1:24PM

What will be a miss is the unsettled weather, passing south of New England, staying offshore this weekend and only tossing some high cloudiness into the region, a little thicker at times near the South Coast, and by later in the coming week we may have to deal with a passing cold front setting off a few showers and thunderstorms, but otherwise the long stretch of mainly fair weather will continue, along with a more mid Summer feel to the air.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

THIS AFTERNOON: Partly cloudy. Highs 70s coast, lower 80s inland. Wind N shifting to E 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Lows middle 50s inland valleys to middle 60s urban centers. Wind E to S up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Partly to mostly sunny with most clouds south of Boston, most sun to the north. Highs middle 70s to lower 80s, coolest south-facing coastal areas. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY-WEDNESDAY: Fair weather with increasing humidity day by day. Lows upper 50s to middle 60s. Highs upper 70s to upper 80s, coolest South Coast and Cape Cod.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of a few PM showers and thunderstorms. Lows 63-70. Highs 82-92.

FRIDAY-SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows in the 60s. Highs in the 80s.

7:41AM

Other than some high cloudiness at times through the weekend and a few other periods of clouds from a weak upper level disturbance early next week, high pressure will be in general control of the weather in southern New England well into next week with plenty of fair weather. The only notable trend will be an upward one in temperature and eventually humidity as well.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-85, coolest in coastal areas. Wind W up to 10 MPH, except variable to onshore in coastal areas this afternoon.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-65, coolest inland valleys, mildest in urban locations. Wind light SW.

SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: Variable high cloudiness but not preventing plenty of sunshine during the daylight hours, just filtered at times, especially southern MA and RI. Highs 75-85, coolest Cape Cod & Islands. Lows 58-65. Winds variable 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY-TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 58-68. Highs 78-88.

WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 60-70. Highs 81-91.

10:22PM

The Fall preview was evident strongly Wednesday with a cool, gusty breeze, crisp air, and sunshine with passing clouds, but that was the peak, and the last shot of such air for some time. Instead, the pattern we are now heading into is one of late Summer warmth and eventually a return to humidity (though the next few days will continue comfortably dry). The one bump in the road I see is the close-pass of low pressure south of New England sometime this weekend. Right now, I am optimistic that this low pressure area will stay far enough offshore to only toss some cloudiness into southern New England for a time and keep its rain away. Otherwise, the weather will be governed by high pressure for the rest of this week and probably much of next week.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Clear. Lows 46-58, coolest interior valleys, warmest urban centers. Wind W diminishing to under 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-82. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 50-60, coolest interior valleys, mildest urban centers. Wind WSW under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Sunny. Highs 77-83. Wind WSW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY & SUNDAY: Partly cloudy (more clouds south at times). Lows 55-65. Highs 75-85, coolest South Coast.

MONDAY-WEDNESDAY: Fair weather, increasing humidity. Lows 60-70. Highs 80-90.

7:48PM

A cold front will march east southeast across southern New England during this evening into the overnight hours, pushing offshore by early Wednesday morning. There is one final band of showers and thunderstorms ahead of this front as of the time of the writing of this entry (about 7PM), but it is expected to move east southeast and eventually weaken and dissipate and never make it into southeastern New England save for a few possible showers (may not even see that). Storms or not, the cold front is going to clean house and bring another shot of cool/dry air to the region for the middle of the week. This appears, however, to be the last shot of such air for a while, and even though the comfortable air will be around for a few days, as we get toward the end of the coming weekend and into next week, it appears we will be heading into a more typical August pattern of warmer and more humid weather.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, RI)…

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy. Slight risk of a shower mainly well west of Boston through 1AM. Still humid early, drying out overnight. Lows drop to 55-60 inland but 60-65 at the coast. Wind W increasing to 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Mixed sun & passing clouds. Dry air! Highs in the 70s. Wind W 10-20 MPH along with some higher gusts.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clouds vanish, sky turns clear. Crisp & cool. Lows drop to around or just below 50 inland valleys, 50s elsewhere. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Sunny. Highs 75-80. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY-SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 55-65. Highs 75-85.

MONDAY & TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Lows 60-70. Highs 80-90.

7:00AM

High pressure and fair weather rule 6 out of 7 days this week, the exception being Tuesday with a cold front bringing showers and thunderstorms. One more shot of refreshing air comes midweek before a warmer/muggy late Summer pattern takes over.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Lows 60-66. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

TUESDAY: Mostly cloudy with episodes of showers and thunderstorms. Highs 75-83. Wind SW 10-20 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 59. High 75.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 54. High 78.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 57. High 79.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 81.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 64. High 88.

3:36AM

The muggies have been pushed offshore by a cold front, and though the dry air is in, it will actually be warmer than yesterday in most of the region due to lots of sun and a westerly wind that dries and warms as it comes down off the mountains to the west. The air will cool a little bit by Sunday but still be quite mild, along with low humidity. High pressure will hang on during Monday which will be another excellent weather day. This nice stretch is also perfect timing for star gazers as the next 3 nights will offer an excellent view of the Perseid Meteor Shower, peaking Sunday night and early Monday morning (though Saturday night and Monday night will still be decent). The best viewing time will be from midnight to just before first light. If you are out there, try to get away from any light pollution and look high in the northeast sky. Perseid meteors radiate out from near the Omega Constellation “Cassiopeia” (looks like the letter W and is easy to find). They are also very fast-moving meteors and tend to leave thin but sometimes bright white or blue streaks. Optimal viewing conditions may offer up to 100 meteors per hour during the peak.

Looking ahead, a cold front will swing through on Tuesday with a brief return to humidity, showers, and thunderstorms, before another cooler, drier airmass comes in for the middle of next week.

Forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Sunshine with passing clouds. Highs in the 80s. Wind W to NW 10-20 MPH with higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows in the 60s, some upper 50s inland valleys. Wind W diminishing to around 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs upper 70s to lower 80s, coolest coastal areas. Wind SW up to 10 MPH with coastal sea breezes.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 56. High 79.

TUESDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers/thunderstorms likely. Low 62. High 80.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 55. High 75.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 55. High 76.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 77.

7:46AM

A slow-moving cold front running into tropical moisture will produce showers and thunderstorms today, some with heavy rain, as it moves west to east across southeastern New England. This front will accelerate offshore by early Saturday allowing for fair and warm weather with lowering humidity. Great weather will continue Sunday and Monday thanks to a high pressure area dominating the weather. The next shower and thunderstorm threat will be Tuesday when a disturbance is expected to cross there region. More great weather returns by the middle of next week as it looks now.

Forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mainly overcast with episodes of showers and thunderstorms, some with heavy rain. Muggy. Highs in the 70s. Wind S 5-15 MPH gusting to 25 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Additional scattered showers and thunderstorms possible. Muggy. Lows in the 60s. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Clouds may linger SE MA otherwise partly to mostly sunny. Lowering humidity. Highs 85-90, cooler Cape Cod. Wind W 10-20 MPH gusting to 30 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 82.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 59. High 81.

TUESDAY: Chance of showers/thunderstorms. Low 62. High 80.

WEDNESDAY & THURSDAY: Partly cloudy. Lows 50s. Highs 70s.

1:21AM

Humidity, showers, and thunderstorms will be the story through Friday night as a warm front moves north of the region today and a cold front crosses late Friday and early Saturday. Of the 2 days, Friday will see the most numerous showers and thunderstorms. Right now, I’m optimistic that the front will clear the region Saturday, with some lingering clouds in the morning for southern and eastern areas, but otherwise much nice weather for the remainder of the day and drier, comfortable weather for Sunday and early next week.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. Chance of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. More humid. Highs middle 70s to lower 80s, coolest South Coast. Wind SSW 10-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Chance of showers. Humid. Lows in the 60s. Wind S 10-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Episodic showers and thunderstorms, some possibly heavy. Muggy. Highs in the 70s to near 80. Wind S 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY: Clouds linger southern and eastern areas in the morning, otherwise partly cloudy to mostly sunny. Low 66. High 85.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 81.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 57. High 77.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 55. High 76.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 56. High 79.

7:56PM

Before we get to the weather, for those who see this post in the 8PM hour Tuesday, the International Space Station will be visible as it passes nearly overhead from the SW sky to the ENE sky starting at 9:04PM. The HTV4 satellite will also appear in the NW sky slightly below the half way up point in the sky moving to the NE starting at 9:44PM. Should be clear enough to see both, though the ISS will be the highest up and most brilliant of the 2 passes.

Weatherwise, one more nice day Wednesday as high pressure hangs on but warm air starts to come in aloft, producing some high clouds. Then a slow-moving cold front takes from Thursday through Friday night to pass through the region, with episodes of showers and thunderstorms and a return to muggy air. This front gets offshore (hopefully) on Saturday, which should show improvement. A drier air mass comes in Sunday and lasts into early next week. There continues to be no hot weather in sight.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, RI)…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows from 50 inland valleys to 60 urban centers. Wind light variable.

WEDNESDAY: Sunshine becoming filtered at times by variable high cloudiness, then some increase in clouds late afternoon and evening. Highs around 80 but 70s coast. Wind SE to S 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers possible toward dawn. Lows in the 60s. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs 78-83. Wind S 10-20 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Numerous showers and thunderstorms. Low 66. High 80.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Low 61. High 85.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 59. High 81.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 54. High 78.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 58. High 79.

9:51PM

The week starts with a shot of refreshing air from Canada on a northwest wind behind a departing upper low and arriving surface high. The air moderates a little but remains comfortable through Tuesday. A warm front pushes eastward toward the region by Wednesday with more clouds and eventually a shower threat. We’ll be near a front on Thursday and Friday with warm/humid air just to the south. It’s hard to say how strong the push of this will be into the region at this point but going to lean for a stronger push of it, along with a shower and thunderstorm threat due to the closeness of the front. Looking into next weekend, low pressure in eastern Canada and high pressure over the east central US combine to send a warm westerly flow across the region.

Forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows in the 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 72-77. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy to mostly clear. Lows 48-53 inland, 53-58 coast. Wind light variable.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-80, cooler some coastal areas. Wind variable to SE 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 59. High 79.

THURSDAY: Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 66. High 86.

FRIDAY: Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Low 68. High 88.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 61. High 84.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 64. High 86.

10:45AM

Just an updated forecast for now as there are no major changes to the forecast. Details still to be worked out as we go through the week ahead and will attempt to address all of that in the next post this evening.

Forecast for southeastern New England…

TODAY: Mostly sunny morning. Variably cloudy with a risk of showers and thunderstorms afternoon. Highs 75-82. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly clear overnight. Lows in the 50s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy, breezy, cool, dry. Highs 73-78.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny, milder, still dry. Low 51. High 79.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy, warmer, more humid, with a chance of a few showers. Low 61. High 81.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy, hot, humid, with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Low 67. High 89.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny, windy, warm, muggy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 69. High 86.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 66. High 83.

4;33PM

The first weekend of August is upon us, and a couple of disturbances will be traversing the New England region during this time. This implies that the weather will not be perfect, but practical meteorology indicates that the weekend overall will be generally quite nice. Depending on your plans, you may have to watch for a passing shower or thunderstorm a couple times tonight,  Saturday, and again later Sunday. Otherwise, much of this weekend will be rain-free with warm air Saturday, mild air Sunday, and a lack of high humidity.

A cold front sweeping through the region Sunday night (responsible for Sunday’s afternoon shower/storm threat)  will bring a blast of cool and dry air for Monday of next week. But things will be moving along in the atmosphere and though it will remain dry and pleasant, it will already turning a little warmer Tuesday. As we head into the middle and latter portion of the week, timing becomes less discernible with weather systems, but an early call would be to expected clouds and a shower threat with a warm front Wednesday, a sneaky hotter day Thursday, and a cold front bringing a thunderstorm threat Friday. Fine-tuning to come, of course, as these days draw closer.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy with a risk of passing showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 10PM, then partly cloudy. Lows 56-64, coolest inland valleys. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Variably cloudy with a passing shower or thunderstorm possible from time to time through early afternoon then trending sunnier remainder of afternoon to sunset. Highs 75-85, coolest South Coast and Cape Cod. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 55-65, coolest inland valleys, mildest urban areas. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Variably cloudy with a risk of showers and thunderstorms afternoon. Highs 75-82. Wind WSW 10-20 MPH.

MONDAY: Partly cloudy, breezy, cool, dry. Low 55. High 75.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny, milder, still dry. Low 57. High 79.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy, warmer, more humid, with a chance of a few showers. Low 61. High 81.

THURSDAY: Partly cloudy, hot, humid, with a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms. Low 67. High 89.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny, windy, warm, muggy, with scattered showers and thunderstorms. Low 69. High 86.

5:23PM

We are in one great weather pattern. Though you may be a little disappointed if you love heat and humidity, because both, especially heat, will be rather absent as far as typical Augusts go, at least for the first 10 days of the month.

Interruptions in an otherwise fair weather pattern courtesy of  a trough in eastern Canada will come in the form of a cold front  passing through the region from west to east through early Friday, and a secondary disturbance crossing the area on Saturday. There may be a cloud-producing disturbance or two during the course of early to mid next week, but a largely dry weather pattern will have become established.

Forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, and RI)…

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms. Patchy fog forming overnight. More humid. Lows in the 60s. Wind SW-S 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy through mid morning with lingering showers/thunderstorms. Partly to mostly sunny late morning on. Humid morning then gradually drying afternoon. Highs middle 70s to lower 80s, coolest  South Coast. Wind SW-W 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy. Slight chance of a couple passing showers or thunderstorms mainly afternoon to early evening. Highs upper 70s to middle 80s. Wind W 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Variably cloudy early. Mostly clear late. Lows upper 50s to lower 60s. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny morning. Partly sunny afternoon. Highs 75-80. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 56. High 78.

TUESDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 59. High 79.

WEDNESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 56. High 78.

THURSDAY: Increasing clouds. Low 57. High 77.

8:38PM

July, we  bid you farewell. A month hotter than average and a little wetter than average in most of the region. As August arrives, we’ll watch a cold front sweep across the region Thursday night and Friday morning, bringing some showers and thunderstorms to the region. This will set up a decent first weekend of the month, though we cannot rule out a shower or storm sometime on Sunday. Looking into next week, though we’ll be in a mean trough position, the weather will be largely dry with the air seasonable to cooler than normal.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England…

TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 56-63. Wind S to variable up to 10 MPH.

THURSDAY: Variably cloudy. Highs 75-82. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms developing. Lows 60-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Showers and thunderstorms ending. Highs 76-83. Wind SW 5-15 MPH shifting to W.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 61. High 83.

SUNDAY: Variably cloudy. PM scattered showers. Low 64. High 78.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 77.

TUESDAY: Increasing clouds. Low 55. High 74.

WEDNESDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of showers. Low 60. High 75.

12:29AM

An area of high pressure holds on to provide another spectacular day for the final day of July, though an upper level trough departing to the northeast will still trigger some developing diurnal clouds today.

A cold front approaches Thursday but slowly enough that the day itself should be fine with clouds, showers, and thunderstorms holding off until nighttime. This front looks a little stronger than it did yesterday and therefore it may produce fairly widespread showers and storms, which will linger into Friday as the front slowly clears the coast.

The general pattern repeats again over the weekend, but a second front coming along Sunday looks much weaker and may produce only cloudiness with shower activity absent.

A comfortable air mass is expected to arrive at the beginning of next week, quite nice for August, which can often feature very warm and muggy weather.

Updated forecast for southeastern New England (southern NH, eastern MA, RI)…

TODAY: Sunny morning. Partly cloudy afternoon. Highs 78-83, cooling near the coast. Wind NW to N 5-10 MPH turning E to SE in the afternoon.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy evening. Mostly clear overnight. Lows 59-64, cooler some inland valleys. Wind light S to SW.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 77-82, cooler South Coast. Wind S 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouds arrive west to east followed by numerous showers/thunderstorms. Lows 62-67. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Additional scattered showers/thunderstorms. Highs 77-82. Wind SW to W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 62. High 83.

SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Low 64. High 84.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 58. High 79.

TUESDAY: Partly sunny. Low 57. High 77.