Sunday Forecast

26 Comments

8:31AM

DAYS 1-5 (MAY 10-14)

Today will be an improvement over yesterday, weather-wise, though I have to admit I was pretty stoked to see snow, graupel, and really neat clouds yesterday. I’m an exception to the rule, I get that. Most of you want to see a more traditional type of spring weather, by the definition you’d read. While May snow is quite rare, chilly spring weather is not, and we’ll have more of that today along with a gusty breeze, but today will not be as cold as yesterday, nor will the wind be nearly as strong. There will also be somewhat more sunshine, but it will still have to share the sky with clouds. But as previously mentioned, in stark contrast to last Mother’s Day, which was rainy with even some pockets of sleet, this one will be dry. And while we are on the subject, a happy mother’s day to all who qualify (you know who you are!). Looking ahead, still looks unsettled Monday due to a passing low pressure area. This one will have cold air aloft to work with but this time that is not going to aid in producing another May snowfall. This time it may help trigger a thunderstorm among the numerous showers passing through the region. And then things turn for the better as behind this, Tuesday through Thursday all look dry. Tuesday and Wednesday will be on the coolish side but not too bad, a gusty breeze at times, and some clouds at times as well, most of which will pass by Tuesday night fairly unnoticed as a weak disturbance traverses the region in an otherwise high pressure dominated couple days. We may see a little more cloudiness at times Thursday, an occurrence common to a warming of the atmosphere aloft.

TODAY: Sun / cloud mix. Highs 52-59. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Cloudy. Rain showers likely. Chance of thunderstorms. Highs 48-55. Wind variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with a chance of rain showers early, then clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Sun and passing clouds. Highs 55-62. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 40-47. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 56-63. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 43-50. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Highs 63-70 except 55-62 South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (MAY 15-19)

Warm front cold front combo crosses the region with parent low pressure tracking north of New England May 15 bringing mild air but some rain showers. Fair, slightly cooler May 16. Next low pressure system brings a risk of wet weather sometime in the May 17-18 time frame. Dry at the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (MAY 20-24)

General pattern in this time frame continues to look zonal (west to east) and more relaxed toward seasonably milder with a couple minor rainfall threats.

26 thoughts on “Sunday Forecast”

  1. Fun fact – The 5 major metro NYC west the observation sites all have the same amount snow reported for February and May – Trace.

    Of course the news headline of the return of the Polar Vortex brings snow to NYC isn’t quite 100% accurate.

    Now can we go for the 1-2″ that even valley locations got on grassy surfaces May 18,2002? That was for sure late snow. I will have to go with a no on that one. Every weather rarity is made to be one upped and someday that one will probably be too, and that will be really note worthy.

  3. Good morning and thank you, TK.

    Agree with you about yesterday’s weather – especially the clouds racing by. Passing squalls in New England always amaze me.

  4. TK – Technically speaking, isn’t a “Trace”the average snowfall for May around here?

    1. I guess technically given the infrequency of it, but averages don’t really mean anything once you get to May with regards to snow. All we need to know is that snow in Boston is very rare in May, and measurable snow in Boston is even more rare, having only been recorded twice. When you start talking about statistically very infrequent events, averages become irrelevant.

  6. Happy mother’s Day to all the Moms out, the past several years its been cloudy and damp enjoy the sunny day 🙂

  7. Thanks TK. Happy Mother’s Day to the moms!

    SPC has a good chunk of SNE in a marginal risk for severe weather tomorrow. Not the most typical severe weather setup, but looks like the type of environment favorable for strong (but mainly sub-severe) winds and a lot of small hail, with severe hail (quarter size) possible in the strongest storms.

  11. From Ryan Hanrahan for tomorrow
    Scattered severe storms possible tomorrow with a decent overlap of CAPE and vertical shear. Some decent hailers are a possibility.

  12. Thanks TK!
    Happy Mother’s Day to all of the moms on the blog!!
    A sometimes challenging but most rewarding title to have.

  14. Happy Mothers Day to all Moms!

    31.6 was our overnight low.

    Thanks as always, TK!

  19. Nice to see the atmosphere stabilize enough this afternoon, to help the cumulus clouds mostly vanish, increasing the nice sunshine !

  20. Looking forward to the 12z GFS’ 132 hours of measurable precipitation from the 15th – 20th. With a particular gem of day in that cycle with highs barely making it to 50 around the 18th. On the other hand the 12z ECMWF has highs reaching close to 80 in some parts of SNE in that time frame. Oh what it a modelogist to do?

  21. No weather but…..I’d highly recommend the Disney family sing a long. My night ended watching with my youngest and SIL and three grands. And the wonderful world of Disney is going to be on Wednesday nights for a few weeks. I have wonderful memories of movie nights with my mom…dad worked most Sunday nights…and brother. We lost that when we could have movies on demand

    https://www.deseret.com/entertainment/2020/5/8/21252225/disney-movie-night-moana-wonderful-world

    Now back to weather 😉

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