7:22AM
DAYS 1-5 (MAY 28-JUNE 1)
A southerly air flow will bring warm and increasingly humid weather to our region through Friday night, and with little to trigger them, showers will be limited through the daylight hours of Friday, after which an approaching cold front from the west will increase the risk of showers, and possibly some thunderstorms, though that particular threat does not look too significant. It will take a good part of Saturday for the front to completely make it through the region, so that will be an unsettled day, not likely raining the entire time but with a chance of shower activity at any time. Clearing will occur Saturday night and high pressure will move in for a stellar end to May on Sunday. But waiting in the wings is a very cool air mass from Canada, which will make the first day of June on Monday feel more like a day earlier in May. This will probably come with a passing disturbance that will bring at least clouds and possibly a few showers.
TODAY: Partly sunny. More humid. Highs 80-87 except 73-80 South Coast, coolest Cape Cod. Wind S 5-15 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Isolated to scattered showers. Humid. Highs 73-80 except 66-73 South Coast. Wind S 10-20 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers, possibly a thunderstorm, favoring morning and midday hours. Gradually lowering humidity. Highs 70-77, cooler South Coast especially Cape Cod. Wind SW shifting to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of showers. Highs 65-72. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 2-6)
The overall pattern during this 5-day period will feature a west to northwest air flow across the Northeast with a couple disturbances bringing episodes of wet weather, but staying rain-free most of the time. Temperatures below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 7-11)
Not looking for a significant change in the pattern of the previous 5-day period.
Thanh you TK. Fresh air, windows open, blue skies… great morning.
‘Thank you’
Thannnh you… I actually liked it the first way better I think. 😉
This is one of my favorite feeling mornings. Humid, breezy, very mild. Sun & cloud mix as the sun starts to climb to it’s still higher angle, just under a month from the solstice!
No blue skies here…and “not” one of my favorite feeling mornings though humidity still “somewhat” in check.
Thanks TK !
Good morning and thank you TK.
The humidity is not in check in the house that’s for sure.
Talk about dry, stretching to nearly two weeks with no rain.
Well, hello stranger. Very nice to see you checking in.
I don’t know about you, but I am thankful for a South wind which keeps
the higher temperatures away from here, albeit it does not check the humidity.
I’d gladly take 83 or 84 over 95!!!
Hey Hadi. So nice to see you here !!!
Good to hear from you, Hadi !
Thank you, TK
Overcast and drizzle here but seems sun is trying to poke through.
And for some reason I can’t stop humming this so thought I’d pass it on
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lIPan-rEQJA
These satellite photos are amazing.
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2020/05/stunning-satellite-image-on-nearly.html
Stratus is hanging tough. Still cloudy here in JP, although the sun just peeked through
for a moment. Perhaps they are about to be burned off by the sun’s rays.
There is definitely a higher level of humidity today.
Ya think?
66 at Logan, 68 at Marshfield.
Ocean temperature is sitting at 56.84 degrees at Boston Buoy which is
3.56 degrees above average. Now I am not sure how much of that is due
the the constant sea breeze we had for 3 or 4 days????
Thanks TK!
Look at the convection in the GOM just explode on satellite. Hmmmm?
You mean in the Northern Gulf of Mexico?
https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=continental-conus-truecolor-24-1-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
Very strong radar echos south of New Orleans.
https://radblast.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/radar/WUNIDS_map?num=40&type=N0Z&mapx=400&mapy=240&brand=wui&delay=15&frame=0&scale=1&transx=0&transy=0&severe=0&smooth=0¢erx=400¢ery=240&station=LIX&rainsnow=1&lightning=0&noclutter=0&showlabels=1&showstorms=0&rand=26511547
There’s a surface trough there – good convergence.
My Weekend Outlook is up: https://stormhq.blog/2020/05/28/weekend-outlook-may-28-june-1-2020/
My start of hurricane season post will likely be published on Saturday.
Thanks SAK!
Thanks SAK
Thank you SAK
Thanks TK and SAK!
Dry, dry, dry… that’s the name of the game in this pattern, and likely will be for many weeks to come. Generally on the warm side also, with the exception of most of the coming week. The humidity should generally be on the tame side though, not so many days like today/tomorrow.
Thanks WxWatcher ! I was typing while you posted.
Looks like we’re on the same page! Yes, I like the idea of a persistent Midwest ridge as opposed to Southeast ridge this summer. A more La Nina like summer pattern. For us, that means warm and dry.
I like the sound of warm and dry, but hopefully not moderate drought, dry. Maybe a line of storms now and again to provide a bit of rain on occasion.
I like the EURO weeklies outlook for June 10th thru 17th that I’m seeing on a tweet from Eric Fisher 1 hr ago.
Dry and warm.
Taking in the EURO, GFS and CFS model loop. the signals of the next warm-up have a different look than the current set-up.
Perhaps a mid west 500mb ridge, with the northeast under west or wesrt-northwest flow aloft.
Warm but perhaps not overly humid. Dry ground conditions also support less humidity, even in a warm pattern.
We’ll see what the trends show over the next week.
You won’t find too many better examples of what an extratropical low pressure system should look like:
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G17§or=np&band=GEOCOLOR&length=48
Neat, thanks !
TK better avert his eyes from this one lol.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
(The joke here is that this system, should it be classified, is yet another one that either isn’t really tropical and/or never would’ve been detected or classified in the not so distant past.)
What are people’s takes on Bertha ?
Was that sub-tropical or tropical ?
Either way, I was impressed that its rain area held together pretty well, right up into eastern Canada.
It was a cluster of thunderstorms. They had ONE observation of tropical storm force winds from a buoy 50 miles offshore, as a squall moved over the buoy. If they had called it a tropical depression, nobody would have complained. But to waste a name on something like that? It like swinging away on a 3-0 fastball down the middle when you’re up by 8 in the 8th inning – padding the stats.
Are we about go to 3-for-3 in stats padding?
They are pretty much naming cumulus clouds now.
That extratropical low off the northwest coast that you posted the sat loop for SAK would you call that a vertically stacked low with a cold core?
Definitely.
New weather post is up…