DAYS 1-5 (APRIL 10-14)
An area of high pressure just to our east will drift northeastward into Atlantic Canada today while weakening low pressure in the Upper Ohio Valley drifts toward New York, extending a warm front in our direction. This front will be responsible for increasing clouds as today moves along, and a period of precipitation tonight – rain coast, rain/mix/snow inland. Precipitation will be obliterated by mid level dry air during Friday morning, and we end up with just a mostly cloudy day. It won’t be until a second low organizes over the Mid Atlantic States and lifts northward, becoming quasi-stationary in a blocking pattern, that we get rain (some inland / higher elevation mix and snow at first) Friday night into Saturday. Additional low pressure will likely keep wet weather lasting longer, especially in coastal areas, into Sunday, with some improvement possible later on that day. Monday’s weather improves as high pressure brings dry, milder weather.
TODAY: Sun followed by clouds. Highs 51-58, coolest coast. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
TONIGHT: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain except mix and wet snow possible interior sections mainly near and north of I-90. Lows 34-41. Wind SE up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY: Mostly cloudy. Highs 50-57, coolest coast. Wind SE to E up to 10 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT / SATURDAY / SATURDAY NIGHT: Cloudy. Periods of rain. Areas of fog. Temperatures decline to 43-50 then remain steady. Wind E 10-20 MPH, higher gusts especially coastal areas.
SUNDAY: Cloudy with periods of rain and areas of fog / drizzle morning. Breaking clouds afternoon. Highs 45-52. Wind variable to N 5-15 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT: Clearing. Lows 38-45. Wind N 5-15 MPH.
MONDAY: Mostly sunny. Highs 57-64, coolest east of I-95. Wind N 5-15 MPH becoming variable under 10 MPH.
DAYS 6-10 (APRIL 15-19)
Mild April 15 but somewhat unsettled as a disturbance brings a warm front / cold front combo through the region. Dry, cool weather middle of next week. Watching potential unsettled weather to return later next week.
DAYS 11-15 (APRIL 20-24)
Pattern looks unsettled and cool but details are TBD.
Good morning and thank you TK
Thanks TK
Thanks TK !
Pretty thick frost this morning, here.
29 here, compared to 28 yesterday.
brrr
Thanks TK.
Another chilly AM
Thanks TK.
1,140
Do we think this is the coldest until November?
No, wait until July 4th.
No.
Thank you TK!
The latest Drought Monitor shows a small improvement over the previous week. A thin strip of MA (5.7%) along the NY border is now “None.”
April 1:
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/20250401/20250401_MA_date.png
April 8:
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/data/png/20250408/20250408_MA_date.png
Interestingly, Cape Cod worsened from D0 to D1. We were there last week and had much less rain than back at home.
Thanks, TK!
Thank you, TK
SClarke. I read about Jewell Hill. Thank you. It looks to be a lovely area. I sent a link to my son and DIL. I don’t recall hearing them mention it. It seems like an area they’d enjoy.
https://thetrustees.org/place/jewell-hill/
That’s great!
It’s usually very quiet and there’s plenty of parking. We’re often the only vehicle there, so we always jokingly moan and complain if we see another in the lot when we get there.
Awesome. Very good to know.
Lord I hope we don’t get on this weekend crappy weather pattern for the summer. We are gone for half of June but here the rest of the summer and really want some decent weather. Ha
I wouldn’t worry about summer in April. Totally different world than where we are here in early spring.
Nothing but “cool and unsettled” for the foreseeable future. It does appear that we’re now DONE with snow. Too bad we missed a number of those opportunities.
I’ll still continue my daily “count” for now just for the heck of it.
I wouldn’t count it out yet.
I would . Boston / south will see no meaningful snow accumulation. Just my opinion as I stated awhile back . Sure we all know it can snow till May .
Maybe not near the coast but some flakes could be flying tonight into Friday morning then again in the wee hours of Saturday morning.
Thank you, TK.
The thing regarding spring snow …. said before, saying again.
I know the climatology. I know the odds. I know the location thing. I know all of that. But I also know history, and knowing history doesn’t translate to “hey guess what, we’re about to have a snowstorm like it’s the middle of January”. I’m not stupid. I get all of the little things that go into making a rare spring snow, rarer day by day as you go, but as I said, I know history, and I know that this means you do NOT 100% count out the possibility that you can see such events, REGARDLESS of how small the odds are. I don’t need reminders. I know all of that. I’ve known that for a very long time. It’s part of my area of expertise.
So then………
At the moment, I see no important snow events for my forecast area, but I do see a couple of opportunities for flakes and minor accumulations in some locations.
Welcome to mid April everybody!
I’ve been around far too long to question one word of your post. Well said, TK!
These are in Wilton, NH earlier today on the Mason Rail Trail:
https://ibb.co/pByt4b54
https://ibb.co/Xr8803cV
https://ibb.co/Y4F1kCtb
Some beautiful looking pics!
These are awesome.
Also son said they have not been to Jewell Hill but it has definitely been added to their list. He said the trustees have some really nice properties too
I agree about the Trustees. They are a great organization.
My Weekend Outlook is up:
https://stormhq.blog/2025/04/10/weekend-outlook-april-11-14-2025/
Thanks!
The Quabbin Reservoir
Capacity: 412 billion gallons (100%)
March 1st: 345 billion gallons (83.7%)
April 1st: 358 billion gallons (86.8%)
I wanted to see the increase between March and April and it amounts 13 billion which is obviously a lot of water. I suspect the increase though is not statistically significant given the degree that the Quabbin fluctuates. Just a hunch on my part.
The good news is that precipitation, run-off, the watershed, and underground water helped. Incidentally when at capacity, the volume is supposedly equal to a 5-year supply.
This is excellent. Thank you.
Thanks TK.
37F here in Coventry with wet snow breaking out. Wouldn’t be surprised if we wake up to white ground in the AM!
So fun.
18z GFS trying to give me a Nor’easter for a birthday present next Saturday (which I would gladly take
)
https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025041018&fh=207&dpdt=&mc=
Snow mixing in with the rain here.
Yay.
42 and if it’s raining I’m not seeing it. To be fair I’m
Looking from my chair. But nothing is showing on my rain gauge.
Snowing steadily now and 36F yet I can hear all the frogs peeping away in the wetlands in the woods. They are definitely confused.
Peepers? I just realized I have not heard them this year.
Enjoy the snow. I’m jealous!!
Hi all, though I am no longer in the tropical Atlantic, I am still tracking it as many people in the USVI asked me if I would. I am not sure how this hurricane season is going to go. In one hand the ENSO is in a state of flux, models are all over the place but all the models show the sub-tropics being the focal point of the heat just north of the MDR which kind of goes up against what CSU have been using as their analog years which have a cool strip going right across the area just north of the MDR. The 200VP also does not look all that favorable for TC activity for large parts of the season but a sample of my analogs in terms of SST are starting to look like a mix bag 2018, 2017,2014, 2012 and 2008, 2007, 2003. 1998 and 1988 Still looking at analogs. These are analogs that I have so far picked out of my larger list and still shrinking it down to my top 5. I look at SST patterns and the strength of these different parameters like anyone else but there are obviously some large differences between these analogs. There obviously no one year that is the same but seems like there are certain characteristics that are being predicted by the models that are not that commonly seen together. Some to warm or cold in the MDR, while others are too cold in Indonesia, while some have the wrong or too strong of a IDO and PDO. Its going to be an interesting season but I am leaning right down the middle with a near average season in terms of number of storms but could be an impactful season. What are your thoughts?
Hey Matt. I’m not qualified to answer but always nice to see you here
Some precip here. Hard to tell if snow mixed in
I’m pretty sure I heard that despite the time of year, it can and does snow.
I’ll add that no matter when, snow has me smiling.
Mark , JJ, must be white down your way
https://ibb.co/5XHBgNXB
looks like maybe an inch of snow here on the lawn.
Third day this week there’s been snow here. Maybe one of the days was last week I can’t remember. All of the days have felt the same this month. Cold, wet, snow, wind. Rinse and repeat.
What a miserable April. Worst I can remember.
We’ve had worse.
Look up 1996.
Even patches of accumulating snow / sleet as far south as the Fall River area. Just got a pic of 1/2 inch accumulation on car top & grass in Fall River area.
New post…