Sunday Forecast

62 Comments

8:44AM

DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 26-30)
Down the home stretch of April, the final 5 days of what will turn out to be a cool and wet month. The wet part was really not much of a bane because we had been running a significant deficit in precipitation for so early in the year and have made up some of that for now. Going forward, we won’t see much of a change to the overall cool/wet pattern, and in some cases we will still be talking about frozen precipitation, but the storm systems are responding to a little more blocking in the atmosphere over the next several days by slowing down. This system moving in today will take until Tuesday to fully release its grip on the region. And during its passage we’ll see plenty of cool and wet weather, but higher elevations of the interior portions of Massachusetts and southern NH are likely to see some snow out of this, as the air is just cold enough. That will occur mainly tonight, when any accumulation will occur in the highest elevations, and into Monday as well when no more accumulation can occur due to the high sun angle, which still has an impact through an overcast sky. So as far as a snow producer goes, not really a big deal even where it is “maximum”, but still pretty late in the season to see such an occurrence. Look for the best weather of this 5 day stretch to be from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday, before the next low pressure area arrives.
TODAY: Cloudy. Rain arriving southwest to northeast midday and afternoon. Highs 43-50. Wind E-NE 10-20 MPH.
TONIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain, mixing with or turning to snow interior higher elevations of MA and southern NH with accumulation of a coating to 2 inches, locally 3 inches, possible. Lows 33-40. Wind NE 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY: Cloudy. Periods of rain, may continue to mix with snow higher elevations of interior locations but with no additional accumulation. Highs 38-45. Wind NE 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy evening with lingering rain/drizzle, mix higher elevations interior locations. Lows 32-39. Wind NE-N 10-20 MPH.
TUESDAY: Clouds linger in the morning especially eastern coastal areas with a little drizzle still possible, then becoming partly sunny. Highs 48-55, coolest coast. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouding over. Lows 40-47. Wind light SE.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Chance of rain. Highs 48-55. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 1-5)
The storm that arrives to end April lingers to start May on the wet and cool side, followed by some improvement for the May 2-3 weekend. Expected additional unsettled weather but probably from a weaker system around May 4-5. Temperatures may warm up, perhaps significantly, over the May 2-3 weekend before cooling back down thereafter.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 6-10)
A pattern of below normal temperatures and unsettled weather is expected to continue through the first third of the month of May.

62 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  4. Barry’s final broadcast is tonight at 11:00 PM! 🙁

    Late Saturday evening’s Euro must have had snow all the way down to Boston and a bit further south for a general C-1”. Barry’s final snowmap of his career at WBZ. He certainly loved that model obviously. 🙂

    1. Barry’s a legend. Will miss the forecasts, his Maine accent (I believe he’s from Maine).

      It feels raw outside already and the temperature hasn’t really begun to dip. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if wet flakes mix in throughout the metro area tonight into tomorrow and perhaps even tomorrow night. No accumulation, but still an eventful storm for April 26-28.

      1. Always loved Barry. It was mentioned here before, but wouldn’t
        it be fantastic if he posted here once he has officially retired????

      2. I never really noticed an accent either way. I guess it’s certainly not a typical “Boston” one come to think of it.

        1. I agree. I don’t really detect any Maine accent, however, he has been here a long, long time. 🙂

          Barry ROCKS!!!

      1. It’s not a good thing for my yard – they were supposed to replace the burm in front of our house and haven’t and a massive portion of the streets water floods into our yard.

        1. Not to mention my basement. As I mentioned before a very modest 1”+ last month completely flooded it. Thankfully my heating system survived. With this pandemic, good luck getting a repair technician to come out. With these upcoming rains, the jury may still be out on that one for me.

  8. More bad news. Harvey will likely be next. We will lose 2 legendary tv mets in the same year to retirement, probably within the same season (Spring in this case). 🙁

    1. Harvey will be retiring soon. He’s certainly more than earned it, along with his colleague Barry. I have much respect for all the Boston TV people, but those 2 will always be my favorites, up there with the likes of Don Kent and Bob Copeland and some of those legends.

      I wrote to Mr. Burbank today to wish him well, and he’s very much aware that he is welcomed to the blog any time. 🙂

        1. I must say that Bob Copeland might have been the best of the lot. Sticking my neck out? Perhaps, But I call em as I see em.

          1. All we have (or will have) left is Mark Rosenthal, who likely learned from the best in Bob Copeland, his mentor at the time starting out at Ch. 5. Much like Barry learned from Don Kent at WBZ.

  9. Here is a song by the Velvet Underground. I do not remember this one, but it is a great tune.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a0FqzEo5220

    This song was mentioned in the HULU original show: The First
    Also, the band was mentioned in another HULU original: Little Fires Everywhere

    hmmm, like some Hulu producer loves this band. 🙂 🙂

  10. When does this pattern transition to warmer, TK? I believe JMA suggested around May 10th. It’s pretty uncomfortably taking care of patients outside in the chill and rain.

  11. Looking at the HRRR runs, I am noticing a very slight and subtle shift South of
    the 0 Degree isotherm at 850MB. “Could” there be a surprise tonight after all?
    Ah, probably not, but I find it intriguing watching the HRRR just the same.

  15. Thank you, TK…

    Hopefully when things are better and everyone is back at the studios at WBZ, they can have a formal farewell for Barry when he can return. Maybe Mayor Walsh can declare it “Barry Burbank Day” in the City of Boston.

  16. TK…How’s your Mom doing?

    I know Sunday mornings are a special time for you both.

    1. She’s doing great! I hardly see her “in person” other than through a window or after I’ve made sure I’m as safe as possible when coming home with her groceries, which I go pick up on Sunday mornings myself. She watches a mass on TV and I visit my dad’s grave frequently, but my brother was able to take her by there a couple times when she was still needing to go out for her treatments, which was very good.

      My aim continues to be to keep her safe and eliminate any risk of her contracting this thing. I know it’s a danger to me as well because of my disease but I’ll be damned if I ever carry it to her.

      1. Fantastic news, TK!!!

        I showed my Mom (Hi Mom!) how to use Google Handout!

        It’s Mothers Day in two weeks!

      1. A cluster of cloud-to-ground strikes showing up in that area, mostly just to your southeast.

  21. The storm coming in towards Thursday has the look of a heavy rain event. As that incoming trough digs, pivots, and slows down, it will pick up a Gulf of Mexico connection and likely lead to a fairly narrow but intense ribbon of rainfall forming ahead of it. Not sure how widespread the heavier totals will be or where in the East might get the worst of it, but early indications are a lot of areas could receive 1.5-2.5″ of rain with that, locally higher. When the 500mb winds turn due southerly especially over a long fetch, that’s when you get in trouble. If you really wanna get nerdy (link below) it matches the “Maddox Type I” pattern for heavy rain/flash flood events. As TK has alluded to, while we’ve been wetter recently the longer term pattern has been drier, so we’re not in too bad of a position heading into this potential event. However, if you were to pick up 2-3″ of rain in 6-12 hours, that would probably lead to at least a lot of “nuisance” flooding and you may start to see some issues on the main stem rivers.

    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/research/mcs_web_test_test_files/Page907.htm

    I’ll dedicate that little synoptic discussion to Barry on the night of his final broadcast. One of many Boston TV mets who helped foster my interest in weather!

    1. Back in the days of hand-drawn weather maps, I thought Barry made the most awesome looking cold fronts. 🙂

      I agree with your assessment of the rain threat to end April.

      I have noticed that we have an opportunity here in SNE to sneak to 70 next Sunday if the advance of the next short wave is slow enough. We may get into a warm sector with a moderate west wind. That would warm us up, albeit temporarily, as cooler air would be waiting in the wings.

      1. I agree, it’s a tight window but in a pattern with limited opportunities for nice/warm days that one at least has a shot.

    2. They aired a great tribute at 6:30. I hope they re-air it this evening at 11. It’s already on YouTube anyway and probably on the WBZ web page as well.

  24. WxWatcher. I would message you but don’t know how. As I recall you attended Plymouth state. Did you know a Mary Elizabeth Campbell? She may have been an advisor. She was at Plymouth state for decades I believe

    1. That name sounded so familiar I actually had to do a little digging to recall why. Yes! She worked in admissions/advising and in addition to meeting her a couple times in person I exchanged a number of emails with her over the years about administrative matters relating to credits and scholarships. Always very helpful!

      Sadly, it appears she passed away (peacefully) last month.

      1. She did pass away. Very sadly. She graduated Belmont high a year ahead of me but I knew her name. And her high school photo is very familiar.

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