Saturday Forecast

79 Comments

10:28AM

DAYS 1-5 (MARCH 28-APRIL 1)
Over the next several days, after this morning’s sunny start, any sun we see will be a bonus, as we head into an unsettled weather pattern. This start as broad low pressure moves into the Great Lakes but its warm front extending eastward from it, south of New England, never quite makes it through, and is the focus for a new low to form, which will pass just south of the region Sunday evening, keeping us on the chilly side of this system, but enough instability aloft may trigger some elevated convection and result in a few thundestorms. This system will produce a fair amount of needed rainfall. We’ve been quite dry in 2020 to date and a recent event along with this event will eliminate some of that deficit. Once the rain-producing part of this system has departed offshore, we’ll be stuck under upper level low pressure for the days following. Earlier it looked like another broad low would approach on April 1, but today I’m leaning a little more toward the upper low being more dominant and actually deflecting the moisture from that storm to the south, while keeping our area unsettled with lots of clouds and precipitation of a showery nature, and I say precipitation because some of those showers may end up in the form of snow once we get to Tuesday morning, as marginally cold enough air will be in place.
TODAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 50-57, coolest coastal areas. Wind SE under 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Thickening overcast. Rain arrives late evening and overnight southwest to northeast. Lows 37-44. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Overcast. Periods of rain. Highs 40-47. Wind E 5-15 MPH, strongest along the coast with higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain evening. Rain showers likely overnight. Slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows 38-45. Wind E 10-20 MPH, a few higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers, favoring late morning and afternoon. Highs 46-53. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain showers evening. Scattered rain or snow showers overnight. Lows 32-39. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Scattered rain or snow showers favoring the morning. Highs 42-49. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 43-50. Wind N 10-20 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 2-6)
Overall pattern features a block in the atmosphere, high pressure eastern Canada and low pressure northeastern US, which is a cooler than average and unsettled pattern. Details to be worked out as the days draw closer.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 7-11)
May be tough to shake the pattern in place for a while, which is typical of springtime, but also guidance does not do a great job all the time so the forecast here is low confidence, leaning toward cooler than average and somewhat unsettled.

79 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

    1. Not a problem. I’m doing pretty well actually. My focus has been doing what is needed to keep safe, most especially for my mom. She had to delay her treatments by several days due to normal discomfort, but the doctor thought it was best to just wait a bit then continue starting Monday. She has 8 treatments left. Almost there! The location of the treatment has been taking the utmost precautions to keep their patients safe. Other than that, my focus is just keeping her safe at home and keeping myself healthy due to my somewhat compromised immune system. I’d be ok most likely but the LAST thing I want to do is be a carrier and give it to someone else. I’m normally careful anyway so it’s not a huge difference in how I do things regarding that.

      My outside time has been planned so that I am at a few of my favorite places when there are pretty much no crowds. I’ve had no trouble keeping distance when I have to be out. There are people (here on the blog) and outside of it that I know that are dealing with much harder situations. I’m still very hopeful and positive. We just have to keep doing the right things.

    2. Extending get well wishes to your children! Thank goodness they are both experiencing mild symptoms. I know this is also very financially stressful for your daughter. Let’s get her well first. Everything will fall into place.

  8. Old salty. Did you know there are two season (12 and 13) of heartland on amazon prime? There are 11 on Netflix. My granddaughter who is both watching and reading the books (I found all 25 books for her) found these

    2. The entire country should be subjected to this for 30 days. The bandaid needs to be ripped off.

      1. We have a park in sutton that I thought was closed. I’m hearing tons of people there today. NO IDEA how authorities don’t stop it but I suspect because Baker has not made it mandatory

        You are 110% correct. The country needs to lock down. They hell with this piecemeal nonsense

  10. The hot spot in CT is Fairfield County which is south of where I am so I would think that county would be the part of CT under quarantine. The county I live in only has had 22 confirmed cases.

  11. Another 889 deaths in Italy today. Conditions there are horrendous!
    Mortality rate now sits at 10.8%. For whatever reason, this illness is particulary
    deadly there.

    up to 645,619 documented cases, which means likely “about” 6,000,000 cases world-wide.

    US cases up to: 116,057

    1. Worldwide cases increase about 100,000 per day now even with restrictive testing. Many, many more are infected to your point.

    2. Regarding Italy – 60 million population with roughly 22% of that in the 65+ age range (and median age range of 45 years old.) all densely packed in a very small area. A lot of young people living with their elderly family not knowing they are sick or passing on the illness. This is the unfortunately deadliest combination of factors. Add to that not enough facilities or hospital workers to attend to such a highly concentrated area and you get what is happening there. It is very sad.

  12. Closing in on 2,000 US deaths. At least another 247 today alone and many states have not reported since yesterday evening. Heartbreaking.

  15. Sadly, according to our mayor here in Woburn, we lost 2 elderly women (ages 89 & 92) to C-19 today.

    I just got back from a solo walk to get a little air and take a few photos. I’m going to look over the latest weather info and comment on that if needed in a bit.

  16. The impact of this will go on for years and maybe even forever. And the related deaths from this are probably just as bad or worse but tough to measure.

    U.S. is currently and will be forced to nationalize large parts of the economy. No choice, I get it, but that model doesn’t work. The impact of this is in everything and everywhere. I don’t even know what to think.

    Entire company laid off this week.

    3. Retrac, your company?
      That’s horrible news. I Truly hope it is temporary until things settle down
      and it does turn out to be permanent.

    1. I’m going to check in with my chaser buddy in a moment and see how she’s doing.

      1. I believe this may be the first warning of the day:

        Tornado Warning
        National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
        448 PM CDT Sat Mar 28 2020

        The National Weather Service in the Quad Cities has issued a

        * Tornado Warning for…
        Central Warren County in west central Illinois…

        * Until 530 PM CDT.

        * At 448 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
        was located near Roseville, or 14 miles south of Monmouth, moving
        northeast at 35 mph.

  18. CT just closed it’s borders. All traveler’s exiting CT will need to self quarantine. It feels as if the virus is closing in on us. This all started with patient zero. Today, there are more than 660,000 infected people worldwide. It’ll be one million in short time with likely millions more infected that will never be known. Fortunately, most people come out on the right side of the disease and likely will not acquire the virus again.

      1. My sister n law who lives in CT says they were just told they cannot leave the state. However, I do not see anything online or on the news that confirms that. In RI, police and the national guard are at various checkpoints stopping any car with a N.Y. license plate and informing those folks that they must self quarantine. RI is certainly enforcing it and Cuomo is threatening to file a lawsuit against the state of RI if RI does not roll back the order. It’s like an impending civil war on top of a pandemic. Just what we need.

      1. There are only 5 subtypes and the DNA is not yet conducive for rapid mutation. Until vaccines and medications get thrown at it, the virus sees no reason to mutate as it is accomplishing what it sets out to do.

  20. The U.S. recorded its first 1,000 coronavirus deaths in a month. The next 1,000 took two days.

  21. More hot spots showing up across the U.S. New Orleans, Chicago, and Detroit to name a few.

    1. Experts are very concerned about various metropolitan areas experiencing upcoming surges including the city of Boston. The worst has yet to come. My wife works at the BWH. 51 employees have tested positive including two of our closest friends who are also nurses. The shortage of PPE is putting doctors and nurses like my wife at great risk and it’s only going to get worse for the healthcare workers in and around Boston hospitals. My wife and I put together a quarantine plan should one of us get it. It’s just a matter of time so it seems.

      1. High density population center with these major metropolitan areas is what I am hearing is why there hot spots compared to rural areas of the country but I am sure it is just a matter of time before rural areas start to see an uptick in cases.

      2. When Mac was fighting his battle, my grandson got norovirus from school. They all got it. We literally used plastic and painters tape to shut off the front of house where they lived from the back where we were. I set up a small fridge and toaster oven etc on porch on our side. Somehow I got it but by the Grace of God Mac did not.

        We have plastic etc here to shut my floor from daughter and family upstairs.

          1. I wish there were a heart emoji but please know you being here means more than you know to many of us.

  23. To your point Vicky, the virus does not move on its own. People move. And when people move, the virus moves. If people were immobilized, the virus would die. A national lockdown would get the job done. It’s as simple as that.

    1. Yep. A meme I literally just shared on FB said the very same. I don’t get how self serving SOME people are

  25. A question was asked to Governor Lamont at the press conference earlier about people still gathering in groups greater than a five and what more would be done. He said were going to look into it. At a golf course in Naugatuck CT the course temporarily closed after a woman who drove in the parking lot saw a number of people there and not social distancing and sent the video to the mayor.

    1. We have a place called pergatory chasm in Sutton. I’m hearing hundreds there today. Some are blaming folks from RI but I am betting many Are from MA. RI should be easily dealt with since it violates governors orders. And MA because if is more than 10. No idea why it was not stopped. I wonder if local, small PDs can handle that

  26. I am surprised with more COVID19 cases up there Governor Baker isn’t limiting social gatherings to no more than 5 people like Governor Lamont did a couple days ago.

  29. I was one of three people on that plane today. I went from sunny 83 degrees with humidity at 55% to cloudy, foggy misty low 40s in Boston. I am surprised they actually did not cancel the flight, anyway im back in mass with family, this no vacation, my research season may be on hold until Fall, I am being optimistic and hope I can get a start in the summer. Even though we have online lectures, we have more assignments etc that have been assigned, would under stand more assignments if we did not have lectures but they now have the excuse of more stuff to throw on us. Anyway I came home to my cat literally crying and purring and greeting me at the door lol. He missed me. Spent about 2 hours holding, petting and playing with him of course after taking a nice warm shower lol.

      1. I plan on it, with the crappy weather expected for the next week and the amount of work I need to get done it won’t be hard to stay home lol.

          1. Once the weather gets better I’ll be going biking with my brothers but that’s with people I’m staying with so that follows the rules as long as we stay away from others, its unhealthy not to go outside

  30. As a scientist I was playing with some data on Covid 19 that I found, put it in R and used a predictive model, I did not like what I saw.

  31. Soooo hope valley RI has called in national guard to keep folks from NY out.

    Hope valley is where my sons ex wife and son live. Although both are in another part of RI under quarantine for another day because my grandson was exposed at school

    Our nat guard is activated. Baker???

    https://imgur.com/a/BNzvCkA

  33. What does PPE stand for? I’ve probably heard it a gazillion times but it’s just not resonating. Sorry.

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