5:09PM
Big temperature range across New England this Tuesday afternoon from the upper 50s to the lower 90s (coolest being in coastal Maine and hottest being interior southwestern New England). This, and a cold front approaching from the west, are triggers for thunderstorms. And indeed there have been some firing up during the afternoon, mainly across NY State and parts of VT into NH. A marine layer has held low clouds in for much of the day up until mid afternoon over a large portion of Middlesex and Essex Counties of MA and adjacent NH, but this has eroded away finally. However, this marine layer has been tough to get rid of, and remains in place. This will be a factor in limiting the storm potential for much of eastern MA for this evening. As storms try to move in this direction, they will likely weaken and eventually fall apart. The warmer and more humid air has made it into parts of southeastern MA away from the immediate shore, but by the time any storms get into this region in the overnight hours, it will have cooled down and the atmosphere will not be too unstable there. So this means that most of the WHW forecast area of southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI, will not see any severe weather tonight. There will be some chance of storms, however, with the primary window of time being 9PM tonight to about 4AM Wednesday. Any storms may produce heavy rain and of course some lightning.
We still have to get the front to clear the region and another trough on Wednesday, so during the day there will still be some chance of showers and thunderstorms. The final trough will be moving offshore Thursday morning which will set the stage for 2 great days Thursday and Friday as high pressure dominates. Some clouds may return before Friday is done, in advance of the next low pressure system. This is expected to cross the region Saturday with some showers, though at this time it does not look like a widespread rain event. Sunday, we may see a few pop up showers as a cool upper level low crosses New England.
Updated forecast for southeastern NH, eastern MA, and RI…
THROUGH EVENING: Clouds increase. Temperatures ranging from the 60s coastal northeastern MA, NH, and Cape Cod, to the lower 80s southwest of Boston. Wind variable from light onshore near the coast to S-SW around 10 MPH inland areas.
OVERNIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Episodes of showers and thunderstorms, a few possibly heavy. Low 63-68. Wind SW 5-15 MPH may be gusty around any storms.
WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms may occur at any time but are most likely from late morning through late afternoon. High around 80 most areas, holding in the upper 60s to lower 70s where winds come off ocean water. Wind W-SW 5-15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy. Low from the middle 50s to lower 60s. Wind W 5-15 MPH.
THURSDAY: Partly sunny early, then mostly sunny. High 70-75. Wind NW 5-15 MPH becoming variable.
FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 55. High 77.
SATURDAY: Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Low 60. High 72.
SUNDAY: Partly sunny. Isolated showers. Low 58. High 68.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Low 53. High 70.
TUESDAY: Partly cloudy. Low 55. High 71.