Thursday Forecast

48 Comments

7:26AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 9-13)
Low pressure comes along today and as it passes across the region it will redevelop as it goes by with its new center exiting via the Gulf of Maine. This set-up is good for a decent slug of rain, including the risk of thunder, some gusty wind, and a continuation of wind as the system departs and drier air arrives tonight. As the new storm expands into quite the beast over eastern Canada on Friday we’ll see a continuation of gusty wind, and cold air aloft will trigger some instability showers, some of which may contain thunder and small hail. Also, tides are astronomically high the next couple days and some coastal flooding, not directly related to any wind, is possible. Although where wind blows onshore it can enhance splash-over in those locations. This weekend will be dry with a breezy/cool Saturday and milder Sunday. The next storm system, another potent spring low pressure area, will arrive Monday with more rain and some wind.
TODAY: Cloudy with rain likely, mostly from late morning to late afternoon. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 50-57. Wind SE to S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas and higher elevations with gusts above 35 MPH likely.
TONIGHT: Breaking clouds. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts, above 35 MPH possible.
FRIDAY: Partly sunny to mostly cloudy. Passing rain showers possible, especially afternoon, and some may contain thunder and small hail. Highs 45-52. Wind W 15-25 MPH, higher gusts, 35-45 MPH likely.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Rain arriving overnight. Lows 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Overcast with rain likely. Highs 55-62. Wind S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 14-18)
Mostly dry, breezy and mild April 14, breezy and cooler April 15. Will need to watch 1 or 2 low pressure waves for potential unsettled weather in the April 16-18 window.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 19-23)
Drier pattern returns. One system around mid period brings a brief wet weather threat. Temperatures below to near normal.

48 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Still looks like any severe threat will remain a ways South of our area.
    Looks like that on radar as well.

    1. I’m not too excited about severe weather around here today. We will see some decent wind gusts in parts of the region both today and tomorrow though.

      1. That was understood. Last night Wankum was kind of
        hyping the thunderstorm threat says some could be strong.
        I really don’t care for his presentation and frankly, I don’t think
        he is all that good, not compared to what I am used to here. 🙂
        I’d prefer Eric, but we do not like the news presentation of
        channel 4. 5 is much better, so we’re stuck with whomever
        they have on air and lately it has been Wankum too often.
        I want to see Harvey and Not Wankum.

  6. The Siberian part of America – Northern Maine – is going to get walloped. Winter storm warnings are up in places like Caribou. Looks like 16 inches of heavy, wet snow could easily materialize. I’d give anything for a nice fat snowstorm right now. Aroostook county looks to get more snow next week. It won’t all melt soon either as temps remain well below normal. What a weird and wonderful place to be. The snows melt completely by late May. Then by the middle of August the leaves start changing color, with frost as early as late August or the beginning of September.

  9. These thunderstorms are flying. Special Weather Statement out for southern parts of RI and MA for cluster of thunderstorms with winds in excess of 30mph.

  10. Lightning showing up all over Western MA. Our fare for later this PM, I presume.
    And I also presume from elevated instability.

  11. Thanks TK.

    Getting very dark here in Coventry CT…about to get clocked by a cluster of storms moving NE from southern CT

    1. Definitely keeping my eyes on next week for a possible late season “surprise”. If there was ever a mid April pattern that could support something like this, it would be this one…

  22. We are getting alerts to lightning seven miles away. Rain is very cold and wants to be hail but hasn’t quite succeeded.

  23. These storms in northeast Connecticut, moving northeast at 70 mph !!, if I read that correctly, will be in eastern Mass very soon !

  25. TK – Is the April 16-18 frame still a frozen precip possibility?

    April 27-28, 1987. Even “Mid-April” is fairly late though. That 1987 event was very anomolous to say the least.

  28. A small handful of rumbles and downpours here in Woburn. As most of you know the best of the activity was well south of Boston including CT/RI/southeastern MA. The last of it is heading through this hour and then that’s about it. Some places will see the sun before it sets.

  29. As Mark mentioned – by the way, Mark, thanks for sharing the photos and tweets – Northern Maine is about to get crushed by a major winter storm. The bears near Katahdin must be thinking, “well, time to hit the snooze button.”

  31. 60 mph wind gust on Block Island and 64mph on Fishers Island with the severe storm that just moved through

  32. You can see the new low center sitting over south central MA as of 5:15PM just outside 495. That low center will be offshore of MA/NH in a couple hours and then it will go nuts in the Gulf of Maine. The center may do a little cyclonic loop right over Downeast Maine tonight before it heads off into the Maritimes as what I like to call “a hole in the atmosphere”. Maximum deepening getting underway in short order.

    1. We were not going to get that lucky here. Such a tight low going just east of me but it’s pulling lower clouds right around its back side and not enough dry air for clearing and sun here in the immediate Boston area.

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