Monday January 27 2025 Forecast (7:14AM)

75 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 27-31)

The final 5 days of the first month of 2025 are upon us and as I try to forecast them on this morning’s update, I find the confidence level goes from high to low fairly quickly as we progress through time. Here’s what I know is most likely, and then what I think will take place moving forward. Today will be a bright, breezy day as we sit in a westerly air flow between Canadian low pressure and an area of high pressure to our south. While it won’t be that cold by late January standards, the breeze will give the air a bite. A sharp cold front trailing the aforementioned Canadian low will dive southeastward through our region Tuesday morning as that low pulls east to the eastward into Atlantic Canada. This front can cause a snow shower or heavier snow squall as it moves through the region between sunrise and late morning, northwest to southeast. Any areas that get these can see a short-lived but significant reduction in visibility from falling / blowing snow, and a quick coating that can slicken up untreated surfaces quickly. Fair, windy weather follows that front, with falling temperatures. Quick on the heels of this system is a clipper low, which moves our way via the Great Lakes Wednesday. I do think the track of this low will take it right across our region, probably a little bit north of I-90, and it will be slightly elongated in orientation, with a bit of a warm frontal snow burst initially, starting pre-dawn to early morning Wednesday. This is where most of the accumulation of a coating to 2 inches will occur. The 1 and 2 inch snow amounts are most likely in northern MA and southern NH, with under 1 inch from the I-90 belt southward as my expectation. There should be a quick taper off of the steadier snow, followed by a passing snow shower potential in the afternoon as a trough / elongated back side of this low passes through. It may have even warmed up enough during the day to make these showers in the form of rain closer to the South Coast. Regardless, behind this system comes a one-day shot of arctic air along with wind for Thusrday. Get ready for that shock to the system! But it doesn’t last long, with the cold easing a little bit and much less wind for Friday. This is where the uncertainty level regarding the next storm threat grows. Most recent medium range guidance varies in its timing of this system, with the quicker guidance bringing it in during the day / evening on Friday, and slower guidance holding it off so Friday is a dry day. I’m playing the middle ground on today’s update, with my forecast calling for increasing clouds ahead of the system, but stay tuned for updates as this event’s timing becomes easier to pin down.

TODAY: Mostly sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 32-39. Wind W 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

TONIGHT: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows 23-30. Wind SW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY: Lots of clouds with a passing snow shower or snow squall in the morning. Plenty of sun midday on. Highs 31-38 by midday, then falling into 20s. Wind SW shifting to NW 15-25 MPH, higher gusts.

TUESDAY NIGHT: Clear early, then rapidly clouding over. Snow arriving pre-dawn especially I-90 belt northward. Lows 13-20. Wind N 5-15 MPH and gusty early, becoming variable under 10 MPH.

WEDNESDAY: Cloudy morning with 1/2 to 2 inches of snow I-90 belt northward while areas to the south see snow showers with some coatings. Variably cloudy midday on with an additional snow shower or squall possible to the north, snow or rain shower to the south. Highs 32-39. Wind variable up to 10 MPH becoming W 5-15 MPH, shifting to NW with higher gusts later in the day.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 10-20 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 10-17. Wind N diminishing to under 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Increasing clouds. Highs 30-37. Wind NE up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 1-5)

Unsettled weather February 1-2 weekend – details TBD. Fair, cold thereafter.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 6-10)

Active pattern with a couple unsettled weather opportunities. Temperatures variable – not far from normal.

75 thoughts on “Monday January 27 2025 Forecast (7:14AM)”

  5. Good morning and thank you TK.
    Not impressed with upcoming clipper system.

    Models zeroing in on pretty light accumulatiobs and tracking it just too far North for any major impact in SNE. There’s a surprise Not.

    At this time not imprssed with weekend system either a bit of time on that one. I actually want nothing or rain with weekend system. Personal reaaons, so don’t need no stinken snow storm. Otherwise I would welcome it.

    Looks interesting down the road, but who knows. Time will tell.

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  13. Thanks TK! Here is weather irony – when I arrive in Minnesota Thursday temps will be near 50 while SNE deals with a quick arctic burst. it was 25 below zero there last week. i find those moments fascinating.

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      1. Indeed we did. I can’t believe how much my house rocked and rolled. Amazing and for only a 4.1 that many miles away???

        WOW!!!

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  21. For a quake of that magnitude and distance from my location, I simply cannot believe the amount of shaking I could feel.

    My son texted me from his office in East Boston and said his office was shaking violently. Strongest either one of us have ever felt.

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  22. Earthquake pretty scary in Amesbury. The roar and shaking lasted a good 6-7 seconds. Roar started slow and grew pretty loud as the house shook. Dog went nuts. Sounded like a freight train coming through the house. I’ve been through bigger quakes in California, but never felt or heard one like this in Mass. We are about 15 miles from the epicenter.

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  23. Lost my home in the 1994 Northridge quake. I bought earthquake insurance a year before it happened. All of us were at home and no one got hurt.

    Being on the north shore, I felt it today. A couple of years ago I bought earthquake insurance here. I think I am the only one in my complex that has it. I know it’s unlikely but the cost is so little.

    No tsunami threat with this one.

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  24. I was inside my apartment and I “heard” it more than anything. I thought it was workers in other apartments on my floor. It did feel weird but I brushed it off until I saw the breaking news on tv a little later.

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  25. I just called my bank (Citizen’s) to get some routine information on my account and a recorded voice said that my “account information is not available at this time” with an apology.

    Could this be due to the earthquake or something else unrelated??

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      1. My pleasure. This has fascinated me for years.

        For the 1989 Oakland earthquake, Mac’s brother and family were here for a reunion. It was not long after Hugo…for that Mac’s parents were in Spokane with Mac’s sister.

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  27. We had a small quake last April 5 about the same time of day centered around NYC. That was three days before the total solar eclipse.

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  30. In Sudbury my husband was in bedroom and thought a truck went by as we are not far from a main street. I was in living room and felt nothing at all. Surprised when I watched the noon news. I have felt earthquakes before – surprised I didn’t feel this one.

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  31. Making my way home from a weekend work conference in Las Vegas. My wife texted me to say we had an earthquake. Our house in South Amherst, MA shook, 140 miles from the reported epicenter.

    Amusing to me is that the first place I came to read about ground truths from the event was WHW, not traditional news outlets or social media

    You all did not let me down.

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        1. Yeah if that, minor event . I need to look up my Boston snow guess as I know I went low & feeling good about it to date .

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          1. I don’t bother guessing the snow amounts anymore as it’s just too frustrating nowadays. It doesn’t appear there will be as much snow as I had hoped in the coming days. Maybe more like mid-February? We’ll see. ❄️

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  35. This evening after dinner I got through to my Citizens Bank and everything seems back to normal. Maybe it was earthquake related, who knows?

    Anyway thanks again Vicki! That link was very helpful. 🙂

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    1. My brother in law works in IT security and audits financial institutions. He says Citizens is one of the worst when it comes to cyber security

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  36. Haven’t heard from TK today since his first posting early this morning. Hope everything is ok. If it wasn’t for the earthquake this blog would have been even more quieter than usual.

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    3. Thanks Philip! All is well. I had a busy day, from work to home to visiting a local pond with ice thick enough to walk to an island in the middle of it (rare opportunity) then a trip to Hampton Beach to dip feet in water, then some movie time with my son before he travels to NJ for just over a week (leaving today).

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  37. I was working in Framingham today and didn’t feel the earthquake. My wife was in Waltham and very much felt it in her building. She said she felt dizzy nauseous and ill after.

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    1. We had a citizens account for a while too. I was not a fan. But many are. I also worked with banks on strategic planning, best business practice, etc

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      1. Replied to wrong comment.

        But I can understand your wife’s reaction. Something like that could easily throw a persons equilibrium off. Hope she is all right tonight

        Reply

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