Tuesday Forecast

43 Comments

7:25AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 14-18)
Today will be the pick of the week, a little breezy, but dry and mild. The rest of the week will feature cooler to even colder conditions. Currently it looks like a disturbance will pass south of the region bringing only a brief rain chance to the South Coast early Wednesday, another weak disturbance will be moving rather quickly along and bring the risk of a shower of rain or mixed precipitation early Thursday, and then we will have to watch a wave of low pressure also set to pass south of the region around Friday night with a rain/mix/snow threat. Dry weather returns Saturday.
TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind W 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 38-44. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Cloudy morning with a risk of rain South Coast. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. A rain/mix/snow shower possible especially morning. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain/mix/snow possible. Lows 31-38. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 48-55. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 19-23)
Temperatures below normal. Much of this period will be dry except for potential rain event about April 20.

DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 24-28)
Temperatures near to below normal. Risk of unsettled weather around April 24 and again by the end of the period.

43 thoughts on “Tuesday Forecast”

  3. Thanks TK!

    After Friday night, will you finally make the call for the end of the 2019-20 snow season (such as it was)? 😉

  5. 0.56 inch at Logan. How much for you JPD?

    I was in Copley Sq. around 3:30 pm yesterday and I had to literally hold on to a streetlight pole to keep from being blown into the street. I never in my life ever experienced that kind of wind out of doors. I would be curious as to the wind gusts.

    It was at the intersection of Dartmouth and Boylston. I had just come out of the 7-11 store on Dartmouth. Scary experience to say the least.

    1. I recorded 1.06 inches, however I lost power for 2 hours so it was probably a bit more. The point is, I think that Logan’s rain gauge is whacked!!

    2. wind gusted to 59 mph at logan, however,
      in the wind tunnels between tall buildings the wind can be considerably more.

    1. Yes, thank you. Only lost it for 2 hours. I was honestly impressed with
      Eversource and that is saying something.

  7. Looking at the projections of the teleconnections ….

    NAO: neutral or slightly negative

    AO: a dip to negative then a return to neutral

    PNA: slightly negative now, trending slightly positive

    So, over time, I think these might allow with a slight lifting northward of the main jet stream …… if there’s going to be a ridge, probably likely to be in the western US. If there’s a trof, likely to be in the eastern US

    Not meridional flow, I think less intense storm features and more west to east moving systems with cool front passages. More stable temps and less roller coaster temp changes.

        1. I think odds favor rain on that one for SNE. If it were far enough north, the mountains would be a different story. Jury’s out of course.

  8. Thanks TK.

    2.19″ the final rain tally here. I see some flood warnings are in effect for Litchfield County today. Lots of snowmelt in NNE yesterday as well….rivers and streams are raging.

    2. A historic hotel building in Cape May also had most of its roof peeled off by winds yesterday. A few other structures were damaged as well. A lot of times in the NWS, when we deal with reports of structural damage, there’s public pressure to pin the blame immediately on a tornado. This video is very clear proof that straight line winds (and these are non-convective winds) are more than capable of causing damage like this.

    3. I understand that building is fairly new. But one thing is for sure, I think it was made of cardboard……………….

  10. JP Dave, glad to know power was restored fairly quickly.

    Philip, Copley Square is indeed a windy place; amplified by vortices created by some of the buildings.

    Beautiful day today.

    1. Thanks Joshua. Very fast indeed. Eversource was on top of things yesterday.

      How are you feeling today? Stronger still I hope.

  11. I replied to all comments that were calling for one. 🙂

    Hope everybody is well today. 🙂

    1. Only can speak for myself…so far so good! Since I can’t work from home, I take one day at a time. 🙂

      Thanks TK!

  12. Thanks TK!
    Mark you beat me by .09” I had 2.10”. Curious what did you end up with Vicki?

    1. I just checked my actual station in the house, instead of my mobile device
      and my total for yesterday was 1.25 inches a far cry from Logan’s 0.56 inch.
      I think it is ludicrous to think that Logan’s total was only 0.56 inch yesterday.

      TK, any thoughts on Logan’s rain gauge?

      1. I’d need to gauge it (no pun intended) on a few more uniform events. Yesterday’s was too convective to really tell.

        1. I understand that, but even so, you must have that
          TK inkling one way or the other. I have been suspecting
          it for a while now.

    1. That may be a tad overdone, but even if it’s not, no big deal. At most snow in the air for a bit. If we’re going to get something a little more than snow in the air, it will be if that wave comes close enough on Friday night. The timing is good. The air should be cold enough, at least marginal. I like Eric’s idea for Monday but that looks like it will be in a slightly milder airmass with mix/snow not in the picture for SNE. I’ve been watching April 20 for about a week as a target date for low pressure passage but never felt this would include a snow threat.

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