7:31AM
DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 8-12)
A wave of low pressure passes just south of New England this morning which starts wet then dries out as the low pressure area moves away. However don’t expect complete clearing and on the heals of this low comes a stronger one, tracking right across the region late Thursday with a more widespread and stronger burst of rainfall, maybe even some thunder. As this low moves away and intensifies and expands, we’ll see blustery conditions with gusty winds later Thursday right through Friday, along with some additional unsettled weather as a large pool of cold air aloft has to translate across the region. The weekend improves, seeing dry weather, a breezy/bright/cool Saturday and a more tranquil and milder Sunday.
TODAY: Cloudy morning with rain ending west to east. Mostly cloudy midday on. Highs 42-49. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
THURSDAY: Cloudy with rain likely, mostly from late morning to late afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 46-53. Wind SE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations with gusts above 35 MPH possible.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, above 35 MPH possible.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible, especially afternoon, and some may contain small hail. Highs 45-52. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, 35-45 MPH possible.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 13-17)
Low pressure brings wet and potentially windy weather to the region April 13 but gets out of here quickly for a mild and mainly dry April 14 before a cold front brings showers late day or nighttime and sets up dry breezy and cooler weather for April 15. Need to watch a wave of low pressure for later April 16-17 for a potential precipitation event possibly with cold enough air for marginal precipitation type issues.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 18-21)
Drier pattern returns. One system around mid period brings a brief wet weather threat. Temperatures below to near normal.
Thanks TK
Thanks tk
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK
In the something to keep an eye on category for tomorrow. Text from NWS Boston
Key for surface based convection will be how far north does warm sector track before triple pt low pinches off warm sector from advecting northward. Some of the high res guidance hint at warm sector briefly advecting into RI and eastern MA with surface temps and dew pts climbing into the 50s! Some of the guidance has trended farther north-northeast with triple pt/secondary low. This would result in warm sector surging farther north increasing the threat of strong to severe storms. SPC Day 2 forecast has also trended northward with marginal risk now into NYC area. Will just have to watch how this evolves. As of now SB instability appears to be lacking.
Pollen Count is medium today and tomorrow.
Not sure which blog to out this on. I thought a little fun might be welcome.
What’s the total of the last column? Post your response only, not your math.
Look closely
https://imgur.com/a/TOuEdex
I’m disqualified from this one. π
π yes you are ….but you played on FB
30?
No buy good try
Quick analysis says 15, but I should probably look more, but I am too LAZY to do so. Hey, I played.
Another mild day today? Sun is out and temps climbing fast here in Pepperell. Wouldn’t be surprised to see it hit 60.
Hi Chris M. Welcome. I donβt recall seeing your name and also Pepperell. I have cousins who have lived in pepperell for years. Lovely area
Hi Vicki, long time viewer here just haven’t posted much. We’ve been in Pepperell a couple years now and so far love the countryside vibe π
Iβm glad you decided to post.
You sure did find a lovely area If you come across Jim (FJ), Jeff or Judy, please tell theM cousin Vicki says hi.
And please stay well!!!
I am noticing some sunny breaks coming out where I am.
Thanks, TK…
Brightening here and drying out.
Wishing all who are celebrating tonight a Happy Passover!
SPC Outlook for tomorrow
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html
Interesting. Thanks
Helicity off the charts.
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_1KMHEL_SSB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f033.gif
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/sref/gifs/latest/SREF_1KMHEL_SSB_MEDIAN_MXMN__f036.gif
That Marginal area has crept up the coast throughout the last day or two.
12Z GFS suggests possible shenanigans along about the 19th.
https://m3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/gfs/2020040812/276/prateptype_cat.conus.png
Not going to happen, but that would be historic for the Cape,
TK the thunderstorm threat tomorrow is it one similar back on Sunday 3/29 or a different setup this time?
Updated info coming on that in a few seconds courtesy our friend SAK…
SAK has provided an extra blog, focused on tomorrow’s potential and a little update beyond as well. Here it is…
https://stormhq.blog/2020/04/08/a-little-bit-of-everything-on-thursday/?fbclid=IwAR18uCFOsHWM8D1t0J-XeWDtzqbi1qUe4B_ionGAY0PgHfoi1fDNCyRyMwo
Some similarities between tomorrow and the February 7 event. Different storm track, and definitely not as dynamic overall, but the general idea will be for a burst of wind as the cold front approaches and moves through. A little surprised there are no wind products out on land for SNE at least for the Cape and Islands. I’d expect gusts 50-60mph there (locally higher), maybe 35-50mph elsewhere.
I wish all who celebrate the happiest Passover possible. May you share this time remotely with family.
Looks like a line of very strong storms is getting organized and poised to move into northern Middle Tennessee:
https://www.weather.gov/ohx/
No one needs this right now but surely not that area.
New weather post is up…