7:27AM
DAYS 1-5 (NOVEMBER 11-15)…
Everything going about as expected with the coastal (or just off the coast) storm system making Veterans Day damp, chilly, and windy. This system was expected to under-produce in rainfall based on model forecasts, and is doing that, though a few bands of moderate to heavier rain are still possible this morning as this system intensifies and moves northeastward off the New England coast. Some minor to locally moderate coastal flooding is expected near high tide times today, with east-facing and north-facing coastlines most vulnerable. The storm exits in full tonight and clouds that start to clear out later in the day far inland will finally exit most of the coastline, though some lower cloudiness may linger in parts of southeastern MA, only to spread over more of the region as high and middle clouds increase from the west on Thursday ahead of a Great Lakes low pressure area pushing a front toward New England from the west. By later Thursday, an overcast will be dominant and some additional wet weather is likely. But this system will also be moving right along and drier air will sweep in behind its first cold front for Friday, along with a gusty wind but fairly mild air. The colder air lies behind a second front which will pass from northwest to southeast Friday evening, not without the risk of a rain shower and even a snow shower over areas further northwest of Boston if the cold air comes in quickly enough while any precipitation is still falling. On Saturday expect just enough instability around for passing clouds interrupting bright sun. A few of these clouds may even produce a passing sprinkle or snow flurry. By Sunday, a sunnier but chilly November day is expected.
TODAY: Overcast morning with periods of rain and drizzle along with areas of fog. Mainly cloudy afternoon with lingering sprinkles of rain, but enough breaking of clouds for possible sun in northwestern RI, central MA, and southwestern NH for a while. Highs 45-51. Wind NE to N 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, especially along the coast, gradually diminishing during the afternoon.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy southeastern MA, partly cloudy elsewhere. Fog forming in some valleys. Lows 38-45. Wind N up to 10 MPH but still gusty near the coast very early, then becoming light variable.
THURSDAY: Some early sun possible otherwise mainly cloudy. Rain showers arrive west to east by late. Highs 48-55. Wind light variable in the morning, S 5-15 MPH in the afternoon.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain showers evening, ending west to east with breaking clouds overnight. Lows in the 40s. Wind S 10-20 MPH shifting to W with some higher gusts.
FRIDAY: Sunshine and passing clouds. Highs 55-62. Wind W 15-25 MPH
FRIDAY NIGHT: Lots of clouds evening with a passing rain shower, perhaps mix/snow shower northwest of Boston. A quick temperature drop possible evening leading to overnight lows in the 30s. Wind W 10-20 MPH with higher gusts, shifting to NW.
SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated rain/snow showers possible. Gusty wind. Highs 45-52.
SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 26-33. Highs 45-52.
DAYS 6-10 (NOVEMBER 16-20)…
A stretch of mainly dry weather with temperatures rebounding to above to much above normal. Perhaps a risk of rain showers by the end of the period.
DAYS 11-15 (NOVEMBER 21-25)…
A mainly dry pattern continues and at least starts warmer than normal, though a passing system about the middle of the period may produce some unsettled weather and a shot of cold air may arrive late in the period.