DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 3-7)
We will be impacted today and tonight by a warm front / cold front combo parented by low pressure passing to our north. This low is part of the same large scale system giving a severe weather outbreak to portions of the South and Southeast to southern Midwest as well as some major flooding. We see a much less potent version of its weather with showers and a few thunderstorms around at times today and tonight. This comes along with a shot of much milder air after yesterday’s chill. And as the cold front sags and slows just south of our region through Friday, it will remain mild. The idea is still the same for lingering clouds and some showers favoring the South Coast for a part of Friday, but a clearing trend will develop as the day goes on, and it will be a mild day – pretty much the easy pick of this week – and as previously mentioned, nice for the Red Sox home opener, especially compared to how it can be this time of year. Enjoy Friday, baseball game or not, because more unsettled weather is ours for the coming weekend into Monday with a low pressure area tracking to our north and sending its frontal boundaries our way. A warm front approaches Saturday with a wet afternoon and evening. Sunday may be similar to today – briefly into the warm sector and showery, and while cooler air returns some showers can linger into Monday.
TODAY: Cloudy through midday with areas of fog and drizzle – rain showers most likely mid morning through midday with a slight chance of thunder. Mostly cloudy mid afternoon on with breaks of sun possible. Highs 50-57 South Coast, 58-65 elsewhere. Wind variable under 10 MPH becoming SW and increasing to 5-15 MPH with higher gusts.
TONIGHT: Variably cloudy. Patchy fog in lower elevation locations. A passing shower or thunderstorm possible during the mid to late evening. Lows 47-54. Wind W diminishing to under 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy in the morning with a chance of rain showers south of I-90. Clouds thin for more sun northwest to southeast in the afternoon. Highs 55-62 Cape Cod and other water-modified areas, 63-70 elsewhere. Wind W to NW 5-15 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT: Mostly clear evening. Increasing cloudiness overnight. Lows 36-43. Wind NW to N up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY: Thickening overcast. Rain arrives west to east midday on, may start as sleet southern NH. Highs 43-50. Wind N shifting to E up to 10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures steady in 40s. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
SUNDAY: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers most likely in the morning including patchy fog. An additional rain shower possible during the afternoon. Highs 58-65 except cooler South Coast. Wind SW 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely. Chance of a thunderstorm. Patchy fog. Lows 50-57. Wind SW to variable 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly cloudy to partly sunny. A possible rain shower. Temperatures steady in the 50s. Wind variable to NW 5-15 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 8-12)
Dry early in the period. Unsettled weather mid to late period. Temperatures below normal.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 12-16)
Additional unsettled weather most likely mid to late period once again. Temperatures variable – a brief warmer interlude possible in overall cool pattern.
Thanks, TK.
Thanks TK !
Saw some tornado videos from yesterday and it sure looks like some long tracked, violent tornadoes verified.
Thanks, TK
Middle Tennessee (just south of Nashville) was under multiple Tornado Warnings at 4:30 am local time.
Thanks TK.
1,133
Good morning and thank you TK
There is some tornado threat today, less than yesterday, but perhaps just as dangerous, areas that saw multi inch rains yesterday may see multi inch rains today and that can be seen in the blossoming rain area in Texas and Oklahoma.
https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/SOUTHMISSVLY_loop.gif
Oklahoma and Arkansas, not texas
Students are taking the MCAS, you can hear a pin drop.
So a heavy downpour came through and it was so loud hitting the roof.
Thank you TK!
Thank you, TK!
I posted this on the noaa page last night. TK said it is all right to post here.
Language is questionable but truthfully this is fantastic. It’s John Oliver on noaa and privatizing from 2018 but even more appropriate now. Best 15 minutes I spent today and echos TKs view I believe
https://youtu.be/qMGn9T37eR8?si=dCqU9SA11zUw7uX_
Very Good!
Same thing here, Tom.
No MCAS here, but, boy, did we have a downpour!
I swear I saw some snowflakes in the precip!
Typically the Drake Passage does not have the highest waves among the oceans but it does have some of the most violent given that it is at the intersection of the Atlantic, Pacific, and Southern Oceans.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/1lQjQtljKAo
This was a couple of weeks ago.
NO THANK YOU!!!!
Wow. I cannot image. And agree with JPD. Not for me either
Thanks TK.
CSU 2025 hurricane forecast is out and they are predicting another active season with 17 names storms, 9 hurricanes and 4 major hurricanes:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/topstories/early-look-at-hurricane-season-suggests-another-busy-year/ar-AA1Cewz2?ocid=BingNewsSerp
As long as our planet continues to warm, there will always be active tropical activity. Quiet seasons for now are a thing of the past.
Well, not necessarily because ocean temps are only one component.
If there is wind shear, then the water can be hot and tropical cyclones won’t be able to release the ocean’s heat.
When the AMO goes into its cold phase, which could be at any point in the next 5-10 years, Atlantic tropical activity will diminish significantly.
Thanks TK
Northeast Drought Monitor:
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Northeast
Still a way to go to wipe out those colors, and I don’t know if we’ll do that for a while…
A little help since the data for that map was acquired, and a little more help this weekend, but still need a series of systems without long drier spells to really get that eradicated.
61.2 and .31 for the event so far.
And thanks TK.
Horrific. I read one of the warning signals in Nashville stopped working.
This from nyt
Live Updates: 7 Dead as Storm Soaks Central U.S., Raising Rivers and Flood Fears
Nearly 30 tornadoes were confirmed after the first wave of the storm, which will extend into the weekend. Mud smeared streets in Nashville, while Memphis and nearby towns eyed the rising Mississippi River.
https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/04/03/weather/midwest-storms-tornado?campaign_id=60&emc=edit_na_20250403&instance_id=151748&nl=breaking-news®i_id=211897769&segment_id=195185&user_id=352f13e14cf6e0c8cc78b418bb342a69
My Weekend Outlook is up:
https://stormhq.blog/2025/04/03/weekend-outlook-april-4-7-2025/
Thanks! Fabulous Friday, then a kind of “typical” early spring weekend (the unsettled variety) for around here…..
A little concerned that Sunday may not be that warm around here. I mentioned it in my blog, but went with mild temperatures anyway, for now. However, the GFS, ICON, and NAM all are significantly cooler, especially north of the Mass Pike.
I went mild as well, but with the same reservation in mind. A handful of miles difference in a boundary might mean the difference between mid to upper 40s and lower 60s at a place like Lowell.
Funny watching the GFS model acting like it’s still February.
According to Eric, a chilly pattern next week as well as some “wet flakes” early Monday.
Guess we are still not done with snow just yet?
I could have told you that.
The potential has been in my forecast for quite a while. Verified the latest potential last night with actual frozen stuff in the area, including Logan. And yes, there may be some flakes around on Monday, and again after that a couple or a few times into mid month. 
Tornado Warnings in middle Tennessee right now in basically the same places that were warned 12 hours ago.
I’m hoping the warning siren(s) are fixed. God help everyone in the path of these and the extreme rainfall amounts
Rain is looking pretty dangerous!
Sure is.
The temps are still climbing at 8pm. It’s in the mid 60s away from the south coast.
B’s down 1-0.
Sox start at home with a couple of wins under their belt.
Down 2-0.
Did you fall asleep before the 4-1 final?
I kind of dozed off..
Couple thunderstorms tonight have such impressive purple echoes, the hail must be impressive and dangerous.
Almost summer like feel outside tonight. 65F here and very muggy. Opened the slider door and a couple bugs came in. Too early for this!
I still saw bugs back in December.
Always have. I remember my brother talking about bugs around the back door growing up every year at some point after Thanksgiving.
Or pretty much the same thing that happens every year.
New post…