 50% of patients with the virus in the ICU are under 50; same in France and other European countries. Most of the young do survive. But, this virus can be very severe for some (10-20%).

    CDC recommendation on >50 gatherings is welcome, but should be binding. We’ve got to have consistent policy. Not just in a pandemic, also in future. Decentralized decision-making is fine in most areas of life, but not public health. Whether it’s clean water standards, immunization schedules, or coronavirus protocols we must standardize.

    Now the Fed has no room to maneuver. That was a panic move, and investors notice panic. I really believed the Fed should have waited.

    Nice late winter day coming up, I’m going to go for a hike with a friend.

    Take care, everyone.

    1. Since this is the first time something of this scale has taken place in quite a long time, there are lessons to be learned, or re-learned in some cases.

      Enjoy your hike!

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