Thursday Forecast

59 Comments

7:24AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 23-27)
Not really making any changes to the forecast today. Pattern is the same, cool and unsettled, but remember when you hear that, we can sneak in nice days too, and we will sneak in two of them in this 5-day period, today and Saturday. Friday and Sunday are your wettest days as a pair of low pressure areas visit the region on their eastward swing along the jet stream, and upper level low pressure will probably try to capture a portion of Sunday’s departing system and keep it going into Monday, at least in the form of drizzle and/or showers.
TODAY: Sunny start, cloudy finish. Highs 51-58, coolest coastal areas. Wind variable to SE up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Rain arriving especially southern areas overnight. Lows 41-48. Wind E 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely, steadiest/heaviest I-90 southward, lighter to the north, tapering off late day from northwest to southeast. Highs 45-52. Wind NE 10-20 MPH shifting to N.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 36-43. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 53-60, coolest coast. Wind variable up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind E up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Cloudy. Rain likely. Highs 40-47. Wind E-NE 10-20 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, may mix with sleet or snow higher interior higher elevations. Lows 33-40. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy. Periods of drizzle and rain showers. Highs 40-47. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH, higher gusts possible.

DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 28-MAY 2)
After a dry interlude April 28, the next in a series of low pressure areas impacts the region April 29-30 with unsettled weather, mostly in the form of rain but cannot rule out interior and/or higher elevation mixed precipitation due to anomalous cold air in place. Drier weather arrives for the first couple days of May as temperatures continue to run generally below normal.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 3-7)
Temperatures remaining below normal overall, but a couple milder days are possible with weaker weather systems, still with a couple minor rainfall events possible.

59 thoughts on “Thursday Forecast”

  1. Good morning and thank you TK.

    Made it down to 29 here in JP for the overnight low. Pretty chilly for April 23rd.

  2. TK thanks for keeping both blogs going in difficult times. Much appreciated.
    Saturday still looking like my best walk the shore day followed by mid-day today.

  3. Thank you, TK.

    Quite cold even in Back Bay. Dipped my hand in the Charles River yesterday afternoon, just to gauge how cold the water is. No surprise, the water is very cold.

    I believe we had quite a number of warmer days in January and February than we’ve had this month.

    1. I’ll be I am the only one on this blog who has ever gone swimming in
      the Charles River. 🙂

      We used to jump out of trees overhanging the river. Much fun. NEVER got
      sick from it at all. I’d do it now as it is MUCH cleaner than I swam in it.
      It should be noted that I was in Millis at the time and not in or near Boston. 🙂

  6. Not sure where to put this, so I chose here.
    This is for TOM and anyone else who wants to give it a shot:

    A little brain teaser quiz. Tom being a math teacher, I thought that during these
    hard times, it might provide a learning opportunity for your students.

    https://imgur.com/a/3RnJpVr

    I do not have the “offical” answer, but I do believe I have the correct answer.
    Would like to compare notes with Tom.

        1. However the person that originally posted that said
          my answer is wrong. I believe it to be correct.

      1. The real question is are there really 2 brooms in the middle of the third line and two wands at the end of line four? If so then my answer is wrong and my eyesight sucks 🙂

  9. With TK, JpDave and Vicki saying 32, that answer has my endorsement 🙂 🙂

    My last line was 4 + 5 x 7

    I got the 5 because I figured that drawing was missing 2 of the 3 main components from the first line, so I took 1/3 of 15.

    The funny part is that we give our students, as part of enrichment, about 3 of these each week. Needless to say, I am always comparing answers with my math colleagues first.

    Anyhow, I trust 32 more than 39

    1. Well my logic came up with 32 as follows:

      3 wands = 21, therefore each wand = 7
      3 broom = 12, therefore each broom = 4
      The witches up top with a broom and wand = 45, but we already
      know that each wand is 7 and each broom is 4 for 11, that means
      the witch all by her lonesome is 15-7-4 or 4

      The final is the order of arithmetic so it would be

      Broom (4) + (witch (4) X Wand (7)
      becomes
      4 + (4×7) = 4 +28 = 32

      1. Yup !! Makes total sense, I didn’t even think to take the values from the 2nd and 3rd lines and apply them to the first line. I was being very literal !! Yup, you, TK and Vicki have it !!

        1. leaving out my question from above why are you assuming that it’s 4 + (4×7). I forget some this stuff (many many years ago) so I’m probably wrong in my original thinking.

            1. Sorry…doesn’t work that way LOL.

              And I want to know why it looks like two brooms in the middle of line 3 and two wands at the end of line 4. If that’s real then my new answer based on what guys have already said is now 73.

              1. I see what your saying about the wand 🙂

                A+ for 32 and 73 !!

                A- for 39 and all other guesses.

                No math hw tonight.

                1. doesn’t the broom look in the middle of line 3 and the wand at the end of line four look different to you?

  10. You know, I think I was asked this problem a week ago and got it wrong then too !!

    LOL, at least I’m consistent !!

    1. What do you mean then? You mean 32 isn’t correct? Now you have me confused.
      I can’t see ANY number other than 32 being correct, UNLESS we “Assume”
      the witches on line one are sitting on a broom that is hidden from view. 🙂 🙂 🙂

      1. Sorry, I wasn’t changing on 32 or 73, I do think I did this problem last week and got it wrong then, too, in addition to today.

        1. Last weeks was a word game too. On this you still have to subtract the broom and wand from the witches value

  11. The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a

    * Tornado Warning for…
    Southwestern Pierce County in southeastern Georgia…
    Southeastern Atkinson County in southeastern Georgia…
    Southwestern Brantley County in southeastern Georgia…
    Ware County in southeastern Georgia…
    Northern Clinch County in southeastern Georgia…
    Northwestern Charlton County in southeastern Georgia…

    * Until 230 PM EDT.

    * At 141 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado
    was located near Cogdell, or 9 miles northwest of Homerville,
    moving east at 50 mph.

    This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

    HAZARD…Damaging tornado.

    SOURCE…Radar confirmed tornado.

    IMPACT…You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris
    may be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile
    homes will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,
    businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete
    destruction is possible.

    * The tornado will be near…
    Homerville around 145 PM EDT.
    Cogdell around 150 PM EDT.
    Argyle around 155 PM EDT.
    Manor around 200 PM EDT.
    Waycross and Boggy Bay around 215 PM EDT.
    Blackshear and Braganza around 220 PM EDT.
    Fort Mudge around 225 PM EDT.

    Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
    Millwood, Axson and Needham.

  12. Tom,

    Thanks. In a million years, I would not have seen the 3 dimensions on the last line.
    So is that 2 or 3 wands there?

    1. Looks like 2 to me.And now 2 Freakin brooms on line 3???

      I think if we had an absolutely CLEAR image, this would NOT have been
      a problem.

      SNEAKY BASTARDS, whoever it was that put this together!!!!!

    2. I’m not sure.

      If this happened to me in school with my students, I really would accept multiple answers, so long as the students used order of operations on the last line and that the value they used for the wand was a multiple of whatever the number is (which I forget as I type). I can see how people can see 1 wand, I can also see how people can see multiple wands.

  13. Kudos to Keith for picking up the multiplicity on this!
    Yeah for WHW.

    Well that provided a tad bit of entertainment during these difficult times.

  14. So factoring in all above, here is the correct solution:

    3 wands = 21, therefore each wand = 7
    3 brooms = 12, but there are 2 brooms in the middle for a total of 4 brooms,
    thus each broom =3.
    The witches up top with a broom and wand = 45, but we already
    know that each wand is 7 and each broom is 3 for 10, that means
    the witch all by her lonesome is 15-7-3 or 5

    The final is the order of arithmetic so it would be

    But wait, on the bottom row there are 2 wands, so that math becomes:

    Broom (3) + (witch (5) x Wands (14))
    becomes
    3 + (5×14) = 3 +70 = 73

    Is this the FINAL ANSWER?

    1. Would not surprise me if it ends up colder than that. We have some anomalous cold potential a lot of next week, probably the peak of the negative departure stretch.

      2. So based on that statement we have not seen the last of the snow for the interior and higher elevations of SNE.

        1. I would NOT be surprised to see SNOW in Boston Sunday night into Monday. Not saying it will happen, just saying
          it would not surprise me in the least.

  18. Eric Fisher thought’s for Sunday Night
    So it’s going to snow Sunday night. Possibly quite a bit. Question is…where?
    Uncertainty as to how far south the accumulations will dip (Worcester Hills?) Less than ideal.

  19. The layer of cold air not far above the ground is think enough so that some ice pellets have fallen near the South Coast late this afternoon. Not really surprised to be honest.

    Ok, so this Tweet out of Oklahoma, I’m not sure when it was taken, but as an occurrence it’s one of the funniest things I have ever seen / heard in my life. I can’t stop laughing. The guy in the background “You don’t see that every day…” and the Dukes theme song playing just makes this 20 times funnier. What kind of a senior transport is that? Oh yeah, and the close lightning strike (2 of them actually, one behind the video taker and one visible on a tower about 1/2 mile away) is pretty dramatic.

    https://twitter.com/x24ever/status/1253143321817632768?s=12&fbclid=IwAR0H5mukhXhOHwGDJJJUCUUlG7TT4rAao0EWWzIsOoFq7UDbqrYjyE2mIag

  20. Tweet from Eric Fisher about Sunday night into Monday.
    Sadly, this thing has a lot going for it to produce an interior snowfall. Cold high pressure to the north funneling anomalous cold air down into the region. Happening mostly at night to avoid the nearly-May sun angle. Miller-B development. I mean c’mon.

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