6:55AM
DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 15-19)
A series of disturbances will keep the pattern active during the next 5 days. The first will scoot just south of New England this morning with early light precipitation favoring the South Coast, mainly as rain, but a few raindrops & snowflakes possible up into the Boston area too. This will be quick to move out by late morning and this afternoon will be nicer, albeit cooler than yesterday. The next disturbance may produce a rain or snow shower Thursday morning before exiting for nice weather for the balance of the day. A slightly more robust system will come along later Friday, making its closest pass Friday night, with cold enough air in place for some mix/snow should the system come far enough north. For now, the greatest chance of precipitation will be across southern areas. Drier weather returns Saturday and rounds out the weekend on Sunday, although clouds may be already on the increase ahead of yet another approaching low pressure area by later Sunday.
TODAY: Cloudy start with rain likely South Coast and a touch of rain and possible rain/snow mix into Metro Boston, then clearing west to east remainder of morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind NW up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 33-40. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. A rain/mix/snow shower possible especially morning. Highs 45-52. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-42. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 45-52. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. A period of rain/mix/snow possible. Lows 31-38. Wind N up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy with a risk of rain/mix to start, then becoming partly sunny. Highs 46-53. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 35-43. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Sun then increasing high clouds. Highs 48-55. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 20-24)
Temperatures below to near normal. Rain chances about April 20 and 24. Dry weather in between.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 25-29)
Temperatures near to below normal. Rain shower risk around April 27-28. Dry weather either side.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thanks TK.
Thanks TK !
Thank you, TK.
Thank you, TK.
I think I might do away with the April Calendar and just add onto March.
That would make today …….. March 46th. Yup, we’ll take this all the way to March 61st.
This is not because of Covid, it’s the weather. Too chilly. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Thanks TK
From Ryan Hanrahan
Well that’s fun. Some models show a stripe of snow over southern New England Friday night/Saturday morning. Others keep it to the north. We’ll be watching it.
Tweet from eweather showing 6z EURO
https://twitter.com/Eweather13/status/1250413791470391298
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK.
Two, perhaps even three? chances of some wet snow over at least parts of SNE the next 7-10 days, starting tonight.
Ryan Hanrahan
@ryanhanrahan
7m
A couple chances for snow in the forecast – beginning tonight. Happy April! Details starting at 4. #nbcct
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1250468083149438976?s=20
12z GFS with some more shenanigans next Friday 4/24 as well…
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2020041512&fh=210
The second threat (Friday night) that JJ posted above is probably the best opportunity for accumulating snow across the region with the burst of snow happening during the nighttime hours.
Indeed. Per Tom’s suggestion that’ll happen on March 48th.
What is the average high temperature for March 48th?
Perhaps some interesting times ahead. I could use it, as I
am getting worn out by the other issue of the times.
Tweet from Eric Fisher showing the 0z EURO ensembles probabilities of more than inch of snow. Will see what the 12z EURO ensembles show.
https://twitter.com/ericfisher/status/1250400626808422403
12z EURO 10:1 snow for Saturday. Cut these in half but still snow on the ground for the interior Saturday morning.
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=sn10_acc&rh=2020041512&fh=84&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
F5 Weather 12Z Euro Snow
https://imgur.com/a/pEkoOG7
From Ryan Hanrahan. There are some people I am sure saying the words that went with this tweet.
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1250488321077391360
That is 10:1 snow which is totally and completely useless and meaningless
this time of year unless there were highly unusual circumstances which
will not be the case for this event. See my F5 map above for a little bit
more realistic approach, even if that is still too high.
Since I’ve not posted in the weather thread today and have posted a bunch in the covid thread – I want to try a take a penny leave a penny method for posting lol. Here’s my contribution to the weather thread: https://imgur.com/a/sFeJEXk
Yup, that sums it up pretty well. But, take with a healthy dose of salt as all 4 maps
depict 10:1 snow and we know what that means this time of year. 🙂
Since I can’t have much salt in my diet I will have to believe 10:1 maps.
Early idea for Friday night…
Rain Cape Cod and immediate South Coast. Mix/snow with 1/2 to 2 inches and locally up to 3 inches higher elevations of interior RI, southern and central MA, and mostly rain to the north (Merrimack Valley & southern NH) except briefly snow if it comes down heavier with up to 1/2 inch. All snow accumulation will be concentrated on unpaved surfaces with just slushy coating quickly melting away on roads / walks.
New weather post