7:43AM
DAYS 1-5 (MAY 29-JUNE 2)
A southerly air flow will continue to bring warm and humid weather to the region today and tonight. Some fog and drizzle will be around the South Coast early in the day. A plume of tropical moisture will bring a few downpours to Nantucket first thing this morning otherwise just look for scattered light showers and sprinkles today. Some sun will try to develop, especially north of I-90, where temperatures will climb highest today due to cloud breaks and distance from the South Coast, where a southerly wind is coming off cooler water. A cold front will make its way across the region west to east during the first 12 to 15 hours of Saturday, triggering a few showers and possible thunderstorms. We’ll have to monitor for where a possible line or cluster of showers/storms may form during the late morning and midday hours of Saturday as we gain some daytime heating. Most likely chance for this is near the I-95 belt eastward. Either way, this interruption will be temporary and by later Saturday and definitely Saturday night, we’ll be clearing out and drying out, setting up for a fantastic weather day on Sunday as high pressure moves in. You may or may not recall, the last time June 1 and 2 fell on a Monday / Tuesday, we had anomalous cold, with Boston failing to reach 50 (high temp of 49) both days. This came along with rain/drizzle and a chilly northeast wind. Is that about to happen again? No. But the same 2 days falling on the same 2 days of the week this time around will once again be significantly cooler than average, just not to the extreme of last time, and this time with drier air, courtesy an air mass that originated near the North Pole. It may come along with some rain showers Monday as a disturbance crosses the region, but Tuesday will be a dry day, though we may see some cloudiness arriving as it starts to warm up aloft.
TODAY: Low clouds / fog / drizzle near South Coast and a few showers / downpours near Nantucket early morning, otherwise mostly cloudy to partly sunny with isolated light showers. Humid. Highs 70-77 south of I-90, 78-85 I-90 northward. Wind SW-S 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after midnight. Humid. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Scattered showers, possibly a thunderstorm, favoring morning and midday hours west of I-95, midday to mid afternoon I-95 eastward. Gradually lowering humidity. Highs 76-83, cooler South Coast especially Cape Cod. Wind SW shifting to NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 55-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 70-77. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 50-57. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Variably cloudy. Risk of showers. Highs 61-68. Wind N 10-20 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 45-52. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
TUESDAY: Sunshine then increasing clouds late. Highs 63-70. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (JUNE 3-7)
The overall pattern during this 5-day period will feature a west to northwest air flow across the Northeast with a couple disturbances bringing episodes of wet weather, but staying rain-free most of the time. Temperatures below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (JUNE 8-12)
Not looking for a significant change in the pattern of the previous 5-day period.
Repost of SAK’s Weekend Outlook…
https://stormhq.blog/2020/05/28/weekend-outlook-may-28-june-1-2020/?fbclid=IwAR2wBOaULsM-XCxOCsQBxM-xJdHgX-p2Flv62ewLOINSxmUTsWPZ-9WpEjk
Thanks TK.
Good morning and thank you TK.
Thank you, TK.
Thanks TK
This day in weather history back 25 years ago the Great Barrington, MA F4 Tornado and the F1 Southbury, CT Tornado
https://twitter.com/NWSBoston/status/1266353602982887424
I remember that Great Barrington tornado. If my memory serves me correctly, the SPC totally and completely MISSED this. No tornado watch or the like.
Not even sure there was a severe thunderstorm watch. This one was most
interesting. I remember have a conversation with a meteorologist at the time
and he flat out told me that it was totally missed.
Anyone know or remember a Meteorologist whose on line handle was
SNONUT? His name was Mike Murray and he resided in New Jersey at the time and did on air forecasts for local radio stations.
I’ve seen comments like this plenty of times, and still don’t understand them. Why is it that people seem to think that if there wasn’t a tornado or severe thunderstorm watch in effect that you can’t get a tornado, especially a strong one? In this case, it happened 25 years ago, when the technology was much less than today, and it happened with only some scattered activity.
In 2018, a tornado cut a 36-mile path across southwest NH on May 4. Not only was there not a warning issued, but nobody knew about it for 11 days! The damage path wasn’t discovered until May 15.
So are you saying this to me or the person that related it to me? I totally get what you are saying, but I can understand an F0 or F1, but an F4? Still seems to me
that it should not have been missed.
There are alot of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms that have occurred without watches. It’s known that SPC has had their struggles with Northeast severe weather, but if I recall correctly, the outlook that day for the region did not point to tornadoes. I remember one of my co-workers and I talking post-analysis on that event and saying “everything just came together perfectly for that storm”. It happens. It’s always happened. It’s also an unreasonable expectation for them to have a watch issued as if they know what scale a tornado would be, should it occur. It was just one of those events.
I love the example of the 2018 36-mile path tornado that was completely missed for nearly 2 weeks. Shows you that things can still occur unseen even with the tech we have no, compared to a quarter century ago.
Was there even a severe thunderstorm
watch that day? I don’t recall one, but that was long ago.
I honestly do not remember that.
I will have to dig, or if somebody else that is reading this knows that information they can let us know.
These days with so much emphasis on the SPC severe weather outlook, it’s pretty much rendered the watch box obsolete.
So true and thanks TK.
I remember this well also. My daughter, her friend and their trainer were at a horse show in that area at the time. First one the mid-teenage girls had gone to without parents. Very scary.
Ryan Hanrahan posted video of the aftermath of the Great Barrington, MA Tornado.
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1266358599598723074
Thank you, TK.
It’s been warm in parts of Canada. This moose figured he/she would take a dip in a pool: https://twitter.com/saronfanel/status/1266356156320165889
The moose sure found a nice pool 🙂
it was looking for: Mooselookmeguntic Lake
LOL !!
hahha – I just had a lovely chat with a person from Sutton about Mooselookmeguntic. My ex fiance but more important a close friend had a family summer home on an island Mooselook. Some of the best salmon fishing I’ve ever had the pleasure to enjoy. He taught me to remember the name by saying Moose Look My Gun Quick!!!
🙂
Thanks, TK !
Quite a bit more sun today than yesterday.
Radar image of the Great Barrington Tornado and Southbury CT Tornado 25 years ago today. Tweet from Ryan Hanrahan
https://twitter.com/ryanhanrahan/status/1266422663402196993
SPC appears to have severe risk in the correct locations
https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html
I agree with that. Certainly no repeat of what happened 25 years ago. It is hard to believe Monday will be the 9 year anniversary of the Springfield Tornado.
Seem like yesterday.
I believe for a severe weather outbreak that day had the most comments on this blog. The morning had showers and thunderstorms with the warm front then around 1pm a tornado watch was issued and we starting tracking thunderstorms about two hours after that and that thunderstorm that produced the Springfield tornado which was on the ground for just under 40 miles which is rare for a tornado to be on the ground that long in New England.
I’m a little skeptical of the pattern warming too quickly until sometime after June 10. Been in this mode of thinking for a while.
Tornado warning north of Sarasota springs
Crazy windy here. Awesome sitting out.
I went back to read June 1 2011. Most posts were may 31. I still get chills.
Line of storms in NY now seems to be traveling More NE and the southerly line is weakening.
I don’t have immediate access to the photo I took on June 1 2011 because it’s on an SD card or buried in my old laptop folder. I’ll have to search. But I think it should pop up in FB memories in a few days. It was of one of the small super cell thunderstorms in its dissipating stage nearby to here, taken outside of Woburn High School where Nate had a performance that evening.
Nice. Will look forward to seeing it
Set up on a campground in Plymouth, camping for the weekend. You have to be self contained as the bathrooms are closed. Misty evening and breezy.
Did anyone catch the first (nick) names of the astronauts of the latest Space X adventure?
Bob and Doug.
Anyone my age may know another Bob and Doug who are definitely not astronauts! 🙂
Someone out there must have my sense of humor (which is very scary) as I found this on You Tube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wzEzpCx8p74
Hope there’s a launch tomorrow.
Very nice. And yes I remember Bob and Doug.
Dew points really haven’t come down yet. Best I can tell, they don’t start
dropping until out West of Worcester towards Springfield. I hope it filters in here
soon.
I could REALLY notice the humidity yesterday.
As stated previously it will be a slow transition today. You won’t really notice drier air until the second half of the afternoon in Boston.
Nice start to the day !
New weather post is up…