Thursday September 12 2024 Forecast (7:08AM)

DAYS 1-5 (SEPTEMBER 12-16)

A large scale block remains in place with high pressure dominating our weather through the weekend and into the beginning of next week too. The only change to take place is the dominant high regarding our weather will shift from one to our south today and Friday to one in Quebec thereafter. Between the 2 a dry cold frontal passage will take place early Saturday. Temperatures that warm to mid summer levels by tomorrow get knocked back a little bit over the weekend, but we’ll still be in a very mild pattern.

TODAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 78-85. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Clear. Interior lower elevation fog patches. Lows 54-61. Wind SW up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 81-88, maybe a little cooler along the South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Partly cloudy overnight. Lows 56-62. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Partly cloudy morning. Mostly sunny afternoon. Highs 72-82. Wind NW to NE 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 51-58. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

SUNDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 75-82, coolest coast. Wind variable to NE up to 10 MPH.

SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Patchy fog interior lower elevations. Lows 51-58. Wind variable under 10 MPH.

MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 76-83. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (SEPTEMBER 17-21)

The large scale pattern will continue to feature some blocking in the atmosphere, with high pressure remaining in control of our weather early to mid next week. Later in the week a more southerly air flow will allow more humidity to arrive and a chance of some shower activity – details TBD. Temperatures near to above normal.

DAYS 11-15 (SEPTEMBER 22-26)

The autumnal equinox occurs at 8:43 a.m. on September 22. A little more interaction of moisture from the south and jet stream / cooler air masses from the north means a better shot at some shower activity at times and somewhat variable temperatures. Far too soon for daily details.

29 thoughts on “Thursday September 12 2024 Forecast (7:08AM)”

  1. https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=smv&band=09&length=24

    I think Francine was an interesting interaction of a tropical system and a jet infringing on its northwest flank. It made a decent 972 mb system look unusual at landfall with excessive shear and yet, the eye looked pretty good on radar at landfall.

    Now, its weakened and yet the outflow on its northern side looks better than it ever did at landfall. Find it kind of interesting.

  2. Monthly temp departures thru the first 1/3rd of the month ….

    Logan: -1.3F
    Hartford: -1.7F
    Providence: -3.6F
    Worcester: -1.1F

    The pattern of relative warmth aloft helps 1,000ft Worcester have relatively milder nights, while all other locations are cooling radiationally at lower elevations. I believe this is why Worcester has the smallest negative temp anamoly.

    1. Sorry. I know I’m repeating. Are departures based on the 30 yr average. I noticed some of our Mets now use recorded rather than average.

    1. Thanks Jimmy. That was 2 months before I was born. From what I have read about Donna, she didn’t quite live up to the hype at the time. It appears she did enough damage though.

      1. It’s the only storm to produce hurricane force winds along every single state on the Eastern Seaboard. If that doesn’t live up to the hype, then I don’t know what will.

      2. I’m not sure where you read that, but Donna was definitely as advertised if not even more so.

        I have several firsthand accounts from family members right here in this area who went through it.

        And the aforementioned statistic is very impressive.

    2. Thank you JJ. I do remember this one. I was in sixth grade. I spent the day on the back enclosed porch where I’d set up a homemade weather station.

  3. An update on mom…

    She’s responding favorably to early treatment to correct the things that were thrown off by the medication and lack of sleep.

    She has already been moved out of ICU into a more regular care unit. So this is good news. I’ll be heading to visit her a bit later, though I suspect she’ll be asleep much of the time.

  4. Just read an excellent report in Dutch on a mass relocation of people in Panama where more than 2,600 people of the Guna Yala tribe are leaving a group of islands off the country’s northern coast due to sea level rise.

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