Wednesday January 29 2025 Forecast (6:57AM)

131 Comments

DAYS 1-5 (JANUARY 29 – FEBRUARY 2)

A batch of snow crosses the region overnight, generated by a warm front ahead of a clipper low pressure system. This low is passing just north of the WHW forecast area today and will drive its cold front through the region this afternoon, triggered showers of rain and snow, some of which may be strong enough to produce lightning and thunder. Wherever these visit, reduced visibility and strong wind gusts can occur, but they will be short-lived. Behind the front, cold air rushes back in after a milder interlude today, and a surviving Great Lakes snow plume may bring another snow shower to parts of the region tonight. This will be followed by fair but cold weather Thursday as a bubble of high pressure moves across the region. The windy weather of tonight will ease Thursday though. As mentioned in the previous discussion, things are moving quickly in the atmosphere, and the next low pressure system moves in on Friday, bringing enough of a warm up so even if areas start as snow, it turns into a mainly rain event, but as this elongated low is pulling away, enough cold air lingering just to the north will start to filter in, and the precipitation can end as a mix or snow in some areas, especially southern NH and northern MA, Friday evening and night. Saturday will feature fair and colder weather with high pressure moving in. But then the next low pressure area in the series moves our way Sunday. This system looks somewhat similar to the one we are involved with today, with clouds moving back in leading to a chance of some snow or snow showers by later Sunday. Some fine-tuning will have to be done to that part of the forecast…

TODAY: Variably cloudy. Rain and snow showers west to east early to mid afternoon, a few of which can contain lightning and thunder. Highs 36-43. Wind S up to 10 MPH early, shifting to W and increasing to 15-25 MPH with higher gusts, then shifting to NW late-day.

TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with a chance of a passing snow shower, then clearing before dawn. Lows 11-18. Wind NW 15-25 MPH, gusts 30+ MPH.

THURSDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 23-30. Wind NW 5-15 MPH, higher gusts in the morning.

THURSDAY NIGHT: Clouding up. Lows 12-19 evening, rising through 20s overnight. Wind N shifting to E up to 10 MPH.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Snow/mix changing to rain. Highs 36-43. Wind E 5-15 MPH.

FRIDAY NIGHT: Cloudy with rain ending, possibly as brief mix/snow especially north, during the evening. Clearing overnight. Areas of black ice. Lows 20-27. Wind N 5-15 MPH.

SATURDAY: Sunny to partly cloudy. Highs 27-34. Wind NW 10-20 MPH.

SATURDAY NIGHT: Clear. Lows 15-22. Wind W 5-15 MPH.

SUNDAY: Increasing clouds. Late-day snow or snow showers possible. Highs 27-34. Wind variable up to 10 MPH.

DAYS 6-10 (FEBRUARY 3-7)

Briefly milder February 3 with rain showers possible during the day. Fair, colder February 4. During the February 5-7 period we’ll have to start watching for ripples of low pressure moving along a boundary to our south with potentials for snow/mix – highest potential toward the end of the period.

DAYS 11-15 (FEBRUARY 8-12)

Pattern features a battle zone between cold weather to our north and a milder set-up to our south. This leaves our region vulnerable to unsettled weather from systems impossible to time or detail this far in advance. Overview: Unsettled potential, variable temperatures.

131 thoughts on “Wednesday January 29 2025 Forecast (6:57AM)”

    1. Definitely has considering it was a left-brain attack. Those can last up to 72 hours. Just barely a trace left. 🙂

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  5. Thanks TK. Glad that you are better today!

    JR mentioned last night that if the low had passed SOUTH of our area, it would have been a totally different story like what occurred in 2015.

    1,069 ❄️

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    1. I’d stop short of making any comparisons to 2015. Totally, completely different pattern than the one we have now. 🙂

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  18. Got a coating out west here in the valley. At one point around 9:45pm last night, base reflectivity radar was showing a 35db band of snow over me. There was no snow reaching the ground…

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  20. Thanks TK.

    Zero snow in Coventry CT this AM. Like JMA, radar was lit up over us last night and it appeared as if we were going to get a burst of snow but nothing ever made it to the ground.

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  21. Radar is very active over Upstate NY right now with several snow squall warnings in effect. We’ll see how much of this holds together as it moves east.

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  22. Thanks tk. Migraines are the absolute worst! (Funny enough I have a headache all this morning but thankful it’s not a migraine.)

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  26. Thank you,TK. Glad you are feeling better

    No snow here.

    But an aftershock off the coast of York

    The 2.0-magnitude quake occurred around 3:15 a.m. Wednesday, about 5.5 miles southeast of York Harbor and had a depth of 6 miles, the USGS reported. John Ebel, a senior research scientist at the Weston Observatory at Boston College, said Wednesday that this latest quake is “probably an aftershock.”

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    1. 2.0 isn’t even detectable by humans, except for some shallow quakes on specific crust types.

      2.3 is about our limit for “can’t” vs “can” feel.

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      1. I’m glad you said by humans. There are a couple of interesting videos of horses’ reactions to the one a couple of days ago. Years ago there was a small quake in MA. The horses in the big field where my daughter’s horse was ran around like crazy, clearly rattled by something. They’d felt the quake just before it actually occurred

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        1. I think many animals can sense things we can’t. With all of our technology, we’ve actually dulled our ability to pick up things naturally. It’s not a huge dulling, but it is notable.

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  29. Xfinity in my neighborhood (Quincy) has been down since 2:00 am. The crew is down the street still working. Hopefully it will be fixed by 1:30 pm according to their last text message. 🙁

    Some folks here at the facility don’t have internet on their phones either. At least I have that much.

    Does anyone else here have Xfinity/Comcast?

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      1. That’s a bit of an understatement. Since I moved here last June, it’s already been down twice but at least we received 24 hours notice and was back within a couple hours or so. Not this time though.

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    1. Starting to lose snow cover today. The old cover pretty much stayed in tact until now. With the next system as mostly rain it should be completely bare ground by Saturday, other than parking lot piles.

      Oh well. On to February! ❄️ 🙁

      Maybe the groundhog can tell us more. 😉

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  35. We are under a Snow Squall Warning. I don’t think I’ve ever seen that, but that’s probably from a lack of paying attention on my part.

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      1. I do it every time xfinity goes out. My phone provides plenty of bandwidth that allows watching HD videos and movies etc.

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  43. Drove down 95S into a wall of rain, then wet snow/rain mixed. You should see a shaft of heavier snow just to my SW but it got east of the road before I got that far, but I pulled off and caught a rainbow briefly. 🙂 This was all from Reading to Woburn.

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  44. My Xfinity is back. I was waiting for their text message but still haven’t received it. I turned the tv on to check and now all set. Hopefully it stays on for good. I haven’t seen a tv weather forecast all day.

    Of course now I have no idea what time repairs were completed. Oh well.

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    1. If it happened in the middle of the night my guess is a wind-weakened branch somewhere nearby let go much later and took out a set of wires.

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      1. I was told by other residents that it went out around 2:00 am this morning. What’s somewhat frustrating though is that I didn’t receive the text until shortly after 8:00 am explaining that repairs are being made etc.

        Then, around 9:45 am another text that service “should” be restored by 1:30 pm. When the time came, still no text so I assumed it was still out so I went for a walk and when I returned still no text so I randomly turned it on and…voila!

        I wonder if I’ll receive a text later this evening that service is back to normal? 😉

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  45. I was out for a walk and I don’t believe it rained at all, not even a sprinkle. The wind all of a sudden gusted so I decided to head back inside.

    Based on radar, I guess the front came through as I noticed that the line of “green” was just south of Boston.

    Here in Quincy the temperature dropped from 47 to 43. Big woop! 🙂

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    1. Well, let’s not under-credit the temp drop. It’s just underway. You have about 25 degrees to go. Heading for the teens.

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    1. Nothing different. That is the radar’s response to mixed precipitation right by the site itself.

      You’ll notice if you loop it the oranges will vanish after the line moves several miles beyond the immediate area.

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  47. Root for some wind to dry surfaces, because the temp is about to fall through the 30s, through the 20s, and into the teens. Any water left behind will be well frozen in just a matter of a few hours.

    Additionally, I’m getting a little nervous about colder air working back in sooner on Friday evening, and an additional burst of precipitation in the form of snow in a portion of the region.

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  50. Thanks TK.

    One thing I think is fairly certain to change the next 2-3+ weeks: there’s going to be meaningful precipitation in the Northeast. There’s been lots of talk about the lack of snow but the real story is the continued adding onto already steep precipitation deficits coming out of the fall. This is a real drought. But it’s likely gonna get worked on quite a bit the next month or two.

    CPC 8-14 favors both above normal temps and precip in SNE. I agree with both, although the collective positive temperature anomaly is not likely to be large by any means. It’s going to be an active pattern and frequently a razor’s edge between rain, ice, and snow. Not a pattern that’s going to favor classic Nor’easter type systems, but likely a lot of overrunning events which can and do produce significant winter storms, especially when they essentially combine with one another.

    I’d probably rather be in ski country than most of SNE in terms of getting the most snow the next few weeks, but my best guess is that all totaled most of SNE comes in near normal on snowfall (at least several inches in most areas) through 2/20.

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      1. SSK, with all due respect, it’s a weather forecast blog. We all know some forecasts pan out well, others don’t. If you don’t like a comment, just move on. This petty “I don’t buy it” crap that you frequently dish out to the mets here is annoying. If you want to just wait and see what happens, look out your window.

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        1. Has the snow panned out in southern New England as you thought it would . You can also just glance by my post as it’s not meant to be rude ok WX

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      2. I think we will continue to talk about the weather and speculate on the expectations of the weather here on the weather blog. It’s not required reading for anybody who doesn’t enjoy doing that. 😉

        I could “wait and see how it goes” if I was ONLY a weather observer, but I (and others here) are forecasters, and some are enthusiasts who like to try to speculate in a safe place to do so, and learn in the process. It works quite well, even if the forecasts are not always 100% perfect. 😉

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  51. The wind has become ferocious. In comes the cold! Gonna be a rough night if you have to be outside for any length of time…

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    1. As I was driving home on route 3 tonight after visiting with my wife all day I had 2 salters in front of me doing there thing & the highway was bone dry . The salt is coming out & blowing everywhere & none of it is on the highway as it just blew to the side . I was just scratching my head & was thinking what a waste of product

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  52. Now getting through Indiana on drive to Minnesota from the South Coast. Left at 5am. Down two of my drivers who ended up getting walloped by norovirus yesterday so just me and James III. Praying we escaped without getting contaminated. So far so good.

    Most challenging part of drive was Syracuse to Erie with very strong winds on the other side of front. Swerved our van a couple of times. Temps here during a gorgeous sunset – still civil daylight at 6:15!!- are in low 40s. Will stop in Beloit Wisconsin for the day and finish to Minneapolis tomorrow.

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  53. I wanted to share a congratulations to my son who made Eagle Scout last May but went on to do the incredible. He earned every merit badge that scouts has to offer. All 139! Only 4 scouts have ever done it in Massachusetts’s in the history of scouting. The Boston Globe has a story in today’s online edition if you’d like to read it under Metro section.

    Reply

      1. Thank you so much! This evening two Boston news stations reached out for stories in the next week or so. He’s so happy that he’s getting the word spread on how amazing scouting is for kids. The program really helped him in so many ways and he wants everyone to have that opportunity.

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        1. He got the weather merit badge a few years ago at the weather conference in Boston. He got to hang out with Eric Fisher for awhile! One of his many memorable experiences.

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    7. WOW!!! as a scout myself that got to STAR and got barely half of them merit badges thats very very impressive. Congrats to him.

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  54. From Eric Fisher
    No real “January thaw” this year for the first time in a while. Today was the mildest day of the month in Boston. Last time we had a January without reaching 50F was in 2009

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  55. Diamond, being a father who’s had the honor of witnessing his son achieve the rank of Eagle scout this past year also, I have the utmost respect and admiration for the amazing accomplishment of your son. It is a tremendous commitment not only for the scout but for yourself as well. Congratulations!!

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    1. Congratulations to your son. I think I remember you mentioning here. We have had two Eagle Scouts share their projects (not sure if that is the correct term) at our church. Such impressive young adults.

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    1. Lake plumes, the trigger for me having the additional snow shower potential in the forecast.

      Got clipped by one here too. Not enough for accumulation.

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