7:44AM
DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 28-MAY 2)
Short forecast due to a computer issue earlier, which has been resolved. No big changes anyway. Slow improvement today as dry air works in behind the most recent storm, and a nice day squeezed in Wednesday before we get impacted by the next storm – a low that tracks northwest of the region and drags a warm front toward but possibly not completely through the region Thursday, bringing additional rain. Whether it passes as a cold front into the warm sector or an occluded front because the warm front never went by, that occurs on Friday, with numerous rain showers. This system will also bring a good deal of wind with it. We improve only slightly Saturday, because upper level low pressure will still be in the region and that means a pool of cold air aloft and unstable air. That likely leads to additional showers, and the air will be cold enough aloft that some of those showers may contain hailstones.
TODAY: Clouds dominate, may break for partial sun at times. Highs 48-55, coolest coast. Wind NE-N 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows 38-45. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind light SE.
THURSDAY: Cloudy. Risk of rain. Highs 47-54. Wind SE 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Lows 40-47. Wind SE 5-15 MPH, may shift to S 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Cloudy with numerous showers and possible thunderstorms morning. Mostly cloudy with periods of rain showers afternoon. Highs 52-59. Wind SE-S 10-20 MPH gusting over 30 MPH, shifting to W.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 42-49. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
SATURDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of a rain shower and isolated hail. Highs 48-55. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (MAY 3-7)
Milder May 3, but a rain shower risk late-day or evening. Cooler May 4-6 and milder May 7 but some additional unsettled weather possible.
DAYS 11-15 (MAY 8-12)
A pattern of below normal temperatures and unsettled weather is expected to continue for this period as well.
Thanks TK.
Thank you, TK.
TK thank you for the update and keeping 2 blogs going.
Thanks TK
Thanks TK !
So, I understand this CRAP will continue through July 4th.
Well, July 4th is when the really cold air filters in and we get snow instead of cold rain.
Sorry JpDave, you’ve been listening to my doom and gloom on the weather too long. 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂
Ha ha ha
Well, that’s about how I feel at the moment. I need something
and I don’t have anything. This whole situation blows.
It does, it really does !!!
Thanks TK
Some interior places in SNE have not seen the last of wintry precipitation even though it is May
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf&rh=2020042800&fh=210&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=ecmwf_full&p=prateptype_cat_ecmwf&rh=2020042800&fh=216&r=us_ne&dpdt=&mc=
EPS has flakes close by on May 13. 😉
Why not. Bring it on.
I believe last week you said TK this could be a year where we see flakes fly in the month of May.
Nice early March day out there. This weather is DISGUSTING!@#)!@*#!@(#
At least I am seeing some sunshine today. It could only go up after being stuck in the low 40s yesterday with on and off rain.
When do you see us breaking this pattern TK?
Arod can you comment on the mass general link yesterday
If I had to guess a date: May 18.
Wasn’t that the date in 2002 Woburn had measurable snow?
It was. 1/2 inch. But that’s not why I picked it. 😉
12Z Euro ejects the Wintry system to the South of us on or around 5/6.
https://m3.pivotalweather.com/maps/models/ecmwf_full/2020042812/204/prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png
The general idea is no sustained warmth before mid May. I’m still confident with that pattern at this point.
Those of you looking for a full weekend of nice weather, I don’t think this weekend is it. Saturday will trend cooler, grayer, damper than forecast by many. Sunday looks nice with inland temps into the 60s maybe 70 in the warmest valleys, but a breeze will make it feel somewhat cooler.
As for a pattern change. After May 10. I will split the difference with TK and say May 14.
As for you winter psychos – please ignore the snowfall maps. If we have not been able to get any meaningful snowfall in the valley and urban / suburban locations where most people live, in this pattern to date, it is not going to happen in May.
You basically just made the post about the weekend that I was going to make.
My Saturday forecast will reflect more gloom tomorrow than it did today.
Sunday may be a gem though.
Ugh, I was wondering about Saturday deteriorating in terms of sun and warmth. Was secretly/wishfully hoping for 2 sunny days in a row.
I was hoping we’d have just “not enough” blocking to let that thing in eastern Canada get out of here, but instead it’s going to have to rotate back down across New England. Typical springtime occurrence. I’m pretty confident though that means we warm up nicely Sunday because the next front should not be that fast.
This gloomy weather is at least keeping more people home and away from beaches and other such things I guess. Maybe it’s the universe forcing our little sector to improve one way or another. lol.
Look at how good we’re doing on the drought monitor: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Northeast
New weather post is up…