Saturday Forecast

65 Comments

10:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 11-15)
A dry April weekend, a bit blustery and on the cool side today, still breezy but turning milder after a cold start on Sunday. We’ll see some passing fair weather clouds today, and after a sunny start Sunday, clouds will advance ahead of the next low pressure system, which will impact the region Monday. The track of the low will be northwest of the area, but it will bring the potential for some damaging wind gusts. Behind that system comes a breezy but mild and nicer day Tuesday, but cold air will sneak in at night as a cold front passes and that front will settle just to the south and allow a wave of low pressure to ride along it, which threatens to bring more unsettled weather for Wednesday.
TODAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 32-39. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sunny morning. Clouding up afternoon. Highs 55-62. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain arriving . Lows 45-52. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 50-57 South Coast, 55-62 elsewhere. Wind S 10-20 MPH, stronger gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy with rain showers evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 43-50. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Highs 60-67. Wind SW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. A period of rain and possible mix, favoring southern areas. Highs 45-52. Wind NE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 16-20)
Temperatures below normal. Will have to watch for a couple precipitation threats from passing waves of low pressure.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 21-25)
Temperatures near to below normal. Risk of unsettled weather favoring the April 22-24 window.

65 thoughts on “Saturday Forecast”

  7. Thanks TK
    I would not be surprised to see a tornado watch with the words particularly dangerous situation attached to it on Sunday where the SPC has a moderate risk for severe weather.

  9. At some point before the weekend is over were going to see some sort of wind alert for SNE.

      1. If someone forecast “widespread flooding” then they don’t have any experience in climatology and the current situation here. Localized flooding? yes. Widespread? Not even remotely close. That would be a bad forecast if it was made.

        1. Hmmm…it may have been one of the WBZ radio newscasters “ad-libbing” which they tend to do a lot. This is why forecasts via radio are somewhat shaky. Back in the day radio mets were just as good as tv’s.

          I can’t help it. I get up real early and listen to radio news, etc. before most tv broadcasts. 😉

  11. I don’t think were looking at widespread flooding. I think the wind will be the big ticket item with this storm system.

  12. I can quantify my frustration with New England spring weather.

    The daily high temp should not be < max daily solar angle.

    Today's max solar angle is 56 degrees, yet it's 51F out.

    Consider Miami, whose max sun angle today is 73 degrees, yet it's now 84F.

    1. I like today’s weather a lot. Although I haven’t been out in it yet. Going to do some minimal yard work in a bit. 🙂

    2. I guess they are all in on the NAM….

      https://www.weather.gov/box/

      …HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY
      EVENING…

      * WHAT…South winds 25 to 40 mph with gusts up to 65 mph
      possible.

      * WHERE…Portions of northern Connecticut, central, eastern,
      northeastern, southeastern and western Massachusetts and
      northern and southern Rhode Island.

      * WHEN…From Monday morning through Monday evening.

      * IMPACTS…Damaging winds could blow down trees and power lines.
      Numerous power outages are possible. Travel could be difficult,
      especially for high profile vehicles.

  16. I’m pretty concerned for Monday’s wind potential. 60-70 MPH gusts definitely on the table as a decent possibility.

      1. Me too. Aiden good to see you here. How is your brother?

        JJ thanks for answer above.

        TK….Im not anxious to have a flying trampoline again. 60-70 in this far?

        2. Yes hi Vicky . All is well here with my brother . He’s doing well. Thank you . Please stay well Vicki

    2. I’m a little skeptical about SNE only because I’m not sure it will destabilize enough for much of that ridiculous LLJ to mix down. But it bears very close watching. Down here in my area, we may be in a sweet spot where we warm up enough to mix decently on Monday while still having the LLJ overhead. I’m fairly confident in 60-70mph gusts for much of the region down here.

      Southerly, non-tropical synoptic wind events at low elevation are very rare (I personally don’t recall any although maybe a couple exist). But a near 100 kt jet at 850mb is absurd. If that holds up, past history largely goes out the window as this event would be basically unprecedented.

    1. He accidentally drove 50 miles in the wrong direction to work one day after he was let go by a station and forgot he didn’t work there anymore. Shortly after that, he pretty much vanished.

      1. His last stint as an on-air met was at a radio/tv station in Salt Lake City, Utah (2007-2010).

      1. Thanks, TK…
        Just our luck, amigo, that we upload student work for Monday only to have their power go out!

        Can’t win! 🙂

        Happy Easter, Tom!

  21. I think temps Monday can offer some insight if the 850mb jet can mix to the surface.

    Warmer temps, SW wind probably indicate warm sector where it’s more likely to mix winds to the surface.

    Cooler temps (40s), SE wind, indicating you are north of the warm front indicates more stable air and makes it harder to mix the winds to the surface.

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