Tuesday January 21 2025 Forecast (7:11AM)

145 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 21-25)

We’ll be in the deep freeze for two days before we see that ease up later this week. I eye a storm track to our south. A little adjustment on this thinking has me here to tell you the wave passing south of us in the early hours will likely be close enough to deliver a little bit of light snow to the South Coast and the second one later in the week looks more like a “stay-offshore” system, but can still be close enough for some minor impact in southeastern areas.

TODAY: Sun gives way to clouds. Highs 13-20. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. A period of light snow expected on the South Coast with accumulation under 1 inch. Lows 0-7 except 7-14 South Coast. Wind N under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Sun returns. Highs 13-20. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear. Lows 2-9. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 22-29. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouds increase. Lows 10-17. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY: Variably cloudy. Chance of snow far southeastern areas. Highs 25-32. Wind N to NE 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Mostly sunny. 27-34. Wind NW 5-15 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (JANUARY 26-30)

Disturbance brings a snow shower threat January 26. Fair, seasonably cold weather follows.

DAYS 11-15 (JANUARY 31 – FEBRUARY 4)

Eyeing an end-of-January or first-of-February snow potential, then fair. Temperatures near to below normal.

145 thoughts on “Tuesday January 21 2025 Forecast (7:11AM)”

        1. People say that about vehicles as well . But I listen to Bz radio every morning & the temperature they say is always spot on with my truck temp .

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          1. My car thermometer is ALWAYS off by as much as 3 degrees or so. Depends on the exact conditions and exactly where the sensor is located.

            Sensor could pick up heat from the road surface or placed in the wrong place could pick up engine heat.
            So, it all depends. Perhaps with a truck the sensor is
            better located than in a car.

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  3. Thanks, TK!

    1 degree (+0.7) at 6:15.
    -2 at 5 am at the East Taunton airport.

    Coldest commute in several years.

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      1. I looked and don’t see a Nws sensor in your area. Is there a difference in area? Elevation, etc. Although I think of JP as being fairly flat and even

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  14. Love how the internet makes everyone am expert.

    “It can’t snow in Louisiana when the Gulf is over 70.”

    Sure. Get back to me on that.

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  16. My principal’s family lives outside of Baton Rouge.

    I wondering how many municipalities/parishes there actually have snow removing equipment or sanders. I guess we’ll find out.

    The low tonight in places will be 14. Again, wondering about how efficient home heating systems are in that area.

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    1. I don’t have access to my console right now, but from my Mobile App, it is showing 19, but that could be anything from 18.5 up to 19.4. 🙂

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      1. My guess is most everything is closed. I know some areas of SC went up remote learning a week or so ago Unlike Massachusetts, they allow remote to count

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  23. Schools are closed in New Orleans.
    NY has 5.8 inches of snow for the season so far. There could be places in the deep south that come close to that total or surpass it with this storm system.

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    1. The winter storm warnings have been extended as far east as Jacksonville and as far south as Gainsville, FLA. Expecting up to a half inch of snow/sleet accumulation and light glaze of icing there.

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  27. Maybe it’s me but I definitely do not think it’s that cold out & I think the last cold spell with the wind was way colder , like night & day . What does the forum think .

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    1. Hopefully overdone!

      Other than the cold, it’s a complete snoozer on the 12z model suite over the next 10 days…cold and dry pattern.

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  33. From the Weather Discussion page of NWS ~ Lake Charles:

    Latest KLCH and KPOE radars show heaviest snow band now
    progressing across the Acadiana region. Snow will continue to
    lighten over the next hour or two across SW LA. A few flurries
    will be possible for a few hours, but conditions will be improving
    through the afternoon. Snow accumulations so far range from
    roughly 3 to 8 inches, with 4.3 inches so far here at the office.
    An isolated report near 10 inches has been received near Rayne
    LA.

    The office`s first Blizzard Warning verified as several obs sites
    reported gusts of at least 35 mph, with heavy and blowing snow
    occurring for a few hours early this morning. The warning is
    expiring at noon, and will be making a few adjustments to the
    Winter Storm Warning for the afternoon (lowering it across much of
    the area). Behind this winter weather, very cold temperatures
    will arrive as arctic high pressure moves into the region. The
    Cold Advisory will transition to an Extreme Cold Warning this
    evening with apparent temperatures falling to between 5 and 15
    degrees overnight.

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    1. I wonder if JpDave lived in the deep south, if he would be impressed by this ?

      I mean that kindly, my friend. 🙂 🙂 🙂

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      1. My Brother lived in Lafayette, LA. Now his ex-wife lives there and he resides in NY state. 🙂 He would have LOVED it!!!!

        I can’t honestly answer that question.

        Had i moved there from here, I’d LOVE it. Had I been a native, I’d probably hate it like everyone else. 🙂

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  35. I have family in Camden, NC. They are under a Winter Storm Warning.

    “Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. Locally up to 5 inches is possible near the coast.”

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  37. I just heard on The Weather Channel 4 inches for New Orleans making it the snowiest day on record. Looking at the radar there going to add to that.

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  39. Another WOW
    From NWS Mount Holly, NJ

    Parts of southern Louisiana and southeast Texas now have more snowfall than Philadelphia’s entire seasonal snowfall to date (4.9″)

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  42. I can’t believe what I am looking at in the deep south. We can’t buy a major snowstorm. Our last big one was the end of January 2022.

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  43. New Orleans right now has more snow this winter than Providence. Boston and Worcester should be ahead of New Orleans. New Orleans should be ahead of Philadelphia for the winter and they have a real good chance of having more snow for the winter than NY.

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    1. As easy-to-read depictions, they can appear any time, but sometimes they don’t appear to the untrained eye until the last couple days.

      If you recall, about 15 days ago I put a marker on “around January 20”, based on pattern recognition and anticipated model error. I got chuckled at by quite a few people.

      The guidance didn’t really start showing that until a few days beforehand.

      So we need to monitor the pattern really, not so much run-to-run guidance, unless you know exactly what you are looking for.

      The short answer, it could be just a few days before an event.

      Tonight, Nantucket gets an inch or so of snow. Up until yesterday, that event on the guidance was a clean miss.

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      1. Makes sense, thanks TK! I will say, we were getting a few actual hits from guidance more than a few days in advance for the previous event, even though they went back and forth. I’d feel better seeing something at this range from guidance.

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  45. Another WOW total from Mobile Alabama. They will add more to this.

    1pm Update – 4.6 inch storm total just measured here at the NWS Mobile Office with drifts near the office of 10 inches.

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  47. TK – Are there more snow events in the pipeline for the Deep South that we’ll be missing out on?

    Are we “done” with snow for the rest of January for all practical purposes other than tonight’s Cape snow coating? Is it “on to February”? ❄️

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    2. We cannot turn our backs on potentials before this month ends.

      The South can see additional snow, but the next threat will be further north.

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    1. As of now it’s speculation but I did call the sports hub & they said it’s looking that way , so not 100% legit as of now but barstool & sports illustrated came out with this information, stay tuned

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    1. I might be in the minority, but I don’t like this move at all. The game has passed him by. It’s an unfortunate state of the organization that needs experience more than ever at the expense of new and upcoming coaching from the offensive side of the ball.

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      1. I’m 50/50 on it Ace . Who’s hire was this mikes or Krafts . I wonder if it might have been you do whatever you want , BUT we want Josh back . Time will tell . In closing I do think already we are a better team . Also big rumor on getting Hill here & that’s a tough one

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      2. I am apprehensive about this. The old ways from the old days will not be a solution. Josh is going to have step up his game if he wants the O to step up theirs.

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  50. Trying to think. Will every state in the U.S. have snow on the ground somewhere by this time tomorrow? You can even toss Hawaii in there

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          1. I understand. It is fascinating weather wise which I sure understand. But for those impacted, perhaps tragically, very sad.

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    2. Gotta keep a cautious eye out through end January.

      February is wide open. There are a lot of things that can go right for you if you’re a snow lover, and it might put my more tranquil forecast in jeopardy. 😉

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  63. Even as a snow lover I could never get mad at what’s going on there. I can only marvel at it.

    We’ll ALWAYS be snowier. This is an anomaly, for sure. We may never see it like that again in our lifetimes.

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  64. Rumor going around that Houston TX hasn’t seen snow since the 1800s.

    False. The last measurable snow (before this event) was 1 inch on February 15 2021.

    Beware as the misinformers are running wild, yet again, because cheap thrills of distorting the truth are more important than facts, apparently.

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    1. I have nor seen false reports but my block list is long. I did find this. It didn’t mention 2021 but found that elsewhere

      Feb. 14, 1895 — 20 inches (This was before the NWS began keeping records, but multiple newspapers from the time reported 20 inches of snow in the area, according to Space City Weather.)
      Jan. 22, 1940 — 3 inches
      Feb. 12, 1960 — 3 inches
      Jan. 30, 1949 — 2.6 inches
      Dec. 23, 1929 — 2.5 inches
      Jan. 12, 1973 — 2 inches
      Dec. 22, 1989 — 1.7 inches
      Feb. 2, 1980 — 1.4 inches
      Dec. 10, 2008 — 1.4 inches

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  67. I find it interesting that the Deep South can get snow from beginning to end but we in SNE have to settle for rain at the beginning turning into snow for the 2nd half of an event. Both the pre-Christmas and recent events had “rain to snow” which have been our only significant events to date. Just ONCE before this winter ends I would like to see a “complete” snowstorm!

    So much for “global warming”. At least back in the days when the earth was “cold” southern areas still maintained their “warmth”. Climate no longer has its “boundaries” if you will.

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  68. Simply incredible stuff and I am sure won’t be repeated again anytime soon. I think we can all agree completely that this ended up being unprecedented. I didn’t Venice some of the videos from NO!! 1 foot is paralyzing for them.

    Just can’t believe it’s been 3 plus years since a 6 inch storm

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